Chemicals & Petrochemicals Manufacturers’ Association 708, 7 th Floor, Kailash Building, 26, Kasturba Gandhi Marg, New Delhi – 110001, INDIA Phone: 91-11-43598337, Fax: 91-11-43598337 Email: cpmai@airtelmail.in Website: www.cpmaindia.com 1
Review : Polyolefins Sector 2 Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
Polyolefins demand grew at a robust growth of 10.6% in 2017-18 MMT 10,04 9,08 8,59 7,32 2014-15 A 2015-16 A 2016-17 A 2017-18 A Expected to register a healthy growth of 5.3% and 7%+ in 2018-19 and next two fiscals 3 Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
Demand of Polyolefins in 2017-18 4,76 LLDPE+HDPE+LDPE Polypropylene 4,35 4,19 5,11 MMT MMT 4,59 3,51 4,25 3,67 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 PE & PP demand grew at 11.2% and 9.4% respectively in 2017-18; expected to witness an average growth of 5.6% and 7.8% respectively in next three years 4 Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
Polyolefin production increased 15% in 2017-18 LDPE LDPE+ +EVA EVA 8% 4% PP PP 54% 47% LLD/HD 44% LLD/HD 42% Polyolefin Demand – 10.0 MMT Polyolefin Production – 8.5 MMT Polyolefin consumption is dominated by Lin PE & PP demand 5 Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
Outlook : Polyolefins Sector 6 Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
Polyolefins demand grew at a robust growth of 10.6% in 2017-18 MMT 12,16 11,33 10,57 10,04 9,08 8,59 7,32 2014-15 A 2015-16 A 2016-17 A2017-18 A 2018-19 E 2019-20 E 2020-21 E Expected to register a healthy growth of 5.3%, 7.1% and 7.4% in 2018-19 and 2019-20 and 2020-21 respectively 7 Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
Demand of Polyolefins in 2017-18 5,64 LLDPE+HDPE+LDPE Polypropylene 5,25 4,91 4,82 MMT MMT 4,59 4,33 4,19 4,25 3,67 3,51 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18E 2018-19E 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18E 2018-19E PE & PP demand grew at 8% and 4% respectively in 2016-17; expected to grow at 10% on an average respectively in next two years 8 Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
PE & PP Demand Trend LDPE+EVA Lin PE PP 6,0 5,5 5,2 MMT 5,1 4,8 4,8 4,5 4,4 4,3 3,9 1,0 1,0 0,9 0,9 0,8 2016-17 A 2017-18 A 2018-19 E 2019-20 E 2020-21 E Lin PE and PP demand growth expected to rise further in next three years 9 Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
Polyolefins net trade deficit till 2020-21 LDPE+EVA LLD+HDPE PP 0,30 0,21 0,15 0,15 MMT 0,02 -0,06 -0,06 -0,08 -0,18 -0,19 -0,33 -0,34 -0,36 -0,47 -0,61 -0,63 -0,64 -0,80 -1,07 -1,07 -1,14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 E 2019-20 E 2020-21 E LLD + HDPE net trade deficit to reduce by 2020-21 and PP would turn to be surplus 10 Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
Projected demand for Polyolefins in India (KTA) Actual Projected % change Y-0-Y 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 821 843 921 945 977 1012 3% 9% 3% 3% 4% LDPE+EVA 1542 1655 1916 2105 2256 2430 7% 16% 10% 7% 8% LLDPE 2038 2239 2452 2440 2577 2770 10% 9% 0% 6% 7% HDPE 4186 4346 4756 5082 5517 5950 4% 9% 7% 9% 8% PP Polyolefins 8587 9083 10044 10572 11327 12162 6% 11% 5% 7% 7% Healthy demand growth is expected for polyolefins in next three years after witnessing a staggering growth of 11% in 2017-18 11 Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
PE import dependency to reduce by 2020-21 LDPE+EVA LLD+HDPE PP 2013-14 65% 28% 12% 2014-15 71% 37% 15% 77% 33% 13% 2015-16 Figs in % 2016-17 76% 32% 14% 2017-18 74% 28% 15% 50% 22% 13% 2018-19 E 2019-20 E 44% 21% 7% 40% 21% 8% 2020-21 E PP import dependency to reduce by 2020-21 12 Indian Polyolefins Industry - Review & Future Prospects - APIC 2019, CPMA, India
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