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CIH Affordable Housing Conference March 2014 Dominic Macer, Build to Rent Project Director Introduction to Grainger Business Overview UKs largest listed residential landlord and property manager First year of our second century


  1. CIH Affordable Housing Conference March 2014 Dominic Macer, Build to Rent Project Director

  2. Introduction to Grainger

  3. Business Overview UK’s largest listed residential landlord and property manager • First year of our second century • FTSE250 company, c. £1bn market cap • Significant expertise in the residential real estate sector • Diversified portfolio comprising: – c. 9,300 UK wholly-owned reversionary properties: market value £1.3bn, vacant possession value £1.8bn – c. 4,000 wholly-owned market-rented properties in UK and Germany: c. £0.5bn – c.21,500 properties under management, market value of c. £2.8bn – On-going development activities • Focus on complementary activities generates synergies across divisions 3 3

  4. Our Public Sector Partners 4

  5. Our Private Sector Partners 5

  6. The housing market

  7. A Positive Environment Underpinning Grainger’s Strategy % of homes owner occupied 30% 70% % of homes privately rented …and owner occupation has been 10% PRS is the only growing tenure… in decline since 2005. 50% 1999 2005 2012 1999 2005 2012 • Total value of residential sector valued at £5 trillion • £2 trillion of that in London and the SE English housing survey for 2011 to 2012

  8. Why is the Demand for PRS Growing? • Structural changes • Migration flows • Strong young professional mobility • Different work/life patterns • Household size • Economic changes – affordability issues • Decline of the ‘Bank of Mum and Dad’ • University fees – increased student debt • Mortgage illiquidity, particularly for first time buyers • Lower available LTV and higher prices are resulting in increasing deposits as % of salary • Limited social housing stock increase pool of PRS tenants at the low-income end Source: Savills Research 8

  9. UK Government Support for the Private Rented Sector We are well placed to benefit from Government initiatives, particularly in the private rented sector Government private rented sector support measures include: • Build to Rent Fund extended to £1bn – We are in the process of obtaining up to £57m of inexpensive Government debt for the construction phase of build-to-rent projects of over 500 units across London and the South East • Up to £10bn of UK Government guarantees for new private London Road, Barking and affordable rented homes • Creation of a PRS Taskforce, which includes a Grainger secondee 9

  10. The Opportunity cont. London PRS is the strongest • Strong future growth prospects for rental sector • Economic conditions adding to renting demand o Constrained mortgages o High deposits • Growing cultural acceptance of renting 10

  11. Index of Private Housing Rental Prices • Rents in all regions of the UK have increased in the last 8 years • London has had the most dramatic increase in rental values England Increase in Rental Price Index from May 05 – 13 average 8.4 North East 5.2 North West 5.5 Yorkshire & the Humber 7.6 East Midlands 5.3 West Midlands 6.0 East 8.3 London 11.0 South East 7.6 South West 7.7 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 11 Source: ONS - Index of Private Housing Rental Prices - Historical Series

  12. Return Profiles for Property Investment Total returns over 13 year period to 2013

  13. Rental Levels Historically has depended upon capital appreciation and trading but growing opportunity for a yield driven model Growing market with attractive rental performance prospects Long term out performance : total returns Fundamental supply and demand imbalance in the UK, particularly London Very limited number of specialists : requirement/opportunity for a large scale professional operator Diversification opportunity with a new institutional asset class

  14. What are Investors Looking For? • Net yields ~5% • Rental growth • Scale • Blocks • High quality • Capital value growth?

  15. Challenges of PRS Investment • Limited acquisition • Competition on land with opportunities, scale is house-building for sale challenging • What concerns do we have • High capital values with long term based on vacant management of PRS? possession value mean low yields

  16. Appetite For Risk Reward Development Off Plan/Forward Purchase Stabilised Assets Risk

  17. Making PRS Investment Work • Valuation on investment value • Land value paid for over the long term • Section 106? • Design • Management efficiencies (economies of scale) Grainger plc is currently enabling built-to-rent projects through the following routes: • Public Sector Partnerships – The Royal Borough of Kensington & Chelsea • Forward Purchase – London Road, Barking • Develop Part of Larger Scheme – Berewood, Hampshire

  18. Driving Gross Yield Front of House 18

  19. Driving Net Yield Back of House CLG have asked ULI to form a panel to explore possibility of producing a ‘Design Guide’ for PRS. Grainger’s Nick Jopling is chairing the panel. Publication in April 2014. 19

  20. Two Examples London Road, Barking Royal Borough of Kensington & Chelsea 20

  21. Finding opportunities to grow our market rented portfolio with minimal capital outlay London Road, Barking, East London A purpose built, institutional grade market-rented block, valued on rental income Investment outline Product • • Well connected location 100 units • • Designed with the customer Investment value: £13.7m and management • Wholly owned efficiencies in mind • Gross yield: circa 9% • Equal bedroom sizes • Cost of management: c.25% • Durable finishes • Net yield: circa 7% • Wifi enabled, concierge • Geared IRR: circa 12.5% • Possibility of longer term tenancies Olympic Park – Customer profile 20 min Timeline • City workers • Start on site – Jan 13 • Young professionals • Completion – Q3 2015 • Young families • Fully rented in 6-9 months • £25k to £60k+ income Canary Wharf – 20 min Rents starting at approximately £900/pcm 21

  22. Build to rent with RBKC Young St & Hortensia Rd developments with Royal Borough of Kensington and Chelsea Development profit, future rental income and fee income with no requirement to purchase land • Planning consent obtained Proposed development of Young Street, London • Appointed by the Council to redevelop two Council-owned sites • 84 new homes • Total GDV c.£110m • Grainger will develop, let and manage the properties under a 125 year agreement Proposed development of Young Street, London Preliminary results 2013 22

  23. Thank you Dominic Macer Build to Rent Project Director dmacer@graingerplc.co.uk www.graingerplc.co.uk @graingerplc 23

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