ATTAINMENT PLAN WEBINAR HOUSEKEEPING Workshop is being recorded. Recording will be posted on APCD’s Air Quality Planning webpage as soon as possible. Presentation will be posted to the Air Quality Planning webpage tomorrow. Attendees are muted by default. Designated presenters can be unmuted. Submit comments in writing using the Q&A function in BlueJeans. APCD staff will attempt to answer comments at the conclusion of the presentation. Comments may also be submitted via email to Nick Cormier at nick.cormier@sdcounty.ca.gov no later than July 31, 2020. Comments received will be addressed in Workshop Report, that will be sent to all attendees via email in August. 1
Draft Plan to Attain National Ozone Standards In San Diego County Public Workshop July 9, 2020 July 13, 2020
WHAT WE’LL COVER TODAY Ozone pollution & health impacts Responsible agencies What we’ve done, what we still need to do Draft ozone attainment plan What it means for businesses Next steps Questions/comments 3
WHAT CAUSES OZONE POLLUTION? NO x VOCs O 3 Nitrogen Volatile Ozone Sunlight Oxides Organic Compounds Pollutants “bake” together in direct sunlight, forming ozone Photo Credit: San Diego Union-Tribune 4
OZONE POLLUTION IN SAN DIEGO COUNTY Warmer Air Air Pollution Trapped by Temperature Inversion & Mountains Cooler Marine Air 5
CLEANER AIR FOR IMPACTED COMMUNITIES Community Air Protection – AB 617 (2017) Measure & reduce localized air pollution in disadvantaged communities Portside Environmental Justice Community Barrio Logan, Logan Heights, Sherman Heights, & western National City Community Emissions Reduction Program Incentives, regulatory, land use, transportation 6
OZONE EFFECTS ON HEALTH Who is most at risk? Children & seniors People with asthma, bronchitis or COPD Those who spend more time outdoors When & where are risks highest? Spring & summer afternoons Inland areas 7
PARTNERS FOR CLEAN AIR California Air Air Pollution U.S. Environmental Resources Board Protection Agency Control District California San Diego County U.S.A • EPA regulates • CARB regulates • APCD regulates interstate-traveling in-state mobile sources stationary sources mobile sources & major & consumer products stationary sources 8
CLEAN AIR ACTIONS 300 rulemakings Cleanest motor to reduce air vehicle fuels in pollution from the nation stationary sources Statewide APCD - CARB leader in Most stringent MOU assisting CARB mobile source with enforcing regulations in mobile source the nation regulations $131 million “Low” or “Zero- granted for VOC” Consumer emission Products reduction projects 9
CLEAN AIR ATTAINMENT STATUS National Ambient Applicable Pollutant Air Quality Standard Particulate Matter Attainment Carbon Monoxide Attainment Lead Attainment Nitrogen Dioxide Attainment Sulfur Dioxide Attainment Ozone Non-Attainment 10
EMISSION CONTROLS ARE WORKING 58% reduction in ozone-forming emissions in region 500 between 2000 - 2020 455 450 Total Daily Ozone-forming Emissions (tons/day) 400 58% reduction 350 (- 264 tons/day) 300 250 191 200 150 100 50 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 11
OZONE POLLUTION HAS DROPPED OVERALL Ozone value in San Diego region (as measured in Alpine) 0.150 Peak ozone values are associated with hotter years Ozone Value (parts per million) 0.130 0.110 0.082 ppm 0.090 2008 National Standard (0.075 ppm) 0.070 2015 National Standard (0.070 ppm) 0.050 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 12
HOW DO WE COMPARE? Statewide Ozone Trends 0.15 0.14 South Coast Ozone Level (parts per million) 0.13 0.12 San Joaquin 0.11 0.108 ppm Sacramento 0.1 0.088 ppm San Diego 0.108 ppm 0.09 Bay Area 0.086 ppm 0.082 ppm 0.08 Sacramento 2008 Standard (0.075 ppm) 0.073 ppm 0.07 2015 Standard (0.070 ppm) Bay Area 0.06 1999 2009 2019 13
REGION’S TOP SOURCES OF NOx EMISSIONS 25 20 19.7 17.4 16.4 15 Tons per Day 10 7.9 6.7 5 4.9 4 0 Heavy Duty Ships Off-Road Aircraft Cars & Commercial Stationary Diesel Trucks Equipment Light Trucks Harbor Craft Sources 14
TEMPERATURES ARE RISING 15
“TON PER DAY” COMPARISON 350,000 1 Ton/Day passenger cars of NOx emissions 16
