Community Resilience Qualitative Validation & Insight into Avoidable A&E Visits Ian Duke Hounslow Together Board, 5 October 2016
1. Quick Reprise 2. Further insight into three LSOAs 3. Insight into Avoidable A&E Visits 4. Next Steps?
1. Quick Reprise
Overall Population Growth % % % Year Total Male Female Increase Increase Increase 2011 255,334 - 128,337 - 126,997 - 2015 273,290 7% 137,718 7.3% 135,573 6.7% 2020 290,790 6.4% 146,734 6.5% 144,056 6.3% 2025 303,756 4.5% 153,321 4.5% 150,436 4.2% 2030 314,101 3.4% 158,503 3.4% 155,597 3.4% Overall 58,767 23% 30,166 23.5% 28,600 22.5% Increase
Hounslow Community Resilience Model 2. 1. 3. Quantitative Detailed Qualitative Measure network Validation analysis To flag up To validate areas of To understand the findings concern community resilience
Test 1: Validating findings A small local area in Lower Feltham 1. Desk Based Review 2. On the Ground
High wellbeing Domains Higher satisfaction with life overall, income, amount of leisure time, and concerns about Average wellbeing managing financially Resilience Average satisfaction with Wellbeing life overall, income, amount of leisure time, Competence and concerns about Neighbourhood managing financially Support High levels of capability and low Low wellbeing High social solidarity levels of stress and high belonging Lower satisfaction with life overall, income, amount of leisure time, Isolated Emotionally fragile and concerns about Low levels of High levels of stress managing financially belonging and local and low levels of levels of social capability solidarity
Local Profiles LSOA 003D: Brentford – area above the river and below the M4. LSOA 021A: Hounslow Heath – adjacent to Hounslow Heath, and close to the barracks. LSOA 004A: Heston Central – area near to Heston Park / swimming baths, and the motorway
Asset mapping and validation process What does this tell us Community about the conversations • Hard and predictive data area ? • Additional desktop data • Meetings & visits collection • In-depth understanding • Identify assets and of community of how stakeholders assets operate What does • Iterative process Desk based this tell us review about the tool ?
LSOA Hounslow 004A: Resil ilience and wellb llbein ing profile Profile: Actual data for LSOA Ward: Heston Central Analysis Age Benefits Deprivation Locality: Heston and Cranford This area is one of the three identified as scoring Education particularly badly for resilience on the predictive Self Health data. Income This LSOA is located just south of the M4, and covers Heston Fuel poverty Park, New Heston Road and Westbrook Primary School (marked On the hard data the area scores neither particularly Qualifications on the map with its old name of Andrew Ewing School). well nor particularly badly, with all but two factors Work close to the borough average. It is relatively deprived, being ranked in decile 3 on the Index of Housing Multiple Deprivation (where decile 1 contains the 10% most Supports Participation The predictive data, by contrast, is very poor for this deprived LSOAs in England and decile 10 contains the least Social action area; it scores consistently poorly for every cluster deprived 10%). Support other than Isolation. Transience Accessibility infrastructure Systems/ Environment Public services Safety Transport Profile: Predictive data by OA Neighbourhood Output area Low wellbeing High wellbeing support Competence Isolation Emotional fragility E00013032 E00013033 E00013034 E00013035 E00013040
LS LSOA Hou ounslow 00 004A Heston
Community Conversations- Heston
LSOA Hounslow 004A 004A- Heston Neighbourhood support Competence Isolation • Lots of change • Frustration with • Impact of urban design Council • New people • People keep to • People don’t come to themselves • Difference emphasised surgeries • Lots of change • Comparison to the • Low engagement ‘village’ of the past • Intergenerational • ‘People keep to changes • Active residence themselves’ association but do not • New leisure centre engage Heston Grange • Change and fear of complex and park impact of new • Area in South report developments more residential support
