CRITICAL SYSTEMS: Vuln lnerabilities Overv rview 1
Hope is not a plan. Vern Miyagi, Administrator, HI-EMA TIMELINE & SOU SOURCES: • SEP SEPTE TEMBER 2015 2015 – AUG UGUST 2016 2016: RE RESEARCH PH PHASE • OVER 50 50 SOU SOURCES WERE USE USED TO COMPILE TH THIS ASS SSESSMENT • EM EM PR PROFESSIONAL S • PRI PRIVATE TE IND INDUSTRY STAKE HO HOLDERS • OF OFFIC ICIAL REP REPORTS AND D STUDIES • EM EM PLA PLANS • WORKSHOP AND FORUMS • INTERVIEWS INT • AUG UGUST 2016 2016 – DE DECEMBER 2016 2016: CON ONFIRMATION & SOC SOCIALIZATI TION WIT ITH KE KEY EM EM STAKEHOLDERS 2
PURPOSE: Purpose This pr presentatio ion will ll pr provide a a br brie ief overv rvie iew of of the vuln vu lnerabilit ities, , interdependencies, , an and cas ascading effects of of a a catastrophic event wit ith the pu purpose of of de developing a a starting poi point for or a a bas basic ic com ommon ope operatin ing pic picture an and pla plan de development. . 3 3/8/2018
INTERDEPENDENCIES & CASCADING EFFECTS PORT & ELE ELECTRICAL SYSTEMS • Market food supply is SHIPMENT MARKET CAPACITY replenished every 5-8 days. 5-8 100% • 3 DAYS OF SURPLUS MED SUPPLIES • 1.1 Million tons of food -3 85% products/year • MED SYSTEM RELIES ON THE MARKET <40% -5 NO RESUPPLY FOR FOOD, WATER AND FUEL • 3013 Tons/day enter the PoH oH: : is the the sing ngle le Maj Major or Su Supply ly port for normal -7 NO RESUPPLY +25% • MED SPECIALTIES MAY RELY MORE Poin oint : : sustainment ON SPECIFIC COMMODITIES • IE Dialysis and water IMPORT RATE • 6-8 da day sea ea log og chain in + + sing ngle le maj major or sup upply ly = = • Food & Water Frag Fr agile Log Logistic System • • Fuel POWER TO ALL SYSTEMS • Every ry system reli elies hea heavil ily • W/O POWER on on the the po port rt. CONSUMPTION RATE • FOOD SPOILS • ALL PETROL PRODUCTS ARRIVE BY SEA • • Man any systems ha have NO ATM’S • SEA CARGO ONLY FOR SOME INDUSTRY COMPONENTS • COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS • equip equ ipment th that can on only be be WF SUPPLIES • TRAFFIC LIGHTS shi hipped via sea ea fr freig eight • NO FUEL • ALL PETROL PRODUCTS ARRIVE BY SEA (HNL: 4 DAYS) • MAJOR SYSTEMS SHUT DOWN • WF SUPPLIES i.e. AIRPORT, SEA PORT • HNL WF CHAIN IS 20,000 PAX
5 CRI ASSESSMENT RITI TICAL SYSTE MEDICAL Performance of life saving measures TEMS SHELTERS Emergency & Post Impact Facilities FOOD & H 2 0 FUEL PRODUCTS ELECTRICITY PORTS Transportation
ASSESSMENT KE KEY FACTORS L ON HAND SUPPLIES LOGISTICS CHAIN BURN RATE TO RESUPPLY RATE CRITICAL 6
DEMOGRAPHICS GEN ENERAL STATI TISTI TICS RESIDENTS (1.4 M / est 2015) TOURISM A. HAWAII 194,190 AVG STAY B. MAUI 163,108 0 9.17 DAYS Tourists increase total 991,788 C. OAHU 15 % state population by: D. KAUAI 70,475 KA KAUAI 35 35% State-wide Homeless Populations MAUI 34 34% 35 % HAWAII 15 15 % In n she shelters s (pri (private / govt): ): .3% .3% OAH AHU 9.6% 9.6% 14 % Uns nsheltered: .2% .2% Of the he state po popula latio ion wi will ll se seek k eme mergency y sh shelt lter Source: 2014 Homeless Program Office State-wide Children & Elderly Populations 6.4% Children < 5 yoa Approximate average daily visitors (% over resident population) . Elderly > 65 yoa 16.1 % Source: US Census Bureau, 2014, and Hawaii Tourism Authority 7
VULNERABILITY OVERVIEW L LOGISTICS CHAIN Imp mpor ortatio ion of of 90% of of ma market go good ods, 100% % of of som ome prod products Long, com Lon complex sup upply cha chain, up up to to 14 da days to to rea reach ma market in n no norm rmal cond conditions Singl Single po points of of fa failu lure / / no no re redundancy in n po port rt capabili litie ies All maj Al major or log ogistic ic po port rts ar are in n sam ame gene general l loca ocatio ions and and ex expo posed to to the the sam ame thr threats Ai Air r car argo o sup uppli lies app approx ox. 1% % of of tota total l car argo o imp mpor ortatio ion Port orts and and log ogistic ics syst ystem mo move ove over 14 mi millio llion tons tons / / yr yr., off off load oad ra rate at at 42 con ontain iners / / hr., hr., 3000 tons tons of of food food prod products / / da day mo move thro through the the log ogistic ics sys ystem Loss of Los of imp mportatio ion due due to to po port rt clos osure for for prot protectiv ive me measures 48 ho hour urs pri prior or to to eve events in n som ome case ases Ra Rapid id dep deple letion of of ma market capacit ity whe when sea ea po port rt clos oses 8
