Impact assessment of adaptation options - Selection of options and - PDF document

24.04.2012 www.ecologic.eu Impact assessment of adaptation options - Selection of options and methodology Jenny Tröltzsch Ecologic Institute 1

24.04.2012 www.ecologic.eu Typology for screening of adaptation options 5 criteria that support the identification of suitable options related to CP and CAP Basis for selection of specific options for detailed assessment Type of EU relevance Policy Temporal Overarching option dependence characteristics relevance • Grey • High • Planned • T1: Impacts 2020 • Relevant for • Green • Medium adaptation • T2: Impacts after 2020, overall sustainable • Soft • Low • Autonomous short time-lag development adaptation • T3: Impacts after 2020, • Specific interests long time-lag [including • T4: Impacts long-term, explanation] long time-lag 2 2

24.04.2012 www.ecologic.eu Screening of adaptation options Screening list with potential relevant adaptation options (based on MS action plans, policy-field specific studies, existing CBA) About 115 options screened along the criteria of the typology Selection of options for detailed analysis based on: Specific grey, green or soft adaptation options that are directly addressed to climate threats (standards, guidelines, etc. will be second “layer”) Short-term options that need to be implemented or prepared until 2020 Options that have a relevance for EU policy making, e.g. linked to existing EU policies or funding But also: Representative mix of options to validate the methodology 3 3

24.04.2012 www.ecologic.eu Selection of adaptation options for the detailed analysis Health Agriculture and Water Industry and Renewable forests management tourism energies • Remote • Set-up of hail nets • Additional • Awareness • Adaptation sensing and storm raising for SMEs of hydro- • On-farm harvesting satellite retention power of rainwater • Diversification imagery for reservoirs stations of tourism • Enhance floodplain early • Sustainable infrastructures management • Cooling of urban • Improve animal hospitals drainage rearing conditions systems • Buffer/vegetation strips • Plant winter cover • Improved forest management 4 4

24.04.2012 www.ecologic.eu Selection of adaptation options for the detailed analysis Grey, green or soft option Regret or no- Robustness under different regret scenarios Grey Green Soft Regret No- Relevant Relevant only regret under all under scenarios specific scenario Options 9 6 3 9 6 9 6 5 5

24.04.2012 www.ecologic.eu Impact assessment - Methodology Different criteria are used: Basic information: policy field, type of measure (green, grey, soft), coherence with other EU policies, strategies Effectiveness: relevance, urgency, flexibility Economic effects: cost and benefit estimation, benefit-cost-ratio, funding potential under CAP/Cohesion policy Effects on innovation, competitiveness, effect on different actors (e.g. SMEs) or regions 6 6

24.04.2012 www.ecologic.eu Impact assessment - Methodology Environmental effects: synergies with climate mitigation, effects on biodiversity, other environmental pressures Social effects: effects on employment, labour market, distributional effects, effects on public health and safety, possible governance participation 7 7