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Condensation in reinforced branching processes Anna Senkevich as2945@bath.ac.uk Supervised by Peter Mrters and Ccile Mailler University of Bath June 19, 2017 Anna Senkevich (University of Bath) Condensation in branching processes June


  1. Condensation in reinforced branching processes Anna Senkevich as2945@bath.ac.uk Supervised by Peter Mörters and Cécile Mailler University of Bath June 19, 2017 Anna Senkevich (University of Bath) Condensation in branching processes June 19, 2017 1 / 17

  2. Overview Preferential Attachment Trees 1 Model definition 2 Growth of the system 3 Simulations 4 Open problems 5 Anna Senkevich (University of Bath) Condensation in branching processes June 19, 2017 2 / 17

  3. Preferential Attachment Tree: Barabasi and Albert 0 Figure: Scale-free network (such that P ( k ) ∼ k − 3 ). time

  4. Preferential Attachment Tree: Barabasi and Albert 0 Figure: Scale-free network (such that P ( k ) ∼ k − 3 ). time

  5. Preferential Attachment Tree: Barabasi and Albert 0 Figure: Scale-free network (such that P ( k ) ∼ k − 3 ). time

  6. Preferential Attachment Tree: Barabasi and Albert 0 Figure: Scale-free network (such that P ( k ) ∼ k − 3 ). time

  7. Preferential Attachment Tree: Barabasi and Albert 0 Figure: Scale-free network (such that P ( k ) ∼ k − 3 ). time

  8. Preferential Attachment Tree: Barabasi and Albert 0 5 5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 Figure: Scale-free network (such 1 that P ( k ) ∼ k − 3 ). 1 time Anna Senkevich (University of Bath) Condensation in branching processes June 19, 2017 3 / 17

  9. Preferential Attachment Tree: Bianconi and Barabasi 0 Figure: Probability density function of a given distribution µ . time

  10. Preferential Attachment Tree: Bianconi and Barabasi 0 Figure: Probability density function of a given distribution µ . time

  11. Preferential Attachment Tree: Bianconi and Barabasi 0 Figure: Probability density function of a given distribution µ . time

  12. Preferential Attachment Tree: Bianconi and Barabasi 0 Figure: Probability density function of a given distribution µ . time

  13. Preferential Attachment Tree: Bianconi and Barabasi 0 Figure: Probability density function of a given distribution µ . time

  14. Preferential Attachment Tree: Bianconi and Barabasi 0 4 F 1 5 F 3 F 2 F 4 4 F 6 F 5 Figure: Probability density F 7 function of a given F 8 distribution µ . F 9 F 10 F 11 time Anna Senkevich (University of Bath) Condensation in branching processes June 19, 2017 4 / 17

  15. Model Definition At time t we have N ( t ) particles (= half-edges); M ( t ) families (= set of particles sharing the same fitness = nodes); Z n ( t ) the size of the n th family (= degree); F n fitness of the n th family; τ n the time of the foundation of the n th family. At time t , each family reproduces at rate F n Z n ( t ). Anna Senkevich (University of Bath) Condensation in branching processes June 19, 2017 5 / 17

  16. Model Parameters Model Parameters 0 ≤ β, γ ≤ 1 mutation and selection probability; µ the fitness distribution on (0 , 1); Mutation/Selection probability When a birth event happens in a family n with probability γ a new particle is added to family n ; with probability β a mutant having fitness F M ( t )+1 is born. Specific models Bianconi and Barabasi model: β = 1 = γ . Kingman model : γ = 1 − β . Anna Senkevich (University of Bath) Condensation in branching processes June 19, 2017 6 / 17

  17. Yule process with rate η (= Growth of nth family) Y (0) = 1 Y ( t ) = # particles at t exp( η ) exp( η ) exp( η ) exp( η ) exp( η ) time t = 0 t The size of a family with fitness F n grows like a Yule process , Y ( t ), with rate γ F n . So that Y ( t ) ∼ t →∞ e η t ξ , where ξ is an exponentially distributed random variable. Anna Senkevich (University of Bath) Condensation in branching processes June 19, 2017 7 / 17

  18. Yule process with rate η (= Growth of nth family) Y (0) = 1 Y ( t ) = # particles at t exp( η ) exp( η ) exp( η ) exp( η ) exp( η ) time t = 0 t The size of a family with fitness F n grows like a Yule process , Y ( t ), with rate γ F n . So that Y ( t ) ∼ t →∞ e η t ξ , where ξ is an exponentially distributed random variable. Anna Senkevich (University of Bath) Condensation in branching processes June 19, 2017 7 / 17

  19. Yule process with rate η (= Growth of nth family) Y (0) = 1 Y ( t ) = # particles at t exp( η ) exp( η ) exp( η ) exp( η ) exp( η ) time t = 0 t The size of a family with fitness F n grows like a Yule process , Y ( t ), with rate γ F n . So that Y ( t ) ∼ t →∞ e η t ξ , where ξ is an exponentially distributed random variable. Anna Senkevich (University of Bath) Condensation in branching processes June 19, 2017 7 / 17

  20. Yule process with rate η (= Growth of nth family) Y (0) = 1 Y ( t ) = # particles at t exp( η ) exp( η ) exp( η ) exp( η ) exp( η ) time t = 0 t The size of a family with fitness F n grows like a Yule process , Y ( t ), with rate γ F n . So that Y ( t ) ∼ t →∞ e η t ξ , where ξ is an exponentially distributed random variable. Anna Senkevich (University of Bath) Condensation in branching processes June 19, 2017 7 / 17

