Am erican attitudes on refugees from the Middle East A PUBLIC OPINION POLL BY SHIBLEY TELHAMI .
A survey sponsored by the Center for Middle East Policy’s Project on U.S. Relations with the Islamic World at The Brookings Institution and Sadat Chair for Peace and Development at the University of Maryland fielded by Nielsen Scarborough Valuable assistance was provided by The Program for Public Consultation, especially its director Steven Kull, Evan Lewis, and Clay Ramsay. Neil Schwartz, Scott Willoth, and Jordan Evangelista from Nielsen Scarborough also provided assistance. Brittany Kyser, Shaqaiq Birashk, and Cameron Zotter were particularly helpful.
Survey Methodology The survey was conducted May 20-31, 2016 with a panel consisting of a probability-based representative sample. The panel was recruited by Nielsen Scarborough from its larger probability-based national panel, which was recruited by mail and telephone using a random sample of households provided by Survey Sampling International. A total of 1580 panelists completed the survey including a national sample of 845 adults, plus an oversample of 735 millennials (18-34), making for a total sample of millennials of 863. Responses were weighted by age, gender, income, education, race, and geographic region using benchmarks from the US Census. The survey was also weighted by partisan identification and millennials were down-weighted consistent with these groups’ incidence rate in the U.S. Census. The margins of error for the national sample and for each subgroup is: National – 845 respondents, MoE: 3.4% Millennials – 863, MoE: 3.3%
As you m ay know, since 20 0 1 the United States has adm itted about 8 0 0 ,0 0 0 persons with refugee status from around the world, or about 50 ,0 0 0 people a year on average. In U.S. law, a refugee is a person who is already living outside their own country because of a “well-founded fear of persecution.” This definition can include those fleeing civil war in their hom e country. It excludes those who “participated in the persecution of any person on account of race, religion, nationality, m em bership in a particular social group, or political opinion.” Those applying as refugees for asylum in the U.S. are investigated by various arm s of the U.S. governm ent. This process takes about two years. In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern countries after screening them for security risks?
In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern countries after screening them for security risks? Support Strongly 24% Support som ewhat 35% Oppose som ewhat 17% Oppose strongly 24%
In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern countries after screening them for security risks? 18 -34 35-54 55+ 30 % Support strongly 20 % 24% 38 % Support som ewhat 36% 31% 18 % Oppose som ewhat 19% 14% 14% Oppose strongly 25% 31%
In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern countries after screening them for security risks? Dem ocrat Independent Republican 10 % Support strongly 36% 24% 28 % Support som ewhat 41% 32% 20 % Oppose som ewhat 15% 16% 43% Oppose strongly 8 % 26%
In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern countries after screening them for security risks? Those Favoring Donald Trum p Those Favoring Hillary Clinton Those Favoring Bernie Sanders 4% Support strongly 38 % 44% 18 % Support som ewhat 42% 37% 21% Oppose som ewhat 14% 13% 56% Oppose strongly 5% 7%
Assum ing extensive background checks are in place to ensure there are not terrorist links, should the U.S. accept refugees from Syria specifically?
Assum ing extensive background checks are in place to ensure there are not terrorist links, should the U.S. accept refugees from Syria specifically? Yes 56% No 43%
Assum ing extensive background checks are in place to ensure there are not terrorist links, should the U.S. accept refugees from Syria specifically? 18 -34 35-54 55+ 67% Yes 54% 49% 32% No 45% 50 %
Assum ing extensive background checks are in place to ensure there are not terrorist links, should the U.S. accept refugees from Syria specifically? Republican Dem ocrat Independent 38 % Yes 73% 49% 61% No 27% 47%
Assum ing extensive background checks are in place to ensure there are not terrorist links, should the U.S. accept refugees from Syria specifically? Those Favoring Donald Trum p Those Favoring Hillary Clinton Those Favoring Bernie Sanders 23% Yes 76% 76% 76% No 23% 24%
[Am ong those opposing absorbing refugees] Which of the following concerns you m ost about absorbing refugees?
