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Gross domestic product 1 st quarter 2020 30 June 2020 Embargo: - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

GDP GDP Q1: 2020 Q1: 2020 Gross domestic product 1 st quarter 2020 30 June 2020 Embargo: 11:30am @StatsSA #GDP GDP GDP Q1: 2020 Q1: 2020 GDP production GDP Q1: 2020 Growth figures for Q1: 2020 Real GDP Real GDP -0,1% -2,0% in


  1. GDP GDP Q1: 2020 Q1: 2020 Gross domestic product 1 st quarter 2020 30 June 2020 Embargo: 11:30am @StatsSA #GDP

  2. GDP GDP Q1: 2020 Q1: 2020 GDP production

  3. GDP Q1: 2020 Growth figures for Q1: 2020 Real GDP Real GDP -0,1% -2,0% in Q1: 2020 in Q1: 2020 (year-on-year) (quarter-on-quarter) Seasonally adjusted and annualised unadjusted

  4. GDP Q1: 2020 The economy contracted for the third consecutive quarter in Q1: 2020 Mining and manufacturing were the biggest drags on growth Quarter-on-quarter percentage growth in GDP production, seasonally adjusted and annualised

  5. GDP Q1: 2020 Both the primary and secondary sectors contracted in Q1: 2020 1,3% -7,5% -11,8% Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

  6. GDP Q1: 2020 LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions 0,5 Industry growth rates in Q1: 2020 0,8 Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised 0,1 0,0 0,0 GDP -0,2 -2,0% -0,2 -0,1 -1,1 -1,7

  7. GDP Q1: 2020 Q/Q growth in Q1: 2020, seasonally adjusted and annualised Agriculture : Increased production was reported for field crops, horticultural products and animal products Mining : Decreased production was reported for iron ore, manganese ore, other metallic minerals and chromium

  8. GDP Q1: 2020 Q/Q growth in Q1: 2020, seasonally adjusted and annualised Manufacturing : Petroleum and chemicals; metal products and machinery; and automotive products were the main drags on growth Electricity, gas and water : A fall in both electricity distributed and water consumption pulled overall growth down Construction : A fall in activity was reported for residential buildings, non-residential buildings and construction works

  9. GDP Q1: 2020 Q/Q growth in Q1: 2020, seasonally adjusted and annualised Trade : All trade activities reported a fall in activity, with the exception of retail Transport : Freight transport and communication activities contributed to the rise Finance : Financial intermediation and ‘other’ business services contributed positively to growth Government : The rise in activity was partly attributed to increased employment numbers in the civil service

  10. GDP Q1: 2020 Nominal GDP values for Q1: 2020

  11. GDP Q1: 2020 Nominal GDP was estimated at R1,28 trillion in Q1: 2020, down by R37 billion from Q4: 2019 Trade was down by R25 billion to R168 billion Mining was down by R19 billion to R87 billion Agriculture was up by R13 billion to R25 billion Electricity, gas and water was up by R6 billion to R42 billion

  12. GDP Q1: 2020 Which are the largest (and smallest) industries in South Africa? Percentage contribution to total nominal value added in Q1: 2020 Finance and business Trade Transport Mining services 15% 10% 8% 20% Electricity, Government Manufacturing Personal gas and Construction water services 19% 4% 13% 4% 6% Agriculture 2% Percentages have been rounded and may not sum to 100%

  13. GDP GDP Q1: 2020 Q1: 2020 Expenditure on GDP

  14. GDP Q1: 2020 Growth figures for Q1: 2020 Expenditure Expenditure on GDP on GDP -1,3% -2,3% in Q1: 2020 in Q1: 2020 (year-on-year) (quarter-on-quarter) Seasonally adjusted and annualised Unadjusted

  15. GDP Q1: 2020 GDPe contracted for the third consecutive quarter in Q1: 2020 Declining investment and drawdown in inventories were the largest contributors to the negative growth Quarter-on-quarter percentage growth, seasonally adjusted and annualised

  16. GDP Q1: 2020 LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions Component growth 0,2 rates in Q1: 2020 Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised 0,4 Expenditure on GDP -2,3% -0,7 5,3 -4,2 Change in inventories: -R67,3 billion (contribution: -3,4 percentage points)