  21. Yule process with rate η (= Growth of nth family) Y (0) = 1 Y ( t ) = # particles at t exp( η ) exp( η ) exp( η ) exp( η ) exp( η ) time t = 0 t The size of a family with fitness F n grows like a Yule process , Y ( t ), with rate γ F n . So that Y ( t ) ∼ t →∞ e η t ξ , where ξ is an exponentially distributed random variable. Anna Senkevich (University of Bath) Condensation in branching processes June 19, 2017 7 / 17

  22. Population Growth and Empirical Fitness Distribution fitness Ξ t 1 F 1 0 t time � M ( t ) 1 Empirical Fitness Distribution at time t : Ξ t = n =1 Z n ( t ) δ F n . N ( t )

  23. Population Growth and Empirical Fitness Distribution fitness Ξ t Ξ t 1 F 1 0 t t time � M ( t ) 1 Empirical Fitness Distribution at time t : Ξ t = n =1 Z n ( t ) δ F n . N ( t )

  24. Population Growth and Empirical Fitness Distribution fitness Ξ t Ξ t 1 F 1 0 τ 2 t t time � M ( t ) 1 Empirical Fitness Distribution at time t : Ξ t = n =1 Z n ( t ) δ F n . N ( t )

  25. Population Growth and Empirical Fitness Distribution fitness Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t 1 F 2 F 1 0 τ 2 t t t time � M ( t ) 1 Empirical Fitness Distribution at time t : Ξ t = n =1 Z n ( t ) δ F n . N ( t )

  26. Population Growth and Empirical Fitness Distribution fitness Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t 1 F 2 F 1 F 3 0 τ 2 τ 3 t t t t time � M ( t ) 1 Empirical Fitness Distribution at time t : Ξ t = n =1 Z n ( t ) δ F n . N ( t )

  27. Population Growth and Empirical Fitness Distribution fitness Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t 1 F 2 F 1 F 3 0 τ 2 τ 3 t t t t t time � M ( t ) 1 Empirical Fitness Distribution at time t : Ξ t = n =1 Z n ( t ) δ F n . N ( t )

  28. Population Growth and Empirical Fitness Distribution fitness Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t 1 F 2 F 1 F 3 0 τ 2 τ 3 t t t t t t time � M ( t ) 1 Empirical Fitness Distribution at time t : Ξ t = n =1 Z n ( t ) δ F n . N ( t )

  29. Population Growth and Empirical Fitness Distribution fitness Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t 1 F 2 F 1 F 3 0 τ 2 τ 3 t t t t t t t time � M ( t ) 1 Empirical Fitness Distribution at time t : Ξ t = n =1 Z n ( t ) δ F n . N ( t )

  30. Population Growth and Empirical Fitness Distribution fitness Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t 1 F 4 F 2 F 1 F 3 0 τ 2 τ 3 τ 4 t t t t t t t t time � M ( t ) 1 Empirical Fitness Distribution at time t : Ξ t = n =1 Z n ( t ) δ F n . N ( t )

  31. Population Growth and Empirical Fitness Distribution fitness Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t 1 F 4 F 2 F 1 F 3 0 τ 2 τ 3 τ 4 t t t t t t t t t time � M ( t ) 1 Empirical Fitness Distribution at time t : Ξ t = n =1 Z n ( t ) δ F n . N ( t )

  32. Population Growth and Empirical Fitness Distribution fitness Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t 1 F 4 F 2 F 5 F 1 F 3 0 τ 2 τ 3 τ 4 τ 5 t t t t t t t t t t time � M ( t ) 1 Empirical Fitness Distribution at time t : Ξ t = n =1 Z n ( t ) δ F n . N ( t )

  33. Population Growth and Empirical Fitness Distribution fitness Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t 1 F 4 F 2 F 5 F 1 F 3 0 τ 2 τ 3 τ 4 τ 5 t t t t t t t t t t t time � M ( t ) 1 Empirical Fitness Distribution at time t : Ξ t = n =1 Z n ( t ) δ F n . N ( t )

  34. Population Growth and Empirical Fitness Distribution fitness Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t Ξ t 1 F 4 F 2 F 5 F 1 F 3 0 τ 2 τ 3 τ 4 τ 5 t t t t t t t t t t t t time � M ( t ) 1 Empirical Fitness Distribution at time t : Ξ t = n =1 Z n ( t ) δ F n . N ( t ) Anna Senkevich (University of Bath) Condensation in branching processes June 19, 2017 8 / 17

  35. Population Growth: possible scenarios Scenarios of growth of the system: Condition for condensation � 1 1 growth driven by bulk β d µ ( x ) 1 − x < 1 . (cond) behaviour ; β + γ 0 2 growth driven by extremal behaviour (condensation): Definition of Macroscopic Occupancy non-extensive occupancy; macroscopic occupancy. max degree at time n lim inf > 0 . n n →∞ 0 1 0 1 Figure: Ξ t = ∞ , growth driven by Figure: Ξ t = ∞ , growth driven by bulk behaviour . extremal behaviour . Anna Senkevich (University of Bath) Condensation in branching processes June 19, 2017 9 / 17 Definition of Macroscopic Occupancy

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