BY DR. JOTHAM MUSINGUZI Partners Board Treasurer and Director, - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Experience sharing on South-South Cooperation and Development: Africa’s Experience BY DR. JOTHAM MUSINGUZI Partners’ Board Treasurer and Director, Population Secretariat, Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development November 8, 2006

Year Africa’s Population (in millions) 1900 129 1950 215 2005 906 2025 1,355 2050 1,994

Selected African Countries: Population Trends (2006-2050 ) No . Country Population in millions 2006 2025 2050 1. Tanzania 37.9 53.6 72.7 2. Kenya 34.7 49.4 64.8 3. Uganda 28.2 54.8 103.1 4. Benin 8.7 14.3 22.1 5. Gambia 1.5 2.4 3.7 6. Nigeria 134.5 199.5 298.8 7. Zimbabwe 13.1 14.4 15.8 8. South Africa 47.3 48.0 48.4

Famous quotation “The wealth of a country is not in stones and minerals in the ground but its population, its people.”

Selected indices for some countries Indicator Sweden UK Japan USA Uganda Kenya Tanzania Zimbabwe IMR/1,000 3.4 5.7 3.4 7.1 83 59 108 55 U5MR/1,000 4 6 4 8 152 98 111 108 MMR/100,000 8 10 12 12 505 590 504 695 Life Expectancy 77 75 78 74 47 49 51 43 (years) CPR (%) 78 72 59 76 23 39 25 54 HIV Prevalence (%) 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 6.4 10 11 33 Total Fertility Rate 1.6 1.6 1.3 2.1 6.9 4.7 5.6 4.0 (children) Delivery under 100 99 100 99 39 44 36 73 skilled personnel (%)

WHAT IS THE WHAT IS THE MESSAGE ? MESSAGE ? Plan services for an increased Plan services for an increased population. population. Increase investment and funding. Increase investment and funding.

United Nations Summits of the 1990s • 1990 World Conference on Education for All, Jomtien • 1990 World Summit for Children, New York • 1992 UN Conference on Environment and Development, Rio • 1993 World Conference on Human Rights, Vienna • 1994 International Conference on Population and Development, Cairo • 1995 Fourth World Conference on Women, Beijing • 1995 World Summit for Social Development, Copenhagen • 1996 Second UN Conference on Human Settlement, Istanbul • 1996 World Food Summit, Rome • 2000 Millennium Summit, New York

Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) (1990 – 2015) • Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger • Goal 2: Achieve Universal Primary Education • Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empower women • Goal 4: Reduce child mortality • Goal 5: Improve maternal health • Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases • Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability • Goal 8: Develop a global partnership for development

Poverty levels for Uganda 60 56 50 44 38 40 34 30 20 10 0 1990 1995 2000 2004

Poverty levels for East Africa 70 60 56 56 52 50 53 44 41.6 40 50 38 30 35.7 34 20 10 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Uganda Kenya Tanzania

Zimbabwe, Zambia and Mozambique: Poverty trends 100 86 80 72.9 63.7 60 59 69.4 37.9 41 40 36 26 34.9 20 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Zimbabwe Zambia Mozambique

Uganda: Primary Education Enrolment 120 98 100 84 84 80 62 60 40 20 0 1990 1995 2000 2004

East Africa:Primary Education Enrolment 120 100 98 84 84 90 80 80 88.5 79 78 62 60 58.6 55.4 52.2 40 20 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Uganda Kenya Tanzania

Zimbabwe, Zambia and Mozambique: Primary Education Enrolment 100 95 80 86 83 89 80 83.4 79 78 60 54 60 45 54 40 20 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Zimbabwe Zambia Mozambique

Uganda: Infant mortality trends 140 122 120 100 88 81 82 80 60 40 20 0 1990 1995 2000 2004

East Africa: Infant Mortality trends 150 122 100 99 88 100 92 88 82 81 78 60.7 73.3 61.7 50 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Uganda Kenya Tanzania

Zimbabwe, Zambia and Mozambique: IMR trends 150 134 133 116 125 100 112 110 109 95 65 50 59 61 62 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Zimbabwe Zambia Mozambique

Uganda: Under-five mortality trends 200 180 152 146 150 141 100 50 0 1990 1995 2000 2004

East Africa: Under-five mortality trends 200 180 152 165 147 150 140.9 141 146.6 136.5 114 100 96.1 89.8 111.5 50 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Uganda Kenya Tanzania

Zimbabwe, Zambia and Mozambique: U-5MR trends 250 214 235 197 200 186 203 202 200 150 114 100 123 50 74 76 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Zimbabwe Zambia Mozambique

Uganda: Maternal Mortality trends 1000 800 600 506 523 505 400 200 0 1990 1995 2000

East Africa: Maternal mortality trends 1000 800 770 590 630 650 600 530 530 505 523 400 506 200 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Uganda Kenya Tanzania

Zimbabwe, Zambia and Mozambique: MMR trends 2000 1500 1,500 1,100 936 1,100 1000 940 650 650 870 500 654 700 610 570 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Zimbabwe Zambia Mozambique