  17. GDP GDP GDP GDP Q1: 2020 Q3 2016 Q2 2017 Q1: 2020 Household final consumption expenditure (HFCE) 0,7% in Q1: 2020 (quarter-on-quarter) Seasonally adjusted and annualised

  18. GDP Q1: 2020 Quarter-on-quarter percentage growth in HFCE Seasonally adjusted and annualised The rise in Q1: 2020 was in line with retail trade sales. There was increased expenditure on housing & utilities, health, and education services

  19. GDP Q1: 2020 LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions 0,8 0,1 0,3 0,2 0,0 0,2 0,0 0,1 HFCE by purpose 0,0 0,7% 0,0 -0,6 -0,5

  20. GDP Q1: 2020 LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions 1,3 HFCE by durability 0,7% 0,8 -0,6 -0,8 Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

  21. GDP GDP GDP GDP Q1: 2020 Q3 2016 Q2 2017 Q1: 2020 Government final consumption expenditure (GFCE) 1,1% in Q1: 2020 (quarter-on-quarter) Seasonally adjusted and annualised

  22. GDP Q1: 2020 Quarter-on-quarter percentage growth in GFCE Seasonally adjusted and annualised Increased employment and spending on goods and services contributed to the positive growth in government final consumption expenditure

  23. GDP GDP GDP GDP Q1: 2020 Q3 2016 Q2 2017 Q1: 2020 Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) -20,5% in Q1: 2020 (quarter-on-quarter) Seasonally adjusted and annualised

  24. GDP Q1: 2020 Quarter-on-quarter growth in GFCF Seasonally adjusted and annualised The fall in Q1: 2020 was largely driven largely by decreasing investments in computer equipment, computer software and transport equipment

  25. GDP Q1: 2020 LHS: growth rates RHS: contributions -0,2 0,0 GFCF by -0,9 asset type -20,5% -0,8 -9,8 -2,9 -5,8 Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

  26. GDP GDP GDP GDP Q1: 2020 Q3 2016 Q2 2017 Q1: 2020 Change in inventories -R67 256 million in Q1: 2020 (quarter-on-quarter) Seasonally adjusted and annualised

  27. GDP Q1: 2020 Change in inventories (R million) In Q1: 2020, large inventory drawdowns were reported for the mining, manufacturing and trade industries

  28. GDP GDP GDP GDP Q1: 2020 Q2 2017 Q3 2016 Q1: 2020 Exports Imports -2,3% -16,7% in Q1: 2020 in Q1: 2020 (quarter-on-quarter) (quarter-on-quarter) Seasonally adjusted and annualised Seasonally adjusted and annualised

  29. GDP Q1: 2020 Quarter-on-quarter percentage growth in exports Seasonally adjusted and annualised Exports decreased by 2,3% in Q1: 2020, largely influenced by a decrease in precious metal and stones, base metals and travel services

  30. GDP Q1: 2020 Quarter-on-quarter percentage growth in imports Seasonally adjusted and annualised Imports decreased by 16,7% in Q1: 2020, largely influenced by a fall in machinery and equipment, mineral products and travel services

  31. GDP Q1: 2020 Recap

  32. GDP Q1: 2020 GDP and expenditure on GDP growth rates Quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted and annualised

  33. GDP Q1: 2020 Growth figures for Q1: 2020 Real GDP Real GDP -0,1% -2,0% in Q1: 2020 in Q1: 2020 (year-on-year) (quarter-on-quarter) Seasonally adjusted and annualised unadjusted

  34. GDP Q1: 2020 Employment and GDP share per industry, Q1: 2020 Share of nominal GDP Employment shares Community and social services 22,9% 24,8% Trade 20,3% 15,1% Finance 15,4% 20,2% Manufacturing 10,4% 12,9% Construction 8,2% 3,7% Private households 8,0% Transport 6,1% 9,5% Agriculture 5,3% 2,3% Mining 2,7% 7,8% Utilities 0,7% 3,8% Percentages have been rounded and may not sum to 100% Employment shares: Quarterly Labour Force Survey (QLFS), 1 st quarter 2020

  35. GDP Q1: 2020 Ndzi hela kwala! 35

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