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Air Force Institute of Technology The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. Optimization of the Progressive Multi-Channel Correlation Algorithm for Infrasound Nuclear Treaty Monitoring Anthony Runco, 2Lt, USAF James Louthain, Lt Col,


  1. Air Force Institute of Technology The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. Optimization of the Progressive Multi-Channel Correlation Algorithm for Infrasound Nuclear Treaty Monitoring Anthony Runco, 2Lt, USAF James Louthain, Lt Col, PhD, USAF Dean Clauter, PhD Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 1 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  2. Ground Truth Set Stations The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 2 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  3. What is PMCC? Correlation Detector Relations The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. • Closure Relation • Consistency Threshold [1] Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 3 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  4. What is WinPMCC? Consistency-Satisfied Detections The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 4 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  5. What is WinPMCC? Family-Building Process The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 5 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  6. Family Building Process Threshold to Determine Families The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 6 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  7. Consistency Threshold and the Receiver Operating Characteristic The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. How does varying the consistency threshold affect detector performance? [2] Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 7 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  8. Establishing a Ground Truth (GT) Set The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. • WinPMCC • InfraMonitor • Stephen Arrowsmith and Rod Whitaker • Los Alamos National Laboratory • SeaTools • FK Trend • Air Force Technical Applications Center (AFTAC) Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 8 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  9. Consistency Threshold and the Receiver Operating Characteristic The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. Consistency Threshold (sec) Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force Back to Summary 9 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  10. Optimum Family Size Detection Threshold The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. • Only the largest and most stable families are preserved… • Consistency: 0.1 sec [2] Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 10 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  11. Likelihood Ratio Test The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. • Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) [3] • Ground Truth True Event Families and Non-Event Families organized by Family Size [#pixels/family] Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 11 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  12. True Event and Non-Event Conditional PDFs The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 12 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  13. Maximum A Posteriori Detection The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. Back to Summary Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 13 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  14. Bayes Approach and Risk Minimization The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. C R = 0 : no SOI present, • and correctly declare one not to be C TD = 10 : SOI present, • declare SOI presence, and take action C FA = 20 : no SOI • present, but declare one to be C MD = 100 : SOI present, • but declare one not to be Back to Summary Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 14 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  15. Optimum Threshold ROC Comparison The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. Back to Summary Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 15 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  16. Summary of Research Contributions: Monitoring Agency and Analyst Perspectives The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. • Ground Truth Set – Could be tailored to infrasound stations • PMCC Algorithm • Consistency Threshold and ROC Curve Analysis • Consistency Threshold and the Receiver Operating Character... • Optimum Family Size & Detection Threshold • Maximum A Posteriori Detection • Bayes Approach and Risk Minimization • Optimum Threshold ROC Comparison Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 16 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  17. References The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. [1] Y. Cansi and A. Le Pichon, "Infrasound Event Detection Using the Progressive Multi-Channel Correlation Algorithm," in Handbook of Signal Processing in Acoustics, New York, Springer, 2008. [2] A. Le Pichon and Y. Cansi, "Progressive Multi-Channel Correlation: Technical Documentation," CTBTO, 2003. [3] B. Sklar and P. K. Ray, Digital Communications: Fundamentals and Applications, New York: Pearson, 2009. Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 17 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

  18. The AFIT of Today is the Air Force of Tomorrow. Questions? Air University: The Intellectual and Leadership Center of the Air Force 18 Aim High…Fly - Fight - Win

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