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INDIA INDIA Using technology Using technology for for Urban Sector Urban Sector AIM T i i AIM Training Workshop W k h Vaibhav Chaturvedi NIES, Tsukuba Prasoon Agarwal Amir Bashir Bazaz 31/10/2008 Vision ! Vision ! Discussion points


  1. INDIA INDIA Using technology Using technology for for Urban Sector Urban Sector AIM T i i AIM Training Workshop W k h Vaibhav Chaturvedi NIES, Tsukuba Prasoon Agarwal Amir Bashir Bazaz 31/10/2008

  2. Vision ! Vision !

  3. Discussion points Discussion points � City plan/ urban structure � Change in energy mix � Change in energy mix � End use technologies � Behavioral � Supply side technologies � Supply side technologies

  4. Our Analysis Our Analysis � Sectors of Focus � Urban Residential ( Slums) U ba d a ( u ) � Urban Transport

  5. Household Energy Profile Household Energy Profile

  6. Transport – CO2 Increase CO2 Increase Garg, 2006 Transport Garg (2006)

  7. Action 1 Energy Efficient housing for Urban areas for Urban areas Lack of skill Financing the need Lack of Lack of Special skilled professional Lack of knowledge Create innovative People/local about technology institutions mechanisms PPP/Microfinance/ people p p Subsidies/cost share Build Standardization capacity Motivation/Agreement Implementation p Data/Information about needs Collaborate/ Resource centers/ Participatory aggregate demand approaches design C Create critical mass t iti l (alternate governance Research/ structures) Survey Capacity building/Capability Capacity building/Capability Create information & Infrastructure – institutions, people, society

  8. Action 2 Skill level Penetration of sustainable Lack of low low energy energy local/personal technology - slums needs Lack of identification High investment professional High cost instit tions institutions Build High cost Improve load factor capacity Non-internalisation of Energy cost Create information and marketing infrastructure Low demand/basic Energy pricing policy demand demand Data/Information about needs Create some alternate Structure to support Aggregate demand Prices – subisidy on Prices subisidy on Generation/consumption Research/ Data/Information Survey about needs Data/Information Capacity building/Capability Capacity building/Capability about needs Create information & City plans- concretize Infrastructure – institutions, people, society

  9. Action 3 Using technology for Urban mass transportation High investment High user cost Improve High congestion Create innovative occupancy mechanisms ratio PPP/Subsidies PPP/Subsidies Use ICT for Use ICT for traffic management Low/Improper demand Lack of institutions Lack of institutions Information about needs/mapping Create information & Reduce Private vehicles Infrastructure – institutions, ast uctu e st tut o s, people, society Identification of technology Insufficient local public transport infrastructure Information about Data/Information transport needs about needs Research/ Survey

  10. Narrative Story y Category Factor A B Options Achievement level 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Urban 100% dissemnination of Reduction in demand Increased awareness about consumption - metering Residential/Commercial information Technology use for reducing energy consumption - like heating needs other lighting needs heating needs, other lighting needs 50% i 50% in class 1 cities by 2020 l 1 iti b 2020 Reduction in carbon 100% in class 1 cities by Better insulation material emissions 2050; 50% in class 2 cities 100% in class 1 cities by Energy efficient design 2050; 50% in class 2 cities 100% in class 1 cities by Increased use of solar power for water heating 2050; 50% in class 2 cities 2050; 50% in class 2 cities Reduction in carbon 100% in all major cities by Urban transportation Use of ICT in traffic management emissions 2020 Introduction of rapid transit systems in Class 1/2 cities 4 metros by 2020 4 metros by 2020 Reduction in service demand (pa-km/service) 100% by 2030 Private vehicles (increasing % of electric vehicles) 20% by 2050 50% by 2020 in all major Use of other clean fuels like natural gas cities Concretizing city plans - appropriate situaton of 100% by 2020 all major Reduction in demand amenities (schools, markets,..) cities Mix of mass rapid systems - as per needs & trip 30% by 2030 in all major requirements cities Use of ICT in shifting offices to homes (working from homes) ) 20% by 2030 Urban slum development Aggregating demand Provision of basic in-situ housing amenities (minimise efficiency loss) 50% slums by 2020 Technology suiting a resource efficient design 50% slums by 2020 50% slum occupation by Reduction of floor space occupation (vertical housing) 2030 Reduction in carbon Use of solar or other renewables for lighting and other emissions basic needs 50% slums by 2020 Efficient solid waste management system 50% slums by 2020

