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Civil Dialogue Group on Pigs 14 April 2015 Prices DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015 Monthly evolution of the market price for different meats 650 550 Lamb Euro / 100kg Carcase 450 Beef 350 Cows 250 Broiler 150 Pigs 50 I 2006 I 2007 I

  1. Civil Dialogue Group on Pigs 14 April 2015

  2. Prices DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  3. Monthly evolution of the market price for different meats 650 550 Lamb Euro / 100kg Carcase 450 Beef 350 Cows 250 Broiler 150 Pigs 50 I 2006 I 2007 I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I 2012 I 2013 I 2014 I 2015 I Cows O3 bovine R3 Pigs Broiler 65% Slaughterhouse heavy lamb light lamb DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  4. Evolution of the EU pig carcase prices €/ 100kg The prices for 2014 and 2015 in this graph are the weighted average of classes S, E & R 180 165 150 135 120 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 AVG 10 - 14 2014 2015 DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  5. Evolution of the EU average piglet prices 55 50 45 €/piece 40 35 30 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 5 yr avg (10 - 14) 2013 2014 2015 DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  6. EU average pigcarcase price Euro/ 100kg 190 170 150 130 110 90 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 EU avg pig price period of Aid for Private Storage déstockage DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  7. Weekly average Pigprices 2010 - 2014 in Euro/ 100kg carcase EU, Brazil and the US 195,0 175,0 155,0 135,0 115,0 EU 143,26 95,0 BR 127,59 75,0 US 121,27 CDN 119,97 55,0 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 EU = weighted avg of MS prices grade E <55% lean meat. As from 1.1.2014 42% class E and 58%S. EU US = weekly USDA prices carcase lean hogs Iowa-Minn. 167-187lb BR = avg of maximum prices in main producing states (suino.com.br) US CDN= Ontario Dressed weight FOBas from dec 2010, before Index 100 (agr.gc.ca) Braz. avg CDN Ontario DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  8. Pigprices and forecasts in US and EU EU forecast: Working group priceforecast pigmeat US Forecast: Chicago Mercantile Exchange 195 170 €uro/ 100kg 145 120 EU Class E US 95 70 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  9. Production DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  10. EU - Production of meats 2007 - 2015 from 2004 = EU 25 from 2007 = EU 27 from 2013 = EU 28 as from 2009 new slaughter series. 20.000 in 1000 Tonns 15.000 10.000 5.000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Pig Poultry Beef Sheep Goat Horse Pig 22.858 22.596 21.416 22.133 22.437 21.990 21.997 22.335 22.462 Poultry 11.838 12.123 12.535 12.945 13.205 13.474 13.718 14.077 14.367 Beef 8.203 8.082 7.720 7.918 7.847 7.531 7.268 7.285 7.350 Sheep 1.024 949 748 717 730 706 713 704 704 Goat 72 78 60 59 59 54 47 46 44 Horse 56 71 75 74 77 83 76 76 76 Total 44.051 43.900 42.554 43.847 44.356 43.847 44.356 43.838 43.819 Change prev. Year 6,4% -0,3% -3,1% 3,0% 1,2% -1,1% 1,2% -1,2% 0,0% Graph based on monthly Cronos official slaughter data. 2012 based on change in GIP forecastProduction of poultry DG AGRI & MSs Experts DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  11. Results of the December Pig Survey based on 27 MS communicating (95,7%) Total number of animals: 141,7 Mio (+1,3%) 35.000,0 30.000,0 25.000,0 20.000,0 15.000,0 of which 10.000,0 of which 5.000,0 0,0 1st time mated Piglets Y. Pigs Sows mated Sows Pigs 50 - 80kg sows 2011 39.796,3 33.140,6 12.772,9 8.617,4 1.530,6 26.499,8 2012 39.087,1 32.222,0 12.246,2 8.351,7 1.543,4 26.324,2 2013 39.210,3 31.473,0 12.038,4 8.160,4 1.509,8 26.192,6 2014 40.159,6 32.459,7 12.074,5 8.238,2 1.556,2 26.036,7 13/12 0,3% -2,3% -1,7% -2,3% -2,2% -0,5% 14/13 2,4% 3,1% 0,3% 1,0% 3,1% -0,6% DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  12. Forecast Quarterly Slaughter: Based on realised slaughter and the GIP forecast including experts forecast Last slaughter update : 22.3.2015 28MSs communicated GIP forecast in December 6,0% percentual change (based on number of heads) 4,0% 2,0% 0,0% -2,0% -4,0% -6,0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 2,2% -0,5% -1,6% 0,9% 1,2% Q2 2,3% -1,6% 0,4% -1,0% 1,8% Q3 3,1% -5,5% 0,8% 2,8% -0,4% Q4 -0,1% -2,8% 1,0% 2,7% -0,1% Ann 1,8% -2,6% 0,1% 1,4% 0,6% DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  13. Pig slaughter in the EU 200,00 slaughter in slaughterhouses 22.500 180,00 20.000 160,00 17.500 140,00 15.000 120,00 12.500 10.000 100,00 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Ann. Change -0,5% 1,4% 6,8% -1,1% -5,2% 3,3% 1,4% -2,0% 0,0% 1,5% 0,4% Quantity 21.197 21.100 21.400 22.858 22.596 21.416 22.133 22.437 21.990 21.997 22.335 22.430 Pig price 138,36 139,04 145,23 135,17 153,24 142,22 140,24 153,19 170,52 175,48 156,60 DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  14. Development of the EU average price for pig carcasses Moy.Annuelle Avg: 2010- 2014: 160,12 200 2012: 170,6 Euro//100kg 2013: 175,5 ,, 2014: 156,56 (E) 2014: 160,94 (S) 185 2015: 145,25 (E) 2015: 147,32 (S) Price in €uro / 100kg 170 155 140 125 IV/ 2015 S 145,09 I/ 2015 S 139,45 II/ 2015 S 149,62 III/ 2015 S 156,00 E 145,20 E 146,62 E 153,76 E 136,32 110 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec avg 10 - 14 Forec. S Forec. E IT Forec R 2013 2014 S 2014 E DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  15. Feed costs DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  16. Price of Basic Ingredients 2012 - 2015 450 Soft wheat (EU) 350 Euro / tonne Barley (EU) Maïs (EU) Soja (CAF) Hulls (EU) 250 150 50 Jan April Juil Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  17. Futures for Feed wheat EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2014 & 2015) Delivery: 195 01 Nearby 2015 May 2015 Jul 2015 Nov 165 €uro/ Tonn 135 105 Jan 2014 | | Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | 2015 | Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  18. Futures for Maize EU (Euronext ) (Nearby = 2014 - 2015) 220 200 €/Tonn 180 Delivery: 160 Nearby 2015 Jun 140 2015 Aug 2015 11 Nov 120 | 2014 | Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | 2015 | Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun | DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  19. Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel (nearby = 2013 & 2014) 1.600 Delivery: 01 Nearby 1.500 2015 May 2015 Jul 2015 Aug 1.400 1.300 1.200 1.100 1.000 900 Jan 2014| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. | 2015 | Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun | DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  20. Development of producer margins (pig price over feed costs) 300 €uro/ T (Cereal & Soja mix/ Compound feed) 300 250 250 Euro/ 100kg ( pig carcase) 200 200 150 150 Margin/ Comp. Feed (4.4 > 3.9) Carcase price 100 average Margin 2009 - 2013 (49,92 €/100kg) 100 Cereals and Soja mix Compound feed 50 50 0 0 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | NB: Comp. Feed 2014 = Forecast as from December 2014. Cereal mix and Pig carcase price: 2015. = expectations as from March. DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  21. Trade in Pigmeat DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  22. DG AGRI C3 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 46.135 881.011 59.720 943.405 71.937 1.083.230 51.641 1.238.138 63.800 1.556.961 IMPORTS 55.918 EU trade of all PIG products 1.545.907 56.077 1.331.808 54.499 1.526.563 EXPORTS 72.276 1.509.302 22.612 1.780.568 21.730 1.938.455 32.368 2.089.363 43.179 1.910.908 59.838 2.569.087 51.789 2.386.245 44.193 2.627.630 36.090 3.133.598 37.121 3.072.403 33.839 3.096.367 35.341 2.935.368 Jan-Jan 15 3.278 14 April 2015 218.811 0 250.000 500.000 750.000 1.000.000 1.250.000 1.500.000 1.750.000 2.000.000 2.250.000 2.500.000 2.750.000 3.000.000 3.250.000 3.500.000 3.750.000 4.000.000 Tonnes product weight .

