City of Cape Town Transport and Urban Development Authority Competition Commission Market enquiry into Land-based Public Passenger Transport Industry 21 June 2018 [v2.0 20180620]
OUTLINE OF PRESENTATION Submissions to Competition • Commission Need for change • Integrated Public Transport Network: • CoCT’s integrated public transport • methodology 10 point plan •
CoCT Submissions to Competitions Commission to date CoCT = City of Cape Town • Initial submission • 2017-09-13 (16pp) Response to detailed questions • Nov 2017 (28pp and 17 documents) Comment on Statement of Issues • 2018-05-25 (5pp)
THE IPTN BUSINESS PLAN Need for change
NEED FOR CHANGE • Cape Town’s transport system is facing very significant challenges. • A fundamental transformation of Cape Town’s public transport system is required • MyCiTi service has provided part of the solution, however … • Will not aim to replace all minibus-taxis (MBTs) • Will still rely on improved conventional bus • Will work with and enhance new generation services • BUT: What are the costs of not significantly improving Cape Town’s public transport system?
Need for public transport investment Failure to significantly improve public transport twill lead to …. 1. Increasing inequality 2. Worsening congestion 3. Constraints on economic growth and development 4. Increasing negative environmental impacts. BUT: Must ensure that it is Fiscally and financially sustainable • Resilient and flexible to respond to • change Enable spatial transformation and TOD •
• Failure to significantly improve Integrated Public Transport Network will lead to increasing inequality, worsening congestion, serious constraints on economic growth and development and increasing negative environmental impacts. Majority of Cape Town’s population in the Low Income bracket are located on the periphery, between 45-70km from jobs
• Failure to significantly improve Integrated Public Transport Network will lead to increasing inequality, worsening congestion, serious constraints on economic growth and development and increasing negative environmental impacts. Income groups per mode Majority of low income bracket • dependent on public transport The poorest people travel the • longest distances High cost of access: if no • change is made, residents will spend more time and more money getting to work and other destinations than ever before . User Access Priorities Across Cape Town (NHTS 2013)
• Failure to significantly improve Integrated Public Transport Network will lead to increasing inequality, worsening congestion, serious constraints on economic growth and development and increasing negative environmental impacts. • High levels of congestion on Cape Town’s road network • Peak period extended from 2hrs to 4hrs in last 10 years • Minibus-Taxis and most buses are stuck in traffic • Cannot build our way out of congestion
• Failure to significantly improve Integrated Public Transport Network will lead to increasing inequality, worsening congestion, serious constraints on economic growth and development and increasing negative environmental impacts.
THE IPTN BUSINESS PLAN • Integrated public transport methodology
IPTN Business Plan’s Integrated public transport methodology BRT and Passenger Rail Quality Bus City-wide integration, Oversight • infrastructure, Integrated network • strategic design Nature of management Integrated fare system • integrative role Station services • differs for Control through an • different sectors integrated technology Regulation and • enforcement MBT & new (eg rail Infrastructure provision • generation and infrastructure Infrastructure • other built by PRASA) Maintenance services Depots • Etc. •
Prioritising scarce resources is key: We need an approach which aims for optimal outcomes ... but can accommodate what actually happens Flexible and robust
Implementing IPTN over time: Prioritising scarce resources is key • Start with the ‘best’ and most financially sustainable services which have the most impact • Risk mitigation: If revenue is reduced through reduced grants or fare income the affordability threshold falls
The IPTN BP 10 point plan 10. Regulation, 9. Revenue Enforcement, optimization 8. Physical Network priority for Management public transport 1. Enhancing demand patterns (TOD 7. IT/tech and TDM) ONE integrated, strategies/ AFC multimodal network 2. Rail 6. NMT 3. BRT along 5. ‘Hybrid’ key corridors minibus taxi 4. Quality solutions Bus
Crucial for enhancing access at reduced cost 1. Enhancing demand patterns (TOD and TDM)
Transit Orientated Development (TOD) Key reason why City of Cape Town formed the Transport and urban Development Authority Deal with Apartheid nature of • settlement in Cape Town Low income people live far • from work opportunities Cannot solve transport • problems without engagement in urban development / Built Environment That is why national Green • Paper on Transport wanted urban public transport to reside with cities
Crucial for enhancing Transport Demand Management (TDM) access at reduced cost measures such as peak spreading – This has 1. Enhancing been the impact of demand patterns (TOD and TDM) the recent changes to Ideal long term profile the peak fares
Changes in Land Use – TOD Scenarios 1. Land-use Variables Business as Usual Peak reverse flow demand 25% Seat turnover factor (all stop) 1.3 Seat turnover factor (express) 1.1 Peak hour pax demand as % 16.0% of whole day
Changes in Land Use – TOD Scenarios (proxies) TOD Comprehensive 1. Land-use Variables Business achieved as Usual Long term by 2032 Peak reverse flow demand 25% 70% 36% Seat turnover factor (all stop) 1.3 2.5 1.6 Seat turnover factor (express) 1.1 2.1 1.4 Peak hour pax demand as % 16.0% 12.0% 15.0% of whole day
Rail is the City’s Public 1. Enhancing demand patterns Transport Backbone (TOD and TDM) 2. Passenger Rail Excellent for high volume trunks in peak over long distances
Trunk: Rail Need the very important Blue • Downs link to be implemented in short-medium term
Trunk: Rail Direct link between Metro South East and Bellville • Creates scope for establishing a circular route offering • new options for efficient operational designs reducing trainset requirements for deployment • elsewhere
Trunk: Rail Major operational • improvement required throughout system to reverse decline Extend • integrated fare system to rail Assumes PRASA/national take full financial responsibility • for passenger rail improvements Highlights need for City involvement to help ensure • integration and quality
Long term network • 1. Enhancing vision: BRT trunks to fill demand patterns (TOD and TDM) in network not covered by rail Comparative • 2. Passenger advantage in serving Rail fairly dense corridors with high seat renewal 3. BRT along key corridors IPTN Implementation Plan (March 2017) Determines prioritisation of BRT trunk • corridor investment and high level rollout programme
BRT projects must be viewed as property • development projects as well 1. Enhancing demand patterns (TOD and TDM) 2. Passenger Rail 3. BRT along key corridors Higher density Commercial, Business Residential use Low density, mainly residential use BRT dedicated lanes
Atlantis Existing services PHASE 1 AND N2 EXPRESS Table View / Du Noon 18m Century Joe City Slovo Airport Inner 12m City & Sea Khaye- Point litsha Mitchells Plain Camps Bay 9m Hout Bay
Existing services MyCiTi quarterly Passenger Journeys 2011 to 2018 * A passenger journey is the full journey from origin to destination and often includes trunk and feeder segments
Existing services - Moderation gains Fare revenue covering an increasing Cost recovery on T01 trunk proportion of direct operating costs route currently (trunks and feeders) close to 80%. MyCiTi: Fare Revenue vs Direct Operating Costs (%) Optare maintenance First moderation commences Implemented 50% 47% 46% 46% 46% 46% 45% 43% 44% 43% 42% 45% 41% 40% 39% 39% 40% 34% 35% 29% 30% 25% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
Competition and efficient business models • CoCT is committed to creating the conditions for fair competition amongst service providers • Do not support the traditional view of public transport that there should be no competition in same area • CoCT supports competition for the market and in the market • Three operators in MyCiTi Phase 1 • In terms of agreed national approach contracts were based on negotiation with existing operators – mainly MBT operators • Will be tendered in future • Scope for competing for additional services on ongoing basis • Similar approach for future phases of BRT
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