HIV prevalence in Uganda 40 30 30 20 18 6.1 10 6.2 0 1990 1995 2000 2004

HIV prevalence among East African Countries 35 30 30 25 20 18 15 10.3 11 11 10 6.7 9.9 8 5.5 6.2 5 6.1 5 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Uganda Kenya Tanzania

Zimbabwe, Zambia and Mozambique: HIV/AIDS trends 40 33.7 30 25.8 21.5 24.6 17.4 19.1 20 16.5 17.1 14.7 10 13 12.2 5.8 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Zimbabwe Zambia Mozambique

Life expectancy in selected African countries(1985-2010) (Source; US Census Bureau, May 2000) F ig u re 2 : L ife E xp e c ta n c y in S e le c te d A fric a n C o u n trie s (1 9 8 5 -2 0 1 0 ) 6 5 6 0 5 5 Life Expectancy at Birth 5 0 U gan da 4 5 Z am b ia 4 0 S ou th A frica 3 5 Z im b ab w e 3 0 B otsw an a 2 5 2 0 1 985 1 990 1 995 2 000 2 005 2 010

Uganda: Immunisation trends 70 63 60 50 47 40 38 38 30 20 10 0 1990 1995 2000 2004

East Africa: Immunisation trends 100 83 79 89 78 80 72 71 71 68 60 63 47 40 38 38 20 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Uganda Kenya Tanzania

Zimbabwe, Zambia and Mozambique: Immunization trends 100 83 85 89 85 80 68 76 74 60 58 67 50 58 40 40 20 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Zimbabwe Zambia Mozambique

Uganda: Malnutrition/stunting trends 40 39 38 38 38 36 34 32 30 1990 1995 2000

East Africa: Malnutrition/stunting 50 43.8 43.8 42.6 40 39 38 38 31 30 28 26.5 20 25 10 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Uganda Kenya Tanzania

Zimbabwe, Zambia and Mozambique: Malnutrition/Stunting trends 80 69 55 55 60 44 53 45 50 47 40 48 43 38 39 20 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Zimbabwe Zambia Mozambique

Uganda: Access to safe water trends 80 68 60 57 40 36 20 24 0 1990 1995 2000 2004

East Africa: Access to safe water trends 80 68 67.2 68 57 60 40 53 49 40 38 36 20 24 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Uganda Kenya Tanzania

Zimbabwe, Zambia and Mozambique: Access to safe water trends 100 77 78 83 80 64 60 63 54 52 57 47 40 31 20 0 1 2 3 4 Zimbabwe Zambia Mozambique

Uganda: TFR trends 10 8 7.1 6.9 6.8 6 6.9 4 2 0

East Africa: TFR trends 8 6.9 6.9 7.1 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.6 6 5.4 6.3 5.5 4.7 5.1 4 2 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Uganda Kenya Tanzania

Zimbabwe, Zambia and Mozambique: TFR trends 8 6.3 6.1 6.4 6.2 6 5.9 6.3 5.9 6 5.6 5.1 4 3.9 4.5 2 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Zimbabwe Zambia Mozambique

Uganda: CPR trends 25 23 20 15 15 10 5 5 0 1990 1995 2000

East Africa: CPR trends 50 40 39 33 30 25 22 16 16 20 10 23 10 15 5 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Uganda Kenya Tanzania

Zimbabwe, Zambia and Mozambique: CPR trends 60 54 48 54 40 43 34 26 25 15 20 6 6 6 4 0 1990 1995 2000 2004 Zimbabwe Zambia Mozambique

WHAT IS THE MESSAGE ? WHAT IS THE MESSAGE ? Most African countries are already off track Most African countries are already off track regarding perfomance perfomance on MDGs on MDGs regarding

Uganda: Consumption Poverty 1992-2003 60 56 Consumption Povert (%) 50 40 35 38 28 30 20 10 10 0 1992 2000 2003 2015 2017 Actual PEAP Target MDG Target Performance

Population and Poverty Levels 28.2 30 Population in Millions 25 22.2 20.4 17.7 20 17.5 14.4 15 11.9 10.5 9.3 8.5 8.2 7.8 10 28.8 5 0 1992 1997 2000 2006 Year Total Population Under Poverty Out of Poverty

Uganda’s performance in Universal Primary Education 120 100 Net Primary Enrollment (% ) 98 100 84 80 84 62 60 40 20 0 1992 1997 1999 2003 2015 Actual performance PEAP Target MDG Target

Uganda’s performance in reducing Infant Mortality 140 122 120 IM R per 1000 Live Births 100 88 81 80 68 60 41 40 20 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2015 Actual PEAP Target MDG Target Performance

Major causes of Child Mortality Major causes of Child Mortality Perinatal Others 22% 29% Malnutrition 60% HIV/AIDS ARI 4% 20% Measles 5% Malaria Diarrhea 8% 12%

Uganda’s performance in reducing Maternal Mortality 600 523 M M R per 100,000 Live Births 506 505 500 400 354 300 200 132 100 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2015 PEAP Target MDG Target Actual Performance