LSOA Hounslow 021A: Resil ilience and wellb llbein ing profile Profile: Actual data for LSOA Ward: Hounslow Heath Analysis Age Benefits Deprivation Locality: Central Hounslow This area is one of the three identified as scoring Education particularly badly for resilience on the predictive Self Health data. Income This LSOA is located to the north-east of Hounslow Heath and Fuel poverty just south of Staines Road. It covers a number of residential On the hard data the area scores neither particularly Qualifications streets including Drayton Close and Roseheath Road. Wellington well nor particularly badly, with all but two factors Work Road South is on the area’s eastern edge. close to the borough average. Housing It is relatively deprived, being ranked in decile 3 on the Index of Supports Participation The predictive data, by contrast, is very poor for this Multiple Deprivation (where decile 1 contains the 10% most Social action area; it scores consistently poorly for every cluster deprived LSOAs in England and decile 10 contains the least Support other than Isolation. deprived 10%). Transience Accessibility infrastructure Systems/ Environment Public services Safety Transport Profile: Predictive data by OA Neighbourhood Output area Low wellbeing High wellbeing support Competence Isolation Emotional fragility E00013150 E00013153 E00013155 E00013160 E00013161 E00013177
LSOA Hounslow 021A Hounslow Heath
Community Conversations
LSOA Hounslow 021A Hounslow Heath Neighbourhood support Competence Isolation • Each street is different – • People don’t really engage • Each street is different with physically & people’s narratives little in the way of linkages • “ people see what’s going on but • Intergenerational changes and don’t call” • Access to shops but no building area over time community facilities • One or two ‘busybodies’ that do • Cobbs Estate: older more engage • Good park and open space established community- ‘ look provision but not necessarily • Difficulties in Midsummer after each other’ usage across the whole area Estate • Midsummer Day Center brings • Organisations not really working • Mixed picture together older Asian men in the area • Muslim people living in the area • Very good local school draws engage through mosque people to the area • Poor support in Midsummer Estate • Know people on own road but NOT in the area
LSOA Hounslow 003D: Resilience and wellbeing profile Profile: Actual data for LSOA Ward: Brentford Analysis Age Benefits Deprivation Locality: Brentford and Isleworth This area is one of the three identified as scoring Education particularly badly for resilience on the predictive Self Health data. Income This LSOA is bounded by the M4 to the north and the Thames to Fuel poverty the south, with Griffin Park football ground on the western On the hard data the area scores neither particularly Qualifications edge. well nor particularly badly, with only a few factors Work differing a great deal from the borough average. It is relatively deprived, being ranked in decile 3 on the Index of Housing Multiple Deprivation (where decile 1 contains the 10% most Supports Participation The predictive data, by contrast, is very poor for this deprived LSOAs in England and decile 10 contains the least Social action area. Most of this area scores poorly across the deprived 10%). Support board, with the only exceptions being the areas Transience closest to the motorway, at the northern end of the LSOA. Accessibility infrastructure Systems/ Environment Public services Safety Transport Profile: Predictive data by OA Neighbourhood Output area Low wellbeing High wellbeing support Competence Isolation Emotional fragility E00012747 E00012749 E00012768 E00012771 E00168184 E00168186 E00168193 E00168856
LSOA Hounslow 003D: Brentford
Community Conversations- Brentford
LSOA Hounslow 003D: Resilience and wellbeing profile Neighbourhood support Competence Isolation • In past :rely on a individual: • “No confidence to act” – • Physical: Great Western Betty. over-reliance on Betty Quarter vs. Towers vs • Community is unengaged - Haverfield • Frustration with Council • Compounded by tenancy and and expectation that • Separated from high transience issues Council should do more streets/ FC / Waterman • Exacerbated by spatial layout • People don’t come to • ‘ bubble’ ‘island ’ • Haverfield Alleys surgeries • ‘ even play grounds • Towers floor plan • People rely on questioning segregated’ • Railway separates area one or two residents • “ People keep to • High street to the South • Sheltered housing areas do themselves’ their own thing (island) • Change: people & culture but don’t know how to • Lack of community events, engage Council organisations OR people don’t know about it
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