  11. Action 1 Energy Efficient housing for Urban areas Barriers 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Create information &Infrastructure – i institutions,people, society tit ti l i t C Capacity building/capacity it b ildi / it Resource centers/aggregate demand (Create Option 1 critical mass) Implementation issues Create innovative mechanisms Finance needs PPP/Microfinance/Subsidies/cost share Research/ Survey Data/Information about needs Option 2 L Lack of knowledge about k f k l d b t Standardization technology Collaborate/Participatory approaches design (alternate governance structures) Motivation/Agreement Special skilled People/local Option 3 Option 3 people people Lack of need identification Lack of need identification Lack of professional Build capacity institutions

  12. Using technology for improving urban mass transportation Action 2 Barriers 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Create information & Infrastructure – C t i f ti & I f t t institutions, people, society Create innovative mechanisms Option 1 PPP/Subsidies Use ICT for traffic management Option 2 Option 2 Identification of apprpriate technology Increase occupancy ratio Private vehicles reduction Option 3 Information about transport needs p Research/Survey

  13. Action 3 Penetration of sustainable energy technology - slums Barriers 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Internalisation of Energy cost High investment cost Create some alternate Structure to support Structure to support Option 1 Prices – subisidy on Pricing policy Generation/consumption Create information & Capacity Infrastructure – institutions,people, society building/capability Create information and marketing infrastructure High cost Option 2 Research/ Data/Information about Survey needs Improve load factor Improve load factor High cost High cost Option 3 Aggregate demand Low demand City plans- concretize Data/information needs

  14. Technology Scenarios for urban development Scenarios A B Accelerated Penetration of Action 1 penetration of f solar + energy l (Urban slums) solar efficiency Modal shift to Modal shift + Action 2 mass transport t t energy efficient ffi i t (Urban tpt) vehicles

  15. Penetration – Action 1 Urban Slums b Sl

  16. Penetration – Action 1 Urban Slums b Sl 12 10 10 8 6 4 4 2 0 2000 00 2005 05 2010 0 2015 5 2020 20 2025 25 2030 30 2035 35 2040 40 2045 45 2050 50

  17. Scenario 1A (Slums- Solar) Accelerated Solar penetration l d S l i More solar penetration 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

  18. Scenario 1B (Slums- Solar + ή ) Accelerated Solar penetration l d S l i BAU 250 200 150 100 100 50 0 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Efficiency improvement lead to a higher CO2 reduction

  19. Penetration – Action 2 Urban Transport b

  20. Penetration – Action 2 Urban Transport b 10 9 8 7 6 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 0 2000 00 2005 05 2010 10 2015 15 2020 20 2025 25 2030 30 2035 35 2040 40 2045 45 2050 50

  21. Scenario 2A (Urban – Mass) CO2 reduction d Shift to public transport 250 200 150 100 100 50 0 0 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

  22. Scenario 2B ( Urban – Mass + ή ) CO2 reduction d BAU 250 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Efficiency improvement lead to a higher CO2 reduction

  23. Comments Comments � Synergies: SD with LCS � Sensitizing policy makers and public � Sensitizing policy makers and public � Decision making and Implementation � centralized v/s decentralized � Developing Country Context – Biomass?? � Developing Country Context Biomass??

  24. Thank You !

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