Ben enefici cial E Elect ectrification on & & Building g Dec ecar arbonization on - You ou Can an't H Have e One W e Withou out Th The e Other! Patrick McCoy, Sacramento Municipal Utility District November 4 th , 2019 www.peakload.org
Sa Sacramento M Mun unici cipal Utility D District ( (SM SMUD) www.peakload.org
SM SMUD’s Net Zer ero Ca o Carbo bon P Plan www.peakload.org
Path to Electrific ication P Programs 1) Calculate the carbon equivalence between electricity and gas • Use to claim electrical savings from electrification 2) Calculate the value of electrification to the utility • Hint, it is much more than net revenue times new load • With this, set incentives 3) Calculate the hourly long term marginal emissions • Use to change the metric used to manage EE programs www.peakload.org
SMUD Electrification P Programs Total Possible Launch Date Incentive Base Incentive HP-HVAC HPWH Induction Bonus Single Family New Inc Inc $7,000 $4,000 $1,000 $2,000 March 2018 Construction Multifamily New Inc Inc $1,750 $1,250 $500 x March 2018 Construction Single Family Existing $10,500 n/a $4,500 $3,000 $500 $2,500 1 May 2018 X HPWH Equipment Efficiency $3,000 $3,000 n/a Inc n/a June 2018 Multifamily Existing $2,500 n/a $1,000 $1,000 $500 x December 2018 HPWH Direct Install 3 nd Quarter 2019 $3,000 n/a n/a x n/a Program HP-HVAC Equipment 3 rd Quarter $4,500 $1,500 $2,500 n/a n/a $500 2 Efficiency 2019 www.peakload.org
Programmatic Bui Building Ca g Carbo bon Red educt ction Electrification is 17% of the 2019 budget in 2019 and 270% of the 2019 budget in 2040 Traditional EE programs ramp to 0.5% of retail sales by 2024, constant thereafter Electrification Efficiency Traditional EE accounts for 93% of the carbon savings in 2019 Traditional EE accounts for 1% of the carbon savings in 2040 at 1 st Year Program Savings of 1% of 130% of the 2019 budget Retail Sales Electrical Efficiency If you don’t measure it you can’t manage it www.peakload.org
Tem emporal A Aspec pects of of E EE • Traditional EE and Electrification EE measures operate in hours both above and below the annual average emissions intensity target • Programmatic Carbon: the summation of hourly marginal carbon savings for every year of the measure’s life www.peakload.org
Carbo Ca bon Sa Savi vings gs O Over er Time Carbon Reduction (tonnes) Annual First Year Measure Installed in 2020 Programmatic Average kWh Savings Whole House Fan 1.43 2.85 567 HPWH 11.55 11.00 3,751 Heat Pump HVAC 25.38 22.81 8,212 Programmatic AC - 16 SEER 1.09 1.74 513 Carbon is the lifetime long term Carbon Reduction (tonnes) marginal emission Annual First Year carbon reduction Measure Installed in 2040 Programmatic Average kWh Savings Whole House Fan 0.23 0.86 567 HPWH 12.75 12.97 4,129 Heat Pump HVAC 27.93 28.96 9,040 AC - 16 SEER 0.21 0.34 513 www.peakload.org
Ex Existing B g Building P g Progr ogram am O Outcom omes Incentive 2018 2019 2020 2021 (7 mo.) (to date) HPWH – Total $3,000 150 722 1,000 1,500 HPWH - Plumbers 99 624 HPWH - GCs 51 98 HP-HVAC - Total $4,500 162 399 1,750 2,500 n/a 5* HP-HVAC - C20s HP-HVAC - GCs 162 394 Single Family New $5,000 35 63 550 850 Multifamily New $1,750 0 16 175 300 www.peakload.org
Pea eak a and nd Loa oad F d Factor or Cha Changes es Electrification Grid Utilization Increases 9% Traditional Electrical Efficiency Load factor improves and peak decreases www.peakload.org
Fut uture O e Out utlook We have always forecasted demand and managed supply, we see the future as forecasting supply and managing demand. www.peakload.org
Th Than ank Y You ou! Patric ick M k McCoy Patrick.McCoy@sm smud.or org www.peakload.org
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