TOTAL EMISSIONS WILL FURTHER DECLINE 200 190 10% Reduction (-20 tons/day) 14% Reduction 180 (-26 tons/day) Total Daily Emissions (tons) 170 191 tons/day 171 tons/day 165 tons/day 160 APCD rulemakings: CARB actions: 150 Boilers Electric Trucks • • Engine nes • Low-NO NOx Trucks ks • Turbi bines • Smog Check for Truc ucks • 140 Landf dfill Flares • Ships ps in Harbo bor • Pain ints s & Coatin ings • 130 APCD grant programs: Old Car Ret etirem emen ent • EV Cha harging ng Stations • 120 Clean Cars For All • Legacy Programs s • (e.g., Carl Moyer) 110 100 2020 2026 2032 17
THREADING WITH TRANSPORTATION AGENCIES Working together to reduce On-Road Emissions transportation-related air pollution (NOx + VOC) (tons/day) 45 On-road emissions forecasted to drop 40 42 35 30% by 2026 30 30% 29.4 25 reduction 40% by 2032 40% 25.1 20 reduction 15 Draft ozone attainment plan requires 10 these emissions reductions 5 0 2020 2026 2032 Photo Credit: KTLA 18
OZONE ATTAINMENT IS PREDICTED IN 2026 & 2032 2008 Standard 2015 Standard *San Diego’s future ozone levels predicted by CARB’s air quality model 19
ATTAINMENT LABELS & DEADLINES Attain by 2026 Region’s predicted attainment date corresponds to a severe classification 2008 Standard Serious* Severe Extreme Moderate (0.075 ppm) 2008 Ozone Standard: 0.075 parts per million *Region’s existing classification Attain by 2032 Region’s predicted attainment date corresponds to a severe classification 2015 Standard Moderate* Serious Severe Extreme (0.070 ppm) 2015 Ozone Standard: 0.070 parts per million 20 *Region’s existing classification
BUSINESS IMPACTS OF SEVERE CLASSIFICATION More Restrictive Permit Requirements Program Serious Severe Federal Permit Program Facilities emitting ≥ 100 tons/year Facilities emitting ≥ 25 tons/year for Existing Major Sources (32 existing sources) (up to 25 additional sources) (Additional monitoring, reporting) New Source Review Program Facilities emitting ≥ 50 tons/year Facilities emitting ≥ 25 tons/year for New/Modified Major Sources (new or modified sources only) (new or modified sources only) (Advanced controls, Emissions Offsets) New Source Review 1.2-to-1 1.3-to-1 Emissions Offsetting Ratio 21
DRAFT OZONE ATTAINMENT PLAN Attaining Ozone Standards Pollution Reduction Measures Air Pollutant Emissions Inventories Air Quality Data Available on APCD’s website: https://tinyurl.com/AirQualityPlan 22
DRAFT OZONE PLAN ELEMENTS Section 1 Section 2 Section 3 Section 4 “General” Requirements Requirements for Requirements for Introduction shared between both NAAQS 2008 Ozone NAAQS 2015 Ozone NAAQS On-Road Motor Vehicle On-Road Motor Vehicle Ozone Background Emissions Inventory Emissions Budgets Emissions Budgets Transport Effect of Local Emissions Statement Rule Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) South Coast Air Basin Certification Offset Demonstration Offset Demonstration New Source Review (NSR) Reasonably Available Control Reasonably Available Control Tribal Nations Program Certification Measures (RACM) Analysis Measures (RACM) Analysis Reclassification Request Historical Emissions Control Reasonable Further Progress Reasonable Further Progress to Severe Measures Certification (RFP) Demonstration (RFP) Demonstration Future Milestone Compliance Future Milestone Compliance Military Emissions Demonstrations (MCDs) Demonstrations (MCDs) San Diego International Future Clean Air Act Section 185 Future Clean Air Act Section 185 Airport Emissions Fee Rule Commitment Fee Rule Commitment Attainment Demonstration and Attainment Demonstration and Weight of Evidence (WOE) Weight of Evidence (WOE) Contingency Measures Contingency Measures Reasonably Available Control Reasonably Available Control Technology (RACT) Technology (RACT) Demonstration Demonstration (under separate cover) (under separate cover) 23
PLANNED OUTREACH COMMUNITY Public Citizens Environmental Health Coalition Casa Familiar American Lung Association Community Planning Groups AB 617 Steering Committee Sierra Club GOVERNM RNMENT NT BUSINESS/ INDUSTRY Cities Industrial Environmental Association SANDAG CARB APCD Permit Holders EPA Tribal Nations Military (Navy/Marines) SD Regional Airport Authority MTS Chambers of Commerce NCTD 24
PLANNED NEXT STEPS Action Schedule Release Draft Document & July 1, 2020 Notice of Workshop Advisory Committee Meeting July 8, 2020 Public Workshops July 9, 2020 (2 webinars) July 13, 2020 Comments Due July 31, 2020 Advisory Committee Meeting August 2020 APCD Board Meeting September 2020 CARB Board Meeting October 2020 25
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