  23. EU imports of all PIG products Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight) 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan-Jan 15 Compared tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jan 1 4 Sw itzerland 18.725 52% 19.493 53% 17.502 52% 18.180 51% 1.774 54% 4% Serbia 2.402 7% 2.391 6% 3.094 9% 3.681 10% 333 10% -18% Chile 7.734 21% 7.468 20% 5.398 16% 2.849 8% 208 6% -3% Taiw an 53 0% 0 0% 23 0% 92 0% 184 6% +++ Other 7.176 20% 7.769 21% 7.823 23% 10.539 30% 779 24% EXTRA EU 25/27 36.090 37.121 33.839 35.341 3.278 % change + 3% - 9% + 4% + 11,6% DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  24. EU imports of all PIG products Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight) IMPORTS of PIG Meat into EU-28 IMPORTS of PIG Meat into EU-28 (1000 EUR) (Tonnes prod. weight) 6.000 5.411 5.251 3.278 3.500 3.127 2.937 5.000 4.555 3.000 606 1.828 604 586 4.000 2.500 2.657 2.262 2.000 333 3.000 405 197 1.500 2.000 126 1.000 226 1.760 1.774 1.706 157 1.000 1.696 500 1.234 1.079 0 0 Jan-Jan 13 Jan-Jan 14 Jan-Jan 15 Jan-Jan 13 Jan-Jan 14 Jan-Jan 15 Switzerland Serbia Chile Taiwan China Other origins Switzerland Serbia Chile Taiwan China Other origins DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

  25. Imports of selecte Imports of selected PIG pr d PIG products oducts 6. 6.00 000 in T in Tonn nnes es (pro (produc duct t weight) weig ht) 4.50 4. 500 3.00 3. 000 1.50 1. 500 0 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 FRESH FROZEN FAT OTHERS DG AGRI C3 14 April 2015

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