[Am ong those opposing absorbing refugees] Which of the following concerns you m ost about absorbing refugees? I'm concerned about terrorism 46% I'm concerned about having m ore Muslim s in the U.S., even if they are 9% peaceful I'm concerned about the econom ic burden of absorbing refugees of any 41% kind Other 4%
[Am ong those opposing absorbing refugees] Which of the following concerns you m ost about absorbing refugees? Republican Dem ocrat Independent 50 % I'm concerned about terrorism 41% 35% I'm concerned about having m ore 8 % Muslim s in the U.S., even if they 11% 4% are peaceful I'm concerned about the econom ic 38 % burden of absorbing refugees of 41% any kind 52% 3% Other 5% 8 %
[Am ong those opposing absorbing refugees] Which of the following concerns you m ost about absorbing refugees? Those Favoring Donald Trum p Those Favoring Hillary Clinton Those Favoring Bernie Sanders 52% I'm concerned about terrorism 28 % 44% 8 % I'm concerned about having m ore Muslim s in the U.S., even if they are 17% peaceful 7% 37% I'm concerned about the econom ic burden of absorbing refugees of any 49% kind 37% 3% Other 4% 9%
Apart from the question of whether U.S. should accept m ore refugees, does the U.S. have a m oral obligation to help refugees from the following countries (Libya, Iraq, and Syria)?
Apart from the question of whether U.S. should accept m ore refugees, does the U.S. have a m oral obligation to help refugees from the following countries? Som e or High Obligation No Obligation 50 % Libya 49% 45% Iraq 54% 48 % Syria 51%
Apart from the question of whether U.S. should accept m ore refugees, does the U.S. have a m oral obligation to help refugees from the following countries (Libya)? Those Favoring Hillary Clinton Those Favoring Bernie Sanders Those Favoring Donald Trum p 77% No Obligation 33% 33% 22% Som e or High Obligation 66% 66%
Apart from the question of whether U.S. should accept m ore refugees, does the U.S. have a m oral obligation to help refugees from the following countries (Iraq)? Those Favoring Donald Trum p Those Favoring Hillary Clinton Those Favoring Bernie Sanders 69% No Obligation 32% 29% 30 % Som e or High Obligation 67% 70 %
Apart from the question of whether U.S. should accept m ore refugees, does the U.S. have a m oral obligation to help refugees from the following countries (Syria)? Those Favoring Donald Trum p Those Favoring Hillary Clinton Those Favoring Bernie Sanders 74% No Obligation 31% 32% 26% Som e or High Obligation 66% 67%
How m uch of a role do you believe the 20 0 3 Iraq War has played in the events leading to the em ergence of the refugee crisis in Syria?
How m uch of a role do you believe the 20 0 3 Iraq War has played in the events leading to the em ergence of the refugee crisis in Syria? Significant 56% Role Sm all Role 31% No Role 11%
How m uch of a role do you believe the 20 0 3 Iraq War has played in the events leading to the em ergence of the refugee crisis in Syria? Republican Dem ocrat Independent 44% Significant Role 67% 53% 37% Sm all Role 25% 33% 18 % No Role 6% 13%
How m uch of a role do you believe the 20 0 3 Iraq War has played in the events leading to the em ergence of the refugee crisis in Syria? Those Favoring Donald Trum p Those Favoring Hillary Clinton Those Favoring Bernie Sanders 42% Significant Role 68 % 69% 37% Sm all Role 25% 23% 19% No Role 4% 7%
[Open Ended Question] How m any refugees should the U.S. sponsor and resettle in 20 17?
[Open Ended Question] How m any refugees should the U.S. sponsor and resettle in 20 17? 35618 Republican 10 0 0 0 64475 Dem ocrat 150 0 0 8 330 9 Independent 150 0 0 58 928 Total 10 0 0 0 Mean (top num ber) Median (bottom num ber)
In your estim ation, how m any refugees have been arrested in the United States since 9/ 11 over terrorism charges?
In your estim ation, how m any refugees have been arrested in the United States since 9/ 11 over terrorism charges? Fewer than 5 14% Fewer than 25 26% Fewer than 10 0 30 % 10 0 or m ore 28 %
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