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Greenhouse Gases Greenhouse Gases EES 3310/5310 EES 3310/5310 Global Climate Change Global Climate Change Jonathan Gilligan Jonathan Gilligan Class #5: Class #5: Wednesday, January 15 Wednesday, January 15 2020 2020 Ofce Hours


  1. Greenhouse Gases Greenhouse Gases EES 3310/5310 EES 3310/5310 Global Climate Change Global Climate Change Jonathan Gilligan Jonathan Gilligan Class #5: Class #5: Wednesday, January 15 Wednesday, January 15 2020 2020

  2. Of�ce Hours Of�ce Hours Rescheduled for today only: 11:10–12:00. In general: If you have questions, my scheduled office hours are times you can just drop in with questions. No appointment necessary. I can make appointments for other times if necessary.

  3. Lab #2 Assignment, Part 1: Lab #2 Assignment, Part 1:

  4. General Principles: General Principles: Start at the top and work down: Start at the top and work down: 1. Balance budget at boundary to space Get “skin temperature” (top layer) 2. Balance budget at top layer of atmosphere Get temp. of next layer down (2 nd from top) 3. Balance budget at next layer of atmosphere Get temp. of next layer down (3 rd from top) 4. … 5. Balance budget at bottom layer of atmosphere This gives surface (ground) temperature. As long as the albedo and the solar constant don’t change, the skin temperature is always the same for all models: 254 K. — Understanding the Forecast , p. 25.

  5. “Balance the Budget” “Balance the Budget” Heat in Heat = Heat Heat out in out Nature balances the budget automatically. We use this fact to find the ground temperature. If you know that , you can figure out the intensities you Heat in = Heat out don’t know. If you know the intensity of heat going out of something, you know its temperature.

  6. 1-Layer Model Review 1-Layer Model Review Clari�cation Clari�cation When shortwave radiation hits surface: Fraction is reflected . α Fraction is absorbed . 1 − α When longwave radiation hits surface or layer of atmosphere: 100% is absorbed . When radiation is absorbed: It transforms from radiative energy to thermal energy . It stops behaving like radiation . It becomes vibrations of the molecules in the dirt, water, or atmosphere. Separately from radiation being absorbed: Thermal radiation is emitted from hot objects. Greenhouse effect is not longwave radiation reflecting off atmosphere Longwave radiation is absorbed by atmosphere Radiation changes into thermal energy in air molecules. Air molecules get hotter . Later, air molecules give off thermal radiation This radiation is different from the radiation they absorbed.

  7. 1-Layer Model in Brief 1-Layer Model in Brief Start at top: Start at top: Balance heat budget at boundary to space. (1 − α ) I solar T 4 = ϵσ atmos 4 Same as bare-rock model: . T atmos = 254 K skin temperature Balance budget at atmosphere: ϵσ T 4 = 2 ϵσ T 4 atmos ground T 4 = 2 T 4 atmos ground – 4 T ground = √ 2 T atmos Ground temp : . – 4 √ T ground = 2 T skin = 302 K

  8. 1-Layer Model: Heat Balance Details 1-Layer Model: Heat Balance Details Numbers: m 2 I solar = 1350 W / m 2 I in = (1 − α ) I solar /4 = 236 W / m 2 I down,atm = I up,atm = I in = 236 W / m 2 I up,ground = 2 I up,atm = 472 W / Balance: Space: , m 2 in = I in = 236 W / . m 2 out = I up,atm = 236 W / Atmosphere: , m 2 in = I up,ground = 472 W / . m 2 out = 2 I up,atm = 472 W / Ground: , m 2 in = I in + I down,atm = 472 W / . m 2 out = I up,ground = 472 W /

  9. Greenhouse Gases Greenhouse Gases

  10. Greenhouse Gases Greenhouse Gases Layer model was too simple: Emissivity , varies with wavelength ε Temperature varies with altitude

  11. Temperature in the Atmosphere Temperature in the Atmosphere

  12. Longwave Light in the Atmosphere Longwave Light in the Atmosphere

  13. Earth seen by GOES satellite Earth seen by GOES satellite

  14. Understanding Greenhouse Gases Understanding Greenhouse Gases

  15. Molecular Structure Molecular Structure Single atoms & two-atom molecules with the same atom (O 2 , N 2 ) have little or no longwave absorption Molecules with: two different atoms (CO, NO) absorb (simple stretch) three or more atoms (CO 2 , O 3 , H 2 O) absorb strongly (multiple stretching & bending modes) More atoms, more different kinds → stronger absorption (CH 4 , C 2 F 3 Cl 3 aka CFC 113)

  16. Models and Observations Models and Observations

  17. Models and Observations Models and Observations

  18. Checking MODTRAN model: It looks very similar to real life.

  19. MODTRAN Computer Model MODTRAN Computer Model

  20. What is MODTRAN? What is MODTRAN? Pure radiative calculation Air does not move: No wind or convection Only calculates infrared heat flux Does not give equilibrium ground temperature Only calculates one spot Does not give global averages You specify: Ground temperature Composition of atmosphere Modtran computes: Longwave radiation at different altitudes Total radiation to space

  21. Running MODTRAN Running MODTRAN Go to http://climatemodels.uchicago.edu/modtran/ Next MODTRAN Infrared Light in the Atmosphere About this model Other Models Model Input 0.60 80 Model 300 K CO 2 (ppm) 400 280 K CH 4 (ppm) 1.7 260 K 60 240 K Trop. Ozone (ppb) 0.45 28 220 K Strat. Ozone scale 1 Intensity (W/m2 cm-1) Water Vapor Scale 1 Altitude (km) Freon Scale 40 1 0.30 Temperature Offset, 0 C 20 Locality Tropical Atmosphere 0.15 No Clouds or Rain Altitude (km) 70 0 200 240 280 Looking down 0.00 220 260 50 550 1,050 1,550 2,050 T (K) Save This Run to Background Show Raw Model Output Wavenumber (1/cm) Model Output Wavenumber T (K) Upward IR Heat Flux 298.52 W/m 2 Ground Temperature 299.7 K Spectrum expanded 5-11-17, changing the IR out value.

