branching random walks applied to antibody affinity
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Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Branching Random Walks Applied to Antibody Affinity Maturation I RENE B ALELLI S UPERVISORS : V UK M ILII C , G ILLES


  1. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Branching Random Walks Applied to Antibody Affinity Maturation I RENE B ALELLI S UPERVISORS : V UK M ILIŠI ´ C , G ILLES W AINRIB E XTERNAL PARTNERS : N ADINE V ARIN -B LANK ’ S TEAM (INSERM U978) LAGA - University Paris 13 IHÉS - Bures-sur-Yvette - May 17, 2016

  2. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Contents Introduction 1 Pure mutational models: random walks on graphs 2 Mutation and division: 2-branching random walks 3 Mutation, division and selection: multi-type Galton-Watson 4 processes Conclusions and ongoing works 5

  3. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Plan Introduction 1 Pure mutational models: random walks on graphs 2 Mutation and division: 2-branching random walks 3 Mutation, division and selection: multi-type Galton-Watson 4 processes Conclusions and ongoing works 5

  4. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Biological background The immune system • The immune system: • innate • adaptative • Production of antigen-specific antibodies: • assured by B-cells • evolutionary mutation - The structure of the immunity system seclection process (Encyclopedia of University of Maryland Medical Center)

  5. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Biological background The germinal center reaction The germinal center microenvironment Organization of a lymph node (Germinal centres: role in B-cell (Janeway’s immunobiology, 2012) physiology and malignancy, Nature Reviews Immunology 8 , 2008)

  6. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Biological background Somatic hypermutation • Genetic mutations on the variable region of the BCR, the antigen binding site • Extremely high rate of mutation ( + 10 5 -10 6 ) • Random mutations The coding and assembly of BCR molecules during somatic hypermutation (Immunology and evolution of infectious disease, 2002)

  7. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Main assumptions Aim and Model Aim : To build a mathematical framework to investigate the interactions between division, mutation and selection Model : • 2 amino acid classes: 0 or 1 • BCR and antigen = N -length binary strings ( H N := { 0 , 1 } N ) • Affinity = N − Hamming distance between the strings • To define a mutation rule = to define a random walk on H N

  8. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Plan Introduction 1 Pure mutational models: random walks on graphs 2 Mutation and division: 2-branching random walks 3 Mutation, division and selection: multi-type Galton-Watson 4 processes Conclusions and ongoing works 5

  9. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Definitions Definitions (1/2) (a) Simple point mutations: class switch of a randomly chosen amino acid. Mathematically: Simple Random Walk on H N . P := transition probability matrix ex. N = 5: 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 − → (b) Class switch of 1 or 2-length strings depending on affinity: class switch of 1 or 2 randomly chosen amino acids depending on the affinity between BCR and antigen. Mathematically: graph divided into 2 components. The one containing the antigen is accessible from the other, not conversely. ex. N = 5: x = 1 1 0 0 1 ; X 0 = 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 → 1 0 0 0 1 → 1 0 1 0 1

  10. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Definitions Definitions (2/2) (c) Multiple point mutations: with probability a i , i independent simple point mutations, 1 ≤ i ≤ k , k ≤ N fixed. Mathematically: two models proposed P ( k ) := 1 � k • i = 1 P i k With probability 1 / k at each time step between 1 and k independent simple point mutations P k ∗ , k ∗ = 2 ⌊ ( k + 1 ) / 2 ⌋ − 1 • At each time step exactly k ∗ independent simple-point mutations

  11. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Theoretical results The hitting time (1/2) The expected number of steps to reach Definition : a specific node in H N , given the departure node. E x i [ τ { x j } ] , where τ { x j } := inf { n ≥ 0 | X n = x j } . Interpretation : The expected time we need to wait until the optimal BCR is obtained, given a particular antigen. For the mutational models introduced, we determine Computation : explicit formulas to evaluate this quantity (or at least estimations for N big enough).

  12. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Theoretical results The hitting time (2/2) Let d be the initial Hamming distance between BCR and antigen. � N − 1 − d d − 1 C d + j + 1 j = 1 N Rule (a) H ( d ) = � ∼ 2 N , for N big enough C d N − 1 d = 0 Rule (b) ∼ 2 N − 1 , for N big enough 2 N 2 N 1 ( k ) � µ ( k ) � µ ( k ) Rule (c) T N ( d ) = − R N ( l , d ) l l 2 N C d l = 2 l = 2 N

  13. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Numerical simulations Class switch of 1 or 2 length strings, depending on the Hamming distance to x Theoretical result: hitting time = 1 2 (hitting time for the basic model) Experimental results for N = 10 (over 5000 simulations) : Basic model: 1188.8 ± 16.3 Switch 1-2: 602.8 ± 8.5 Histogram of the hitting times. N = 10

  14. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Numerical simulations 1 to k mutations The spectral analysis let us conclude that P k ∗ optimizes the mean hitting time to cover a given distance d , if k > 2. Dependence of d on T ( 5 ) Dependence of k on T ( k ) 10 ( d ) . 10 ( 3 ) . ( k ) N ( d ) = mean hitting time from a distance d allowing 1 to k mutations. T

  15. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Plan Introduction 1 Pure mutational models: random walks on graphs 2 Mutation and division: 2-branching random walks 3 Mutation, division and selection: multi-type Galton-Watson 4 processes Conclusions and ongoing works 5

  16. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Definition Motivation and definitions Purpose : Introduction and analysis of the division process Definition : Simple 2-Branching Random Walk • t = 0 : a randomly chosen node is labelled as active • t → t + 1 : each active node chooses 2 neighbors to become active (independently and with replacement) • possible states: active or non-active (never mind if a node is chosen more than once)

  17. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Theoretical results Portion of H N covered in O ( N ) Notation 1 S t = { active nodes at t } ⇒ | S t | = # S t Notation 2 2-BRW- M = a simple 2-BRW on a graph whose transition probability matrix is M Theorem Given a simple 2-BRW- P on H N , in a time T = O ( N ) w.g.p. | S T | ≥ 2 N − r , for r > N 2 e − 2 + N − 2 Ne − 2 + N − 2 . Theorem Given a simple 2-BRW- P ( k ) on H N , in a time T = O ( N ) w.g.p. | S T | ≥ δ 2 N , for δ ≤ 1 / 2 . [Dutta, C., Pandurangan, G., Rajaraman, R., Roche, S. 2013]

  18. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Numerical simulations BRW with respect to P , P k ∗ , P ( k ) Using as transition probability matrix P or P k ∗ the graph is bipartite: we can not have more than a half part of H N active. With P ( k ) we do not have this problem anymore: we can invade all the state space. | S ( t ) | , comparing the 2-branching random walk for P (blue), P 7 (red) and P ( 7 ) (green). N = 10

  19. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Plan Introduction 1 Pure mutational models: random walks on graphs 2 Mutation and division: 2-branching random walks 3 Mutation, division and selection: multi-type Galton-Watson 4 processes Conclusions and ongoing works 5

  20. Introduction Pure mutational models Mutation and division Mutation, division and selection Conclusions and ongoing works Definitions Definitions t = 0 : A B-cell enters GC with initial Hamming distance h 0 t → t + 1 : Death rate: r d ; Division rate: r div ; Selection rate: r s (a) If h > h s ⇒ death ; if h ≤ h s ⇒ selected pool (b) If h > h s ⇒ nothing ; if h ≤ h s ⇒ selected pool

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