Drainage Services Department Research & Development Forum 2016 Large Scale Application of Photovoltaic Panels CC Ngan, Senior Manager – New Energy CLP Holdings
Agenda Photovoltaic overview Price trends Global installed capacity Technology trends A large scale solar photovoltaic power plant The 101 The “scale” Typical development process Seeing is believing! Co/BG/Unit 2
Market trends – Module price and capacity Co/BG/Unit 3
Market trends – Module price in last 5 years ~ 60% price drop in the past 5 years (Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance - BNEF) Co/BG/Unit 4
Market trends – Total cost for different systems USA PV system price (GTM Research) USA utility PV system price breakdowns (GTM Research) Co/BG/Unit 5
Market trends – Cost outlook for utility scale system Utility PV system price breakdowns (BNEF) Co/BG/Unit 6
Market trends – Global capacity Source: Fraunhofer ISE Co/BG/Unit 7
Market trends – Capacity by country Co/BG/Unit 8
Market trends – Outlook on capacity Source: BNEF Co/BG/Unit 9
Market trends – Solar tariff Co/BG/Unit 10
Market trends - Penetration Co/BG/Unit 11
Market trends – Utility capacities Co/BG/Unit 12
Technology trends – Market share Source: Fraunhofer ISE Co/BG/Unit 13
Technology trends – Production share Source: Fraunhofer ISE Co/BG/Unit 14
Technology trends – Cell and module efficiency Source: Fraunhofer ISE Co/BG/Unit 15
Technology trends – Commercialized modules Source: Fraunhofer ISE Co/BG/Unit 16
Technology trends – Top 10 suppliers Source: Renewable Energy World Co/BG/Unit 17
PV power plant 101 – As simple as … PV string PV arrays Inverter Grid Main transformer Step up transformer DC AC System efficiency (Performance Ratio or PR) = kWh to grid / (Plane of array irradiance x module efficiency) Co/BG/Unit 18
Figures from a large scale PV power plant A typical 50MW dc solar PV power plant could have ~200,000 PV modules ~10,000 strings ~ 600 dc combiner boxes ~ 50 x 1MW inverters/inverter houses and step up transformers ~ 3000 tons of steel structure Up to 50,000 foundations ~ 90km of power cables ~ 90 hectares of land ~100,000 man-days to completion … Co/BG/Unit 19
Technology trends – System efficiency Co/BG/Unit 20
Development process • • Land Design • • Permits and quota Financing • Operation & • • Grid connection Procurement maintenance • • Electricity sales QC & delivery • Performance contract management monitoring • • Solar resources and Construction • energy yield Acceptance Co/BG/Unit 21
Land issues Co/BG/Unit 22
Solar resources and energy yield assessment Co/BG/Unit 23
Quality control and delivery management Co/BG/Unit 24
Quality control and delivery management Co/BG/Unit 25
Performance monitoring Co/BG/Unit 26
Conclusion Utility scale solar projects picks up in less than 10 years because of regulatory support, price reduction and market maturity achieves low cost from economics of scale electrically simple but the volume needs attention unique challenges include footprint, resources intermittence, quality control and performance monitoring benefits HK in terms of knowledge/skills and equipment supplies Co/BG/Unit 27
Co/BG/Unit 28
Recommend
More recommend