company presentation
play

Company presentation February 2020 Rolf Thorsen, CEO Sverre - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Company presentation February 2020 Rolf Thorsen, CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO Selvaag Bolig is a housing development company which focuses on the growth areas in and around Greater Oslo, Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Stockholm Long-term


  1. Company presentation February 2020 Rolf Thorsen, CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO

  2. Selvaag Bolig is a housing development company which focuses on the growth areas in and around Greater Oslo, Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Stockholm

  3. Long-term housing development · Nearly 60 000 homes over the last 70 years · Urban development , large projects in growing regions · Housing for all , competitive housing offering

  4. Norway’s leading homebuilder · 1 504 units worth NOK 7 155 million under construction - 70 per cent sold by Q4 19 · 140 units sold in Q4 19 Trondheim 369 units · Dividend twice a year · Q4 19 adjusted IFRS EBITDA margin of Bergen 28.2 per cent 516 units Greater-Oslo 9 719 units Stockholm · Only projects with more than 150 units Stavanger 40 units 969 units · Focus on fast growing urban regions Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 31 December 2019. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig’s share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. The portfolio has a development potential of ~6 100 residential units, whereof the company has purchasing obligations for ~6 000 and purchasing options for ~100 units.

  5. Selvaag Bolig is a story about development The Ekeberg The Gullhaug Modular Listed at Oslo House House construction Stock Exchange Terraced Pluss: Housing buildings with extra services Housing for all 1948 1951 1958 1988 1999 2000 2003 2011 2012 2015 2017 FUTURE Defined housing concepts Industrial Veitvet Sold homes for production area NOK 3.2 billion Løren area 50 000 homes completed 5

  6. Norwegian housing market · Low risk for housebuilders - Advance sales: banks require that 50-70% of homes are sold before construction starts - Binding offers: offer to purchase is a binding sales contract, and requires a minimum 10% cash deposit · High level of home ownership - 85% (one of the world’s highest) · Economic benefits for home owners - 23% of mortgage loan interest payments are tax deductible - Transfer stamp duty for new houses is lower than for second-hand homes · Strong population growth - Norway’s urban areas are among the fastest growing in Europe - Good demand for new homes 6

  7. Low-risk business model Risk profile at start of a MNOK 550 project De-risking in key stages of projects · Purchase and payment of land takes place after 1 zoning plan approval. If this is not obtained, the Land purchase purchase is cancelled conditional on · zoning approval SBO is in charge of the zoning process 2 60% 76% 14% 10% 100% · Purchase price is decided by a land appraisal Land purchase = = = = = made by three external consultants at the time of price based on MNOK MNOK MNOK MNOK MNOK zoning approval market value at 330 418 77 55 550 · time of zoning The median valuation is used as purchase price approval · Minimum pre- Remaining Project margin Equity Sales price Pre-sales of minimum 60% secures the majority 3 sale project cost investment of revenue before construction Minimum sales · 10% of purchase price paid by the buyer at point of rate of 60% before · Selvaag’s equity investment in a project and project margin bring the sale, and proof of financing for the remaining construction amount is required remaining project cost down to 74%-78% · With minimum 60% pre-sale there is limited remaining project risk. · 4 Construction contracts with solid counterparties For the the remaining 40% a price reduction of 35% would recover Fixed price are made with fixed price equity construction · Project costs are secured before construction starts contract · 70% of units in production are sold at end Q4’19

  8. Low-risk business model creates healthy profits Strategy Value drivers · Presence in fast-growing urban regions with high demand and large market depth Competitive housing offering, · Competitive prices, addressing large customer base targeting growth regions · Defined housing concepts, aimed at wide range of consumers · Value appreciation through refinement of land for housing development · Flexibility to develop thousands of homes in growing urban regions Large, actively-managed land bank, owned by partner Urban Property · Active asset management · Partnership reduces invested capital and strengthen ability to buy land · No in-house construction arm; improves flexibility and cost optimisation · Project-based business model improves flexibility and reduces risk Efficient and flexible cost structure · Economies of scale through large projects · Lean organisation reduces overhead · 60% pre-sale before construction start lowers project financing need and inventory risk Capital-efficient business model backed by strong balance sheet · Sound debt structure and financial flexibility

