GEODEMOGRAPHICSAND SPATIAL MICROSIMULATION: USING SURVEY DATA TO - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Jens Kandt · UCL Geography· 16 April 2015 GEODEMOGRAPHICSAND SPATIAL MICROSIMULATION: USING SURVEY DATA TO INFER HEALTH MILIEU GEOGRAPHIES

HEALTH ‘BEHAVIOURS’ IN LONDON Smoking: Physical inactivity: London Health Commission(2014)

THE GEOGRAPHY OF HEALTH ‘BEHAVIOURS’ Behaviour vs. practice

UNDERSTANDING SOCIETY LONGITUDINAL STUDY  Lifestyle survey  Panel with n > 40,000  Since 2009  Whole UK

THE HEALTH MILIEUS

THE HEALTH MILIEUS

THE HEALTH MILIEUS

THE HEALTH MILIEUS

INFERRING MILIEU GEOGRAPHIES

SPATIAL MICROSIMULATION Matching (‘constraint’) variables 1. education 2. age 3. job status 4. tenure 5. hh.composition 6. marital status 7. NSSEC status 8. health 9. cars 10. hh.size 11. disability 12. ethnicity 13. children 14. unpaid care 15. sex

GEOGRAPHY OF HEALTH MILIEUS

‘INTERNAL’ VALIDATION var age car children disability econ.active education ethnicity hh.comp. marital NSSEC tenure C.E.(%) 11.7 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6 6.6 0.0 6.8

‘EXTERNAL’ VALIDATION: LONDON OAC (Longley & Singleton 2014) Milieus LOAC category X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6 X7 X8 X9 X10 A. Intermediate Lifestyles 1.14 1.12 0.99 1.06 0.78 0.77 0.82 0.95 1.45 0.99 B. High Density & High Rise Flats 1.30 1.21 1.07 1.09 0.65 0.87 0.72 1.01 1.28 0.88 C. Settled Asians 1.12 0.92 1.24 0.99 0.79 0.64 0.92 1.39 0.86 1.01 0.76 0.90 0.83 0.77 1.51 1.76 1.20 0.69 0.60 0.95 D. Urban Elites E. City Vibe 0.92 0.99 0.89 0.95 1.21 1.30 1.11 0.83 0.88 0.94 F. London Life Cycle 0.62 0.79 0.84 0.86 1.49 1.29 1.40 0.82 0.71 1.16 G. Multi-Ethnic Suburbs 1.21 1.16 1.03 1.05 0.69 0.77 0.74 1.24 1.16 0.92 0.75 0.83 1.00 1.17 1.14 0.85 1.24 0.91 0.97 1.18 H. Ageing City Fringe

CONCLUSIONS

CONCLUSIONS Milieu approach vs. conventional geodemographics dimension milieu segmentation conventionalgeodemographics analytical unit individual area theory social theory ecological reasoning spatial patterns hypothesisgiven zonal‘evidence’ ecological description ecological output continuousdegrees discrete classes dynamic extension direct indirect

THANK YOU. Acknowledgements Paul Longley, UCL · Jenny Robinson, UCL · James Cheshire, UCL · Nicola Shelton, UCL