Us User Co Conference Jeff Burnstein President Association for Advancing Automation
The The Gl Global Advocate for the Benefits of Automating Ov Over 1,100 Automation Co Companies Strong
Ab About A3 A3 • Tr Trad ade e show hows, conf confer erences ences and and net networ orking ng ev event ents • In Industr try w website tes • Ma Market research/statistics Ch Chicago, IL US USA • Co Consensus standards • Ce Certification programs • Edu Educational activities
Who We Are Our Mission Founded in 1974, RIA is a not-for-profit trade association dedicated to improving the regional, national and global competitiveness of the North American manufacturing and service sectors through promotion and enhancement of robotics and related automation. RIA represents over 500 robot manufacturers, system integrators, component suppliers, end users, consulting firms, research groups, and educational institutions.
What We Do
Worldwide I Industrial R Robotics M Market 380,550 new robots installed in 2017 Growth of 29% over 2016 Top Applications: Handling 47% 1. Welding 22% 2. Top Industries: Automotive 33% - 1. Growth of 21% Electronics 30% - 2. Growth of 27% Source: International Federation of Robotics & RIA
Worldwide M Market – By R Region Source: International Federation of Robotics & RIA
Worldwide M Market – China I Impact Source: International Federation of Robotics & RIA
The W World’s 5 5 L Largest R Robotics M Markets 1. China 2. Republic of Korea 3. Japan 4. United States 5. Germany These five markets combined represent 71% of the global industrial robotics market. Source: International Federation of Robotics & RIA
The Ne Next 5 5 L Largest R Robotics M Markets Source: International Federation of Robotics & RIA
Worldwide M Market – Forecast t to 2 2020 Source: International Federation of Robotics & RIA
Robot D Density b by C Country
Robot D Density b by C Country
North American Robot Orders 15,350 robots ordered ($880m) in First Half of 2018 19 331 15 350 14 583 14 232 14 135 10 854 10 712 10 652 8 879 8 758 8 154 7 852 7 100 7 005 6 860 6 608 6 316 5 499 4 517 4 305 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H H F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F Units ordered were down 21% from record first half of 2017
North American Robot Orders First Half 2018 Industry Breakdown (NA) 15,350 Robots Ordered Automotive Automotive Component Food & Consumer Goods Semi & Electronics/Photonics Plastics & Rubber Life Sciences/Pharma/Biomed Metals All Other Industries
North American Robot Orders Industry Growth (FH 2018 over FH 2017, NA) All Other Industries 59% Life Sciences/Pharma/Biomed 37% Food & Consumer Goods 24% Plastics & Rubber 21% Metals -4% Semi & Electronics/Photonics -10% Automotive Component -21% Automotive -66% -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
North American Robot Orders Automotive vs. Non-Automotive Orders (NA) 13 440 9 707 8 902 8 905 8 062 7 288 6 558 5 891 5 327 5 233 4 876 4 296 FH 2013 FH 2014 FH 2015 FH 2016 FH 2017 FH 2018 Auto Non-Auto Linéaire (Auto) Linéaire (Non-Auto)
North American Robot Orders First Half 2018 Application Breakdown (NA) 15,350 Robots Ordered 7% Spot Welding 15% Arc Welding 13% Coating & Dispensing Assembly 4% Material Handling 56% Other 5%
Collaborative Robot Market Size? Several Research Firms Have Estimated the Size of the Collaborative Robots market and Provided Forecasts. Globally, by end of 2017: — 8,000+ units shipped • $225 million in revenue • Globally, by end of 2020: — 40,000+ units shipped • $1 billion + in revenue • Source: ABI Research
Collaborative Robot Market Size? • Loup Ventures – 434,404 units by 2025; 61.2% CAGR; Total market value $9.0B • Markets & Markets - $4.28B by 2023; 56.9% CAGR • Statista – $12.8B by 2023 • Transparency Market Research - $95.0B by 2024; 30.0$ CAGR • Grand View Research - $6.7B by 2025 What will it be?
Collaborative Robot Suppliers
New Entries to the Market Doosan Kassow Pilz F&P
Collaborative Safety = TS 15066 • ISO/TS 15066:2016 – an ISO Technical Specification • RIA TR R15.606-2016 – An ANSI-registered Technical Report • Shorthand: “15066” or “TR 606” • Order & download PDF from RIA Webstore • Important! Supplemental to ISO 10218 / R15.06 • “Industrial Robots and Robot Systems – Safety Requirements” “ ”
Practical Steps for Collaborative Safety 1. Get to know your Standards • R15.06 / 10218; TR 606 / TS 15066 2. Think in terms of the Robot SYSTEM • Not just the robot arm! 3. Select Other Equipment with Care • Avoid end-effectors (etc.) that are sharp, pointed, jagged, hot... 4. Do your Risk Assessment • TR 306 5. Watch your Poses and Paths • Avoid those that might cause contact with face/ head/ neck, or clamping/ pinching
Resources: Robotics.org • Feature Articles • Safety Resources • Webinars • Supplier Information • Certified Integrators Program • Industry Event Schedule • More!
Resources: Robotics.org/ Safety Page • Standards Documents • Safety Seminars • Webinars • Risk Assessment Software
Upcoming Robot Safety Training Oct. 23 in Santa Clara, CA Oct. 9-11 in Detroit, MI Dec. 6 in Ann Arbor, MI Nov. 1 in Corning, NY
Upcoming Events with Collaborative Robots Oct 24-25 in Santa Clara, CA
Robotics is Growing Throughout the Value Chain Industrial Warehousing Retail Delivery • 15% Growth • 12% Growth • 9% growth • 29% growth per Year per Year per year per year through 2020 through 2020 through 2020 through 2020 • $23 billion • $3.4 billion • $73 million • $54 million market by market by market by market by 2020 2020 2020 2020 Sources: IFR (Industrial), MarketsandMarkets (Warehousing), Tractica (Retail), Technavio (Delivery)
What’s Next? Investment trends are telling us that the market wants tomorrow’s robots to be: • Mobile – Able to navigate complex environments autonomously. • Dexterous – Able to manipulate a variety of objects in varying orientations. • Smart – Able to quickly process data and learn. • Intuitive – User interfaces and social interactions should be simple and friendly.
Robots’ Impact on Human Jobs
The A3 Message 1. The inability to compete is the biggest threat to jobs, not automation. 2. Technology advances have always changed the nature of jobs. 3. If we focus on our fears, we will miss the opportunities. 4. The skills gap is real & requires our attention.
Robots’ Impact on Human Jobs Wo Worst Case by 2030: 800 800 million jobs displaced globally by automation 890 890 million jobs cre reated
More Robots, More Jobs Industrial Robot Shipments vs. Unemployment Level in the U.S. 30 000 2001 Great Recession Recession 25 000 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 - 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Industrial Robot Shipments (USA) Unemployment (USA, Thousands, End of Period)
The Skills Gap & Its Impact By 2025… 3.4 million manufacturing jobs will be needed 1.4 million are expected to be filled 2.0 million jobs will be left unfilled due to the skills gap Sources: Deloitte and Manufacturing Institute
Major 2019 Events January 14-16, 2019 Chicago, IL USA Hilton Orlando Bonnet Creek, Orlando, FL, USA McCormick Place
Automate Video
Thank you Jeff Burnstein President Robotic Industries Association (RIA) 900 Victors Way Suite 140 Ann Arbor, Michigan 48108 USA Phone: +1 (734) 994-6088 Email: jburnstein@robotics.org Twitter: @jeffburnstein
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