VULNERABILITY OVERVIEW ON-HAND RE ON RESOURCES / / OPER ERATIONAL CAPACITIES Cap Capacit ity In n al all syst ystems is base based in n on on-de demand war warehousin ing, g, no not t in n re reple lenis ishment of of sur urplu lus No No Su Surp rplu lus war warehou ousin ing of of sup uppli lies = = no no eme emergency sur urplu lus FOO FOOD/W /WATER: 5 – 7 da days in n the the sta tate af afte ter po port rt clos osure; af after 5 da days no no imp mpor ortation = = 40% % of of ma market capacit ity EM EMERGENCY Y SH SHEL ELTER & & SY SYST STEM: Su Supp pply ly can an no not t mee meet the the de demand, limi mited num number of of har hardened she helt lters ME MEDICAL: : 3 Day Days of of gene general l sup upplie ies, 7 da days of of pha pharma, ge general WF F sho hortage, hi high gh op oper eratin ing capacit ity FU FUEL EL: : Sev Several l sing ngle le po points of of fa failu lure in n the the syst ystem; ; 100% % re reli liance on on imp mpor ortation thr throu ough sea ea log ogistic ics cha hain in ELECTRICITY: ELE Y: Not Not a a mu mutuall lly supp upportin ing syst ystem, 60% % po powe wer pl plan ants in n /o /on n inu nundatio ion zon ones, limit ited inv nventory of of com omponents POR ORTS: S: No No lar arge scale le salv alvage / dre / dredgi ging equ equip ipment (7 (7-10 da day ar arriv rival ti time), ), al alternate po port rt con oncept no not t ful fully ly re reali lized, ai airpor orts w/ w/ 4 da days of of fuel, fuel, low ow car argo o capacit ity vs. eme emergency deli delivery 9
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VULNERABILITY OVERVIEW BURN RN RA RATE TE TO CRIT RITICAL No No syst ystem has has a a lon ong g te term sur urplu lus of of ma materia ials ls, spa pare equ equip ipment, or or WF F (W (Work ork Fo Forc rce) “Runs” on Emergency Goods deplete supplies at above normal rates FOO FOOD/W /WATER: Cr Crit itic ical l leve evels ls w/i w/in n 5 da days, 420,000 emergency ra ratio ions, ra rapid id dep deple letion of of ma market inv nventor ory (wat (water fi first rst) SHEL SH ELTER & & SY SYST STEM: Cri Critic ical l leve evels ls on on imp mpact: no no sup uppor ort prod products, ove overcrow owdin ing, g, fa faile led she helt lter str tructures ME MEDICAL: : Cri Critic ical l leve evels ls of of ma materia ial w/i w/in 3 day days of of imp mpact, 6x pat patie ient inc ncrease, 40% % re reductio ion of of gen general l me medic ical l ser ervic ices FU FUEL EL: : Singl Single po points of of fa failure: FAI FAIL; L; int nter-isla land sho hortages, crit ritic ical l leve evel l at at 14 da days po post t imp mpact or or soo oone ner (c (con ontamin ination / / rup uptures of of tanks) ta ELECTRICITY: ELE Y: Cri Critic ical l leve evel l on on imp mpact: imm mmedia iate loss oss / fl / fluctuatin ing po powe wer sup upply ly; fa faile led T&D T&D syst ystem, 10 day days to to com omple lete as assessment; mass massiv ive log ogistic ical l cha hain in to to imp mpor ort re restorativ ive com omponents; ; food food spo poil ils at at 48 ho hours POR ORTS: S: High High po possib ibili lity of of po port rt clos osure to to channel l bl blockage: : FAI FAILU LURE ON ON IMPA MPACT; T; al alternate po port rt prov provid ides 1/5 /5 of of the the thr thru-put wi with an an 12 off off load oad ca capability of of 8-10 con containers /h /hr. r., acc accepts 1 ve vessel for for offl offloa oad
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