  22. Exercise: Double CO Exercise: Double CO 2 Set Locality to “1976 U.S. Standard Atmosphere” Click “Save This Run to Background” Note the Upward IR heat flux Double the amount of CO 2 Adjust T offset until new heat flux = background flux What is the new ground temperature? MODTRAN Infrared Light in the Atmosphere About this model Other Models Model Input 0.60 80 Model 300 K CO 2 (ppm) 400 280 K CH 4 (ppm) 1.7 260 K 60 240 K Trop. Ozone (ppb) 0.45 28 220 K Strat. Ozone scale 1 Intensity (W/m2 cm-1) Water Vapor Scale 1 Altitude (km) Freon Scale 40 1 0.30 Temperature Offset, 0 C 20 Locality Tropical Atmosphere 0.15 No Clouds or Rain Altitude (km) 70 0 200 240 280 Looking down 0.00 220 260 50 550 1,050 1,550 2,050 T (K) Save This Run to Background Show Raw Model Output Wavenumber (1/cm) Model Output Wavenumber T (K)

  23. Exercise: Double CO Exercise: Double CO 2 MODTRAN Infrared Light in the Atmosphere About this model Other Models Model Input 0.60 80 Model 300 K CO 2 (ppm) 400 280 K CH 4 (ppm) 1.7 260 K 60 240 K Trop. Ozone (ppb) 0.45 28 220 K Strat. Ozone scale 1 Intensity (W/m2 cm-1) Water Vapor Scale 1 Altitude (km) Freon Scale 40 1 0.30 Temperature Offset, 0 C 20 Locality Tropical Atmosphere 0.15 No Clouds or Rain Altitude (km) 70 0 200 240 280 Looking down 0.00 220 260 50 550 1,050 1,550 2,050 T (K) Save This Run to Background Show Raw Model Output Wavenumber (1/cm) Model Output Wavenumber T (K) Upward IR Heat Flux 298.52 W/m 2 Ground Temperature 299.7 K Spectrum expanded 5-11-17, changing the IR out value.

  24. Different Gases Different Gases

  25. Different Gases Different Gases MODTRAN Infrared Light in the Atmosphere About this model Other Models Model Input 80 0.60 Model 300 K CO 2 (ppm) 400 280 K CH 4 (ppm) 1.7 260 K 60 240 K 0.45 Trop. Ozone (ppb) 28 220 K Strat. Ozone scale 1 Intensity (W/m2 cm-1) Water Vapor Scale 1 Altitude (km) Freon Scale 40 1 0.30 Temperature Offset, 0 C 20 Locality Tropical Atmosphere 0.15 No Clouds or Rain Altitude (km) 70 0 200 240 280 Looking down 0.00 220 260 50 550 1,050 1,550 2,050 T (K) Save This Run to Background Show Raw Model Output Wavenumber (1/cm) Model Output Wavenumber T (K) Upward IR Heat Flux 298.52 W/m 2 Ground Temperature 299.7 K Spectrum expanded 5-11-17, changing the IR out value.

  26. Band Saturation Band Saturation

  27. Set up MODTRAN: Set up MODTRAN: Set “Location” to “1976 U.S. Standard Atmosphere” Set All greenhouse gases to zero Set altitude to 20 km MODTRAN Infrared Light in the Atmosphere About this model Other Models Model Input 80 0.60 Model 300 K CO 2 (ppm) 400 280 K CH 4 (ppm) 1.7 260 K 60 240 K 0.45 Trop. Ozone (ppb) 28 220 K Strat. Ozone scale 1 Intensity (W/m2 cm-1) Water Vapor Scale 1 Altitude (km) Freon Scale 40 1 0.30 Temperature Offset, 0 C 20 Locality Tropical Atmosphere 0.15 No Clouds or Rain Altitude (km) 70 0 200 240 280 Looking down 0.00 220 260 50 550 1,050 1,550 2,050 T (K) Save This Run to Background Show Raw Model Output Wavenumber (1/cm) Model Output Wavenumber T (K) Upward IR Heat Flux 298.52 W/m 2 Ground Temperature 299.7 K Spectrum expanded 5-11-17, changing the IR out value.

  28. No CO No CO 2

  29. 1 ppm CO 1 ppm CO 2

  30. 2 ppm CO 2 ppm CO 2

  31. 4 ppm CO 4 ppm CO 2

  32. 8 ppm CO 8 ppm CO 2

  33. 16 ppm CO 16 ppm CO 2

  34. 32 ppm CO 32 ppm CO 2

  35. 64 ppm CO 64 ppm CO 2

  36. 128 ppm CO 128 ppm CO 2

  37. 256 ppm CO 256 ppm CO 2

  38. 512 ppm CO 512 ppm CO 2

  39. 1024 ppm CO 1024 ppm CO 2

  40. 2048 ppm CO 2048 ppm CO 2

  41. Measuring Band Saturation Measuring Band Saturation

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