Pot oten ential l Te Text xtile e an and d Clo loth thing g Expo xport rts (H (HS S 61 61 an and d 62 62) fr from om CLMV V to o Ja Japa pan Sh Shunsuke Ba Bando (sban ando@as asean an.or or.jp jp) Head o of Research and P Policy Analysis Cluster ASEAN-JAPAN AN CENTRE
Out utli line e of of th the e Pre rese sentation 1. Analysis of the RCA/BRCA for CLMV 2. Identification of competitive exporting goods from CLMV 3. Commodities under HS 61 and 62 4. Exports of HS 61 and 62 Products from CLMV 5. Japan’s HS 61 and 62 Imports from CLMV 6. Potential Markets in Japan 7. Positive Factors 8. Challenges 9. Strategies (Appendix) 1. List of high RCA products for CLMV 2
1. Analysis of the RCA/BRCA for CLMV RCA : The product’s share in a country’s exports is higher than the product’s share in the world exports ( RCA>1) means the country reveals comparative advantage in this particular product BRCA : Identify how much a country is exporting to a given market relative to how much the world is exporting to that market. BRCA>1 means country A have a comparative advantage for that product in country (Japan) market Meth ethod Num umer erator Den enom omin inato tor Revealed A country’s export of product A to World export of product A/ Comparative the World/ World export of all products Advantage A country’s exports of all products to (RCA) the World Bilateral A country’s export of product A to World export of product A to Japan/ Revealed Japan/ World export of all products to Japan Comparative A country’s exports of all products to Advantage Japan (BRCA) 3
2. Identification of competitive exporting goods from CLMV • HS 61 and 62 are considered as high export potential from CLMV to Japan (RCAs are available in appendix) RCA/BRCA Viet Cambodia Lao PDR Myanmar Common Nam chapters High 61, 62, 61, 62, 61, 44, 62, 61, 3, 61, 62 RCA/High 64, 9, 63, 64, 62, 85, 12, 71 BRCA 44, 52 42, 65, 1, 12, 85 31, 64 4
3. Commodities under HS 61 and 62 61 Apparel and clothing accessories; knitted or crocheted 6101 Coats; men's or boys' overcoats, car-coats, capes, cloaks, anoraks, ski-jackets, etc 6102 Coats; women's or girls' overcoats, car-coats, capes, cloaks, anoraks, ski-jackets, etc 6103 Suits, ensembles, jackets, blazers, trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches, shorts (not swimwear); men's or boys', 6104 Suits, ensembles, jackets, dresses, skirts, divided skirts, trousers, bib and brace overalls, etc 6105 Shirts; men's or boys', knitted or crocheted 6106 Blouses, shirts and shirt-blouses; women's or girls', knitted or crocheted 6107 Underpants, briefs, nightshirts, pyjamas, bathrobes, dressing gowns and similar articles; 6108 Slips, petticoats, briefs, panties, nightdresses, pyjamas, negligees, bathrobes, dressing gowns and similar articles 6109 T-shirts, singlets and other vests; knitted or crocheted 6110 Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles; knitted or crocheted 6111 Garments and clothing accessories, babies'; knitted or crocheted 6112 Track suits, ski suits and swimwear; knitted or crocheted 6113 Garments made up of knitted or crocheted fabrics of heading no. 5903, 5906 and 5907 6114 Garments; knitted or crocheted, n.e.c. in chapter 61 6115 Hosiery; panty hose, tights, stockings, socks and other hosiery, including graduated compression hosiery, etc 6116 Gloves, mittens and mitts; knitted or crocheted 6117 Clothing accessories; made up, knitted or crocheted, knitted or crocheted parts of garments or of clothing accessories 5
3. Commodities under HS 61 and 62 62 Apparel and clothing accessories; not knitted or crocheted 6201 Overcoats, car-coats, capes, cloaks, anoraks (including ski-jackets), wind-cheaters, wind-jackets and similar articles, men's or boys, etc 6202 Coats; women's or girls' overcoats, carcoats, capes, cloaks, anoraks, ski-jackets, wind-cheaters, wind-jackets and similar articles, etc 6203 Suits, ensembles, jackets, blazers, trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts (other than swimwear); men's or boys 6204 Suits, ensembles, jackets, dresses, skirts, divided skirts, trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts (other thanswimwear) etc 6205 Shirts; men's or boys' (not knitted