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ITU Internet Report 2002 INTERNET FOR A MOBILE INTERNET FOR A MOBILE GENERATION GENERATION www.itu.int/mobileinternet ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation Mobile and Internet: Identical twins born two years apart?


  1. ITU Internet Report 2002 INTERNET FOR A MOBILE INTERNET FOR A MOBILE GENERATION GENERATION www.itu.int/mobileinternet

  2. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation Mobile and Internet: Identical twins born two years apart? Users (millions) and penetration per 100 pop. 1,000 18 Mobile subscribers 16 Internet users 800 14 Mobile penetration 12 Internet penetration 600 10 8 400 6 4 200 2 0 0 1992 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 2000 01

  3. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation Distribution of mobile and Internet users by region, 2001 Estimated Internet users, 500 million Americas, 28% Asia-Pacific, 38% Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, 37% 32% Africa, 31% 3% Europe, 29% Mobile phone users 948 million Africa, 1%

  4. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation Upwardly mobile in Asia Asian leaders in mobile teledensity 120 Cellular penetration e.g. Japan: 100 rates , developed As ia, Taiwan,C hina 3G FOMA phones 1991-2001 with i-mode H ong K ong 80 (NTT DoCoMo) Singapore 60 Asian leaders in mobile Internet penetration Korea (R ep. of) Mobile Internet penetration, 2001 40 5.6 France 20 U K 6.9 M obile Internet users 0 7.0 Italy as a percentage of 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 Germ any 7.9 total m obile users Source: ITU World Telecommunications Indicators Database 7.9 U S Singapore 9.4 13.8 C anada Finland 16.5 59.1 R ep. of Korea 72.3 Japan Source: MPHPT (Japan)

  5. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation What is the “Mobile Internet”? • It is a combination of: – mobile (wireless) technologies – and information and data communications services – …with, eventually, the flexibility of IP networks? • It implies a convergence of: – terminals – networks – services and applications – corporate structures

  6. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation Mobile Internet – enabling technologies and applications • Network evolution: from 2G to 3G –higher speeds, increased bandwidth efficiency • “Alternative networks”: e.g wireless LANs – 802.11 series • Mobile User interface: i-mode, WAP • Messaging (SMS, EMS, MMS) • Evolution of digital content, e.g. location-based services (LBS) • Growing importance of security (WEP, WPKI)

  7. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation High-speed 3G is only part of the overall picture Range (metres) Global GPRS & CdmaOne (2.5G) 3G 1'000 Bluetooth 100 10 Wireless LAN 1 1 10 100 0.1 Data rate (Mbit/s)

  8. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation The 3G rollercoaster 700 UK Germany Prices per inhabitant, in US$ 600 500 400 300 Italy Czech Rep. 200 Korea (Rep.) Belgium Denmark Switzerland Netherlands 100 Greece Canada NZ Australia Austria 0 03/00 07/00 7/00 10/00 11/00 12/00 12/00 01/01 01/01 03/01 03/01 07/01 09/01 12/01 Note: Excludes licences awarded via “beauty contests” Source: ITU

  9. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation Market Trends • Where demand has been greatest – The ‘first-movers’: HK, Japan and Korea • Evolution of corporate strategies • Factors hindering market development – Low availability of adequate handsets – Plethora of standards/formats – Lack of evolved billing models • The economics of success – Avoiding pure tech-push plays – Partnership and collaboration – Encourage revenue-sharing & transparent tariffs

  10. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation What of digital content? • User sessions tend to be short (unlike the “browsing” behaviour of the fixed-line Internet) • Thus, “killer app” cannot be pure content Average length of mobile data sessions, 2001 2% n o Less than 5 minutes i 8% t a c i n 5-9 minutes u 10% m m 10-19 minutes o C 40% + 20-29 minutes n o i t 30 minutes or more a z i m o t Note: Based on responses to user survey s 40% u C Source: Jupiter Media Matrix, BCG

  11. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation Towards a mobile information society: “Pardon me, ma’am, but is that your tooth ringing?” • The advent of “pervasive” miniaturized mobile devices will transform our lifestyles – Can you swallow a mobile phone? • Implications of location-based services (LBS) – Can you easily be found in an emergency (e911)? – Can wireless implants track your every move? • Consumer protection, e.g. health, SPAM, – How to re-assure the end-user while fostering development?

  12. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation Highlights of ITU Report “Internet for a Mobile Generation” • 180 pages of information and analysis • Table of contents includes: technologies, market trends, regulatory/policy aspects, mobile information society • Analysis supported by country-specific case studies • Over 70 pages of statistical tables presenting latest available data. • The ITU Mobile/Internet Index**

  13. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation The ITU Mobile / Internet Index What it is: • A measure of current information and communication technologies (ICT) development, with a focus on mobile and Internet • A measure of an economy’s ability to take advantage of these technologies in the future What it is not: • A measure of the “mobile Internet” in an economy • Limited to mobile and Internet development only

  14. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation The Top 25 Economy Score Rank GDP Hong Kong, China 65.88 1 $24'249 Denmark 65.61 2 $30'902 Sweden 65.42 3 $25'654 Switzerland 65.10 4 $33'522 United States 65.04 5 $37'769 Norway 64.67 6 $35'265 Korea (Rep.) 63.42 7 $8'828 United Kingdom 63.00 8 $24'607 Netherlands 62.25 9 $23'995 Iceland 62.03 10 $32'069 Canada 61.97 11 $23'256 Finland 61.22 12 $23'883 Singapore 60.58 13 $21'188 Luxembourg 58.58 14 $44'664 Belgium 57.80 15 $22'498 Austria 57.72 16 $23'286 Germany 55.53 17 $22'675 Australia 55.40 18 $19'474 Portugal 55.13 19 $11'014 Japan 54.94 20 $34'337 France 52.45 21 $21'862 Greece 51.44 22 $10'707 Italy 51.13 23 $18'788 Czech Republic 50.95 24 $4'963 New Zealand 50.47 25 $11'847

  15. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation #1: A ‘networked’ Hong Kong Mobile users, H ong Kong, C hina (m illion) Mobiles, top 10 per 100 inhabitants, 2001, millions 7 Luxem bourg 96.7 2.5G users 6 Other prepaid Taiwan, China 96.6 45.9 % Internet "Activated" Hong Kong, China 85.5 5 penetration prepaid Italy 83.9 4 users Analogue P C S 1.7/ 1.8 G H z Norway 82.5 3 82.0 Iceland 2 80.8 Israel Internet users, top 10 by density, per 100, 2001 D igital, 800/900 MH z 80.7 1 Austria Iceland 67.9 79.0 Source: OFTA Sweden 0 Singapore 60.5 78.3 1995 United Kingdom 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002.8 Source: ITU N orway 59.6 Sweden 51.6 Korea (R ep.) 51.1 U nited States 50.0 85.5 % mobile H ong Kong, C hina 45.9 penetration Japan 45.5 D enm ark 44.7 C anada 43.5 Source: ITU

  16. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation For more information: www.itu.int/mobileinternet

  17. ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation Internet for a mobile generation ITU Internet Report 2002 180 pages of text and analysis 70 pages of statistical annexes Price: 100 CHF www.itu.int/mobileinternet

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