  9. Project margin development NOK million 3 637 3 479 3 480 3 254 3 239 3 206 3 204 3 195 3 194 3 179 3 142 3 038 2 931 2 929 2 683 2 586 2 377 30% 29% 29% 28% 28% 28% 27% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 24% 22% 20% 20% 19% Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 12 months rolling revenues (NGAAP)* 12 months rolling project margin** * Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP) ** Project margins are exclusive of overhead costs 9

  10. Reduced capital binding in practice, in effect no equity needed in Selvaag Bolig for land Residential development value chain: cooperation between Selvaag Bolig and Urban Property Acquisition of land Zoning Sales start Construction start Delivery 6 – 36 months 6 – 12 months 3 – 9 months 12 – 24 months 0 months Acquire and Marketing refine land for Project design Construction Delivery to customer and sale development Acquisition of land Urban Acquire, own and dispose of land Property Partial Sale of land, payment partial payment

  11. Project margin will somewhat deflate* but higher IRR and less/no equity bound in land 6 – 36 MONTHS 6 – 12 MONTHS 3 – 9 MONTHS 12 – 24 MONTHS 0 MONTHS Acquire and refine Contracting, marketing Project design Construction and sales Delivery to customers land for development and pre-sales Project margin 20% 15% Project margin 20% 18% 10% 5% 0% · · · · · Land acquired with Adding value through Value added when Maximising price in Delivery in accordance minimum building permits and achieving 60% pre-sale accordance with market with expectations 12% 10% project margin area utilisation and minimum 12% IRR (+2% provisions) * Assuming flat market development

  12. Example project calculations before and after PROJECT CALCULATIONS PROJECT CALCULATIONS 1 2 BEFORE URBAN PROPERTY AFTER URBAN PROPERTY Figures for illustration purposes only MNOK % MNOK % Sales revenue 348.5 100.0% 348.5 100.0% Construction cost 195.8 56.2% 195.8 56.2% Land cost 69.7 20.0% 85.2 24.4% Other costs 24.5 7.0% 24.5 7.0% Project cost 290.0 83.2% 305.5 87.7% Net finance (excluding Urban Property) 16.8 4.8% 5.3 1.5% TOTAL REVENUE 348.5 100.0% 348.5 100.0% TOTAL COST 306.8 88.0% 310.9 89.2% PROFIT 41.7 12.0 % 37.7 10.8% Internal rate of return (IRR) 12.2% 28.0% 1 Initial project margin and IRR before Urban Property when purchasing land at market value Initial project margin and IRR with Urban Property as partner when purchasing land at market value (including option 2 premium) In total marginal lower project margins, but significantly increased IRR and RoE Example apply a land ownership period in Urban Property of 3-4 years, and a finance cost of 4% on all capital employed in the project

  13. Balance sheet implications and effects of EO dividend Statements of financial position Reported Transaction Pro forma (figures in MNOK) Q4 2019 Sale Dividend Q4 2019 Assets Investments in associated companies and joint ventures 430 0 0 430 · Transaction value NOK 3 360m Loans to associated companies and joint ventures 130 (59) 0 71 Other non-current assets 741 (143) 0 598 Total non-current assets 1 301 (202) 0 1 100 · Repayment of debt Inventory 4 299 (663) 0 3 637 NOK 1 160m Other current receivables 133 0 0 133 Cash and cash equivalents 1 179 1 751 -2 055 875 Total current assets 5 611 1 088 -2 055 4 645 · Free liquidity from transaction Total assets 6 912 887 -2 055 5 744 ~NOK 1 800m Equity and liabilities · EO dividend of NOK 22 per Total equity 3 383 1 043 -2 055 2 371 share Other non-current non interest-bearing liabiliteies 157 0 0 157 Non-current interest bearing liabilities 1 128 (157) 0 971 Total non-current liabilities 1 284 (157) 0 1 128 · Pro forma equity down Current interest bearing liabilities 1 169 0 0 1 169 ~NOK 1 000 to NOK 2 371m Other current non interest-bearing liabilities 1 076 0 0 1 076 Total current liabilities 2 245 0 0 2 245 - Equity ratio 41%, down from 49% Total liabilities 3 530 (157) 0 3 373 Total equity and liabilities 6 912 887 -2 055 5 744 Equity% 49% 41% Dividend per share (NOK) 22.00 13

Recommend


More recommend