or crocheted) 6206 Blouses, shirts and shirt-blouses; women's or girls' (not knitted or crocheted) 6207 Singlets and other vests, underpants, briefs, night-shirts, pyjamas, bathrobes, dressing gowns and similar articles; men's or boys' Singlets and other vests, slips, petticoats, briefs, panties, nightdresses, pyjamas, negligees, bathrobes, dressing gowns andsimilar articles, etc 6208 6209 Garments and clothing accessories; babies' (not knitted or crocheted) 6210 Garments made up of fabrics of heading no. 5602, 5603, 5903, 5906 or 5907 (not knitted or crocheted) 6211 Track suits, swimwear and other garments (not knitted or crocheted) 6212 Brassieres, girdles, corsets, braces, suspenders, garters and similar articles and parts thereof; whether or not knitted or crocheted 6213 Handkerchiefs (not knitted or crocheted) 6214 Shawls, scarves, mufflers, mantillas, veils and the like (not knitted or crocheted) 6215 Ties, bow ties and cravats (not knitted or crocheted) 6216 Gloves, mittens and mitts (not knitted or crocheted) 6217 Clothing accessories n.e.c.; parts of garments or accessories other than those of heading no. 6212 (not knitted or crocheted) 6
4. Exp xpor orts ts of of HS HS 61 and 6 62 Pro roducts ts fr from om CL CLMV • Japan market share in total exports is highest for Myanmar with others around 10% Unit: US$ million, % HS 61 HS 62 Total Year Value Japan Value Japan Value Japan share share share Cambodia 2016 6,108 7.9 519 22.6 6,627 9.0 Lao PDR 2016 43 4.9 107 10.1 149 8.6 Myanmar 2018 854 18.7 3,263 29.1 4,116 27.0 Viet Nam 2017 12,059 11.3 12,337 12.1 24,396 11.7 Source: United Nations COM TRADE 7
4. Exp xpor orts ts of of HS HS 61 and 6 62 Pro roducts ts fr from om CL CLMV • Shares of Japan are increasing for Cambodia and Lao PDR • Cambodia growth driven by HS 61 Total Exports and share of Japan Unit: US$ million, % Source: United Nations COM TRADE 8
4. Exp xpor orts ts of of HS HS 61 and 6 62 Pro roducts ts fr from om CL CLMV • Shares of Japan are volatile and stable for Myanmar and Viet Nam respectively • Myanmar growth driven by HS 62 Unit: US$ million, % Total Exports and share of Japan Source: United Nations COM TRADE 9
4. Exp xpor orts ts of of HS HS 61 and 6 62 Pro roducts ts fr from om CLMV CL • Each country has several HS 61 products whose RCA increased, particularly Cambodia Trend of RCA in HS 61 Cambodia Lao PDR Mynmar Viet Nam 2006 2010 2014 2018 2018/2006 2006 2010 2014 2018 2018/2010 2006 2010 2014 2018 2018/2014 2006 2010 2014 2018 2018/2006 6101 0.1 0.1 9.4 94.9 950.3 0.0 0.3 2.3 66.9 6.8 60.1 8.9 0.2 0.3 14.2 11.9 72.0 6102 0.1 0.1 10.6 100.3 874.9 0.0 0.3 1.9 175.2 0.2 29.5 167.8 0.3 0.4 15.8 11.7 43.8 6103 10.1 8.2 175.8 37.6 3.7 0.4 3.5 0.9 2.3 0.7 3.6 4.9 0.4 0.7 3.5 4.4 11.5 6104 15.6 13.9 88.2 37.9 2.4 0.2 1.9 1.0 4.5 0.2 2.9 14.0 0.7 1.8 5.4 5.4 7.3 6105 3.4 1.7 44.3 21.2 6.3 0.6 11.2 2.7 4.8 2.5 7.8 3.2 0.4 0.7 7.5 6.6 18.6 6106 4.5 2.5 61.0 24.4 5.4 0.1 2.0 1.3 23.4 0.4 4.3 11.0 0.2 0.4 6.4 4.6 20.9 6107 0.8 1.3 62.5 46.7 55.4 0.7 19.0 9.7 13.5 2.1 2.0 0.9 0.0 0.4 7.8 6.9 138.1 6108 3.7 3.1 72.6 38.9 10.6 0.1 0.8 1.0 6.7 0.5 5.9 13.0 0.2 0.5 3.5 3.6 16.0 6109 0.7 5.2 78.0 27.6 39.8 1.2 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.1 3.4 45.4 0.8 2.0 5.0 4.6 6.0 6110 22.3 10.8 28.6 43.4 2.0 1.0 1.6 1.0 1.0 0.4 4.2 10.4 1.1 3.5 5.9 5.4 5.0 6111 0.9 1.0 95.3 67.2 72.8 0.2 0.0 0.6 3.0 0.1 3.3 23.7 0.1 0.1 3.3 3.2 55.1 6112 0.4 0.8 53.2 52.7 119.5 0.0 0.8 0.0 1.9 0.0 0.8 18.4 0.1 0.2 4.5 4.7 75.0 6113 0.0 0.2 3.3 59.5 #DIV/0! 0.0 0.0 0.1 #DIV/0! 0.0 3.0 321.9 0.0 0.0 4.5 4.8 441.3 6114 0.6 0.6 14.1 28.2 47.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 7.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.5 7.7 4.3 25.4 6115 0.0 0.2 3.2 2.7 116.8 0.1 1.1 0.4 4.1 1.0 1.2 1.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 63.4 6116 0.0 0.0 7.5 6.2 4,784.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3 0.1 3.1 28.5 0.0 0.1 3.1 3.3 77.2 6117 0.0 0.0 6.5 2.6 3,879.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 53.2 0.9 2.3 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.8 78.8 Source: United Nations COM TRADE 10
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