Capability in Complexity SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 From Aerospace - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Capability in Complexity SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

From Aerospace Futures to Employed (and back again) Nikita Sardesai & John Furness 13 July 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Overview Introductions and Who is Shoal & Systems Engineering our experience what we do Life Advice Model-Based Systems Engineering Modelling, Simulation and Analysis Research and Development 3 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Com ompany Overv rvie iew SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Our people 5 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Aerospace Futures alums 6 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Our culture 7 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

What we do Shoal is a systems engineering firm, based in Australia and USA. Capability Design Modelling Model-Based Simulation & Systems Engineering Analysis Research & Development Systems Engineering Training Conceptual Design 8 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Systems Engineering Cap apabil ility SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Holistic system view The ideal missile design from the viewpoint of various specialists Source: Systems Engineering Principles and Practice, Kossiakoff et al. 2011 10 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Concept development focus Our area of focus 11 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Conceptual design examples at Shoal Ground Based Air and Fire and Emergency Future Submarine & Missile Defence Services Frigate Counter Improvised- Future joint Land Combat Defensive cyber Explosive Devices space/cyber concepts Vehicle System operations 12 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Capability Viewpoint generates Legislation / influences Regulation documents Business Project Public Perception Requirements Management Mandate influences Database Module guides Enterprise Strategy manages shapes manages guides documents defines Projects Viewpoint shapes Fire Strategic guides Department Guidance guides Project responsible for guides Fire & Emergency Events accomplished by develops responds to Project Activity Fire Capability supplied by achieved by defines Enterprise Strategy Operational Viewpoint Integrated Systems Viewpoint refined by People guides Plan Scenario Organization refines People Requirement responsible for Capital Asset decomposed by Role guides Plan refines performs specified by specified by Assets Operational guides Capital Works Activity refines Plan Capability enabled by Functionality Information performs Element Technology guides results in inputs / outputs IT refines basis of Plan connected to Operational / Operational Limitation Knowledge End-user constrains Item (Constraint) guides Need Operating refines Procedures Interface refines results in refines transfers Governance & Accountability Critical guides Operational Measure of Governance Operational refines Interface Effectiveness Plan Issue 13 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Mod odelling, g, Sim imulation an and An Analysis SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Range Safety Template Toolkit • ARAAM air-to-air missile • HIFiRE hypersonic test flights • JASSM cruise missile • DT893 space launches • JAXA Hyabusa spacecraft • FZ-90 70mm rocket return 15 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Model development Engine performance - Thrust profile - Mass profile Failure modes - Reliability / Failure probabilities - Vehicle response to failure - Breakup characteristics Mission concept - Event sequence & timing - Launch azimuth, elevation & altitude Aerodynamics - Aerodynamic coefficients Geometry & mass properties - Masses - Center of graviities - Moments of Inertia 16 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

17 Monte Carlo simulation Two-stage ballistic rocket Typical computational statistics: • 16 million simulation runs • 80 million debris impacts • Three calendar days for computer runs, plus post-processing SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Weapon fly-out: no failure 18 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Weapon fly-out: fin failure, mid-flight 19 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Weapon fly-out: fin failure, end-flight 20 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Ground impact points to PDF Kernel Density Estimation 21 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Safety Products 22 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Flight vehicle modelling Target(s) Roll Law Motor Airframe Characteristics Trajectory Wind Shaping Seeker and Control Homing Law Autopilot Aerodynamics Filter Surfaces Thrust Vector Force Control Summer Vertical Launch Accelerometer Inertial Dynamics Navigation Fuze System Rate Uplink Gyroscopes Decoder Umbilical Warhead & Decoder Weapon / Air Vehicle Lethality Launch Fire Control System Observers Rail/Tube 23 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Research & De Development SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

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Design Visualisation 27 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Systems Engineering Lif Life Ad Advice SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Practical systems engineering Take a holistic Define the Develop your approach problem first solution 29 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Practical systems engineering Take a holistic Define the Develop your approach problem first solution context requirements interfaces continuous V&V 30 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Practical systems engineering Take a holistic Define the Develop your approach problem first solution determine project verification & expected system develop system scope validation behaviour architecture to requirements support behaviour 31 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Practical systems engineering Take a holistic Define the Develop your approach problem first solution 32 Shoal Engineering – Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

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Questions and Comments Nikita Sardesai John Furness SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

309 Angas Street Adelaide SA 5000 Tel: +61 2 6239 4288 support@shoalgroup.com www.shoalgroup.com Adelaide Canberra New York Sydney SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590