2015 group on student affairs regional meetings
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2015 Group on Student Affairs Regional Meetings Mona M. Signer President and CEO April 2015 Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP. Todays Topics Main Residency Match Trends Is the Match Becoming More


  1. 2015 Group on Student Affairs Regional Meetings Mona M. Signer President and CEO April 2015 Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  2. Today’s Topics  Main Residency Match Trends  Is the Match Becoming More Competitive?  Changes to Match Week 2016  NRMP National Conference Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  3. First-Year GME Positions Allopathic Medicine 30,000 >9,200 more PGY-1 25,000 positions than US seniors in the Match US Allopathic Seniors Who Obtained 20,000 Positions through SOAP US Allopathic Seniors Matched 15,000 US Allpathic Seniors in the Match 10,000 US Allopathic Graduating Seniors 5,000 NRMP PGY 1 Positions 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Data sources: NRMP, AAMC Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  4. Main Residency Match PGY-1 Positions Offered and Filled 500 More Positions Offered All In Policy 30,000 25,000 + 3,287 PGY-1 20,000 positions since All In Policy 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Offered Filled Filled US Seniors Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  5. Position Increases by Specialty At least +50, 2011 - 2015 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 IM FM AN PS EM PD NE SG SG PA CM IM OB Prelim Prim Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  6. Active Applicants 651 More Seniors, 635 More Active Applicants All In Policy 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Others DOs IMGs US IMGs Prior US Grads US Seniors Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  7. PGY-1 Matches by Applicant Type 533 More Matched Seniors in 2015 All In Policy 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Unmatched Others DOs IMGs US IMGs Prior US Grads US Seniors Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  8. Seniors Matched to PGY-1 Positions 2,000 More Seniors 18,000 16,932 16,000 14,992 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 949 1,093 2,000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  9. Seniors Matched to Primary Care 2006 - 2015 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 Internal Medicine Pediatrics Family Medicine 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  10. Percent Unmatched Seniors Who Ranked One Specialty 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% TS DM OS NS OT OB SG PH PS EM PL RO MP FM PD PA NE IM AN RD CN VS Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  11. 1,306 Unfilled Positions Half PGY-1 Only 2,000 All In Policy 1,800 71 1,600 1,400 101 55 92 63 1,200 146 862 210 59 82 103 127 1,000 663 112 696 460 391 487 459 425 800 427 367 600 194 136 123 123 127 89 105 129 74 80 400 486 484 481 473 475 455 461 459 200 444 449 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Surg-Prelim Med-Prelim T-Year & Peds-Prelim Categorical Advanced Reserved Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  12. 1,193 Unfilled Positions in SOAP 0 Orthopaedic Surgery 2014 1 2015 Otolaryngology SOAP SOAP 1 Dermatology 1 Internal Medicine - Pediatrics 2 Neurological Surgery 3 Physical Medicine & Rehab 4 Plastic Surgery 5 Radiation Oncology 7 Emergency Medicine 7 Obstetrics-Gynecology 8 General Surgery 12 Other 14 Pediatrics 15 Psychiatry 19 Neurology 20 Child Neurology 31 Pathology 46 Transitional Year 69 Internal Medicine 70 Anesthesiology 118 Internal Medicine-Preliminary 145 Radiology-Diagnostic 149 Family Medicine 446 Surgery-Preliminary 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  13. 113 Unfilled Positions Not in SOAP Emergency Medicine 1 Psychiatry 2 Pediatrics - Preliminary 2 Other 4 Neurology 4 Dermatology 5 Internal Medicine-Preliminary 5 Internal Medicine 5 Pathology 6 Radiology - Diagnostic 6 Transitional Year 6 Radiation Oncology 7 Family Medicine 7 Child Neurology 8 Anesthesiology 16 484 444 Surgery-Preliminary 29 0 10 20 30 40 50 Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  14. Unmatched Seniors, PGY-1 Positions in SOAP More Unmatched Seniors than PGY-1 Positions 2,000 1,500 U.S. Seniors With ROLs Unmatched to PGY-1 Positions 1,093 1,000 973 PGY-1 Positions in SOAP 500 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  15. Unmatched Applicants, PGY-1 Positions in SOAP Nine Unmatched Applicants for Every Unfilled Position 10,000 8,653 8,000 All Applicants With ROLs Unmatched to PGY-1 Positions 6,000 4,000 Unfilled PGY-1 Positions in SOAP 2,000 973 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  16. 13,657 SOAP-Eligible Applicants 7,000 6,000 5,838 5,000 4,000 3,773 3,000 2,000 2,142 1,000 1,058 815 31 0 US Senior US Grad USIMG Osteo IMG Other US Senior US Grad USIMG Osteo IMG Other Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  17. Preferences of Unmatched Seniors and Available SOAP Positions Orthopaedic Surgery 161 General Surgery 106 Obstetrics-Gynecology 105 Internal Medicine 95 Emergency Medicine 79 Pediatrics 69 Otolaryngology 93 Family Medicine 53 Psychiatry 52 Neurological Surgery 51 Preferred Specialty Dermatology 28 Available Positions Anesthesiology 25 Physical Medicine & Rehab 17 Plastic Surgery 17 Internal Medicine (PGY-1 Only) 13 Internal Medicine-Pediatrics 9 Neurology 9 Pathology 9 Surgery-Preliminary (PGY-1 Only) 9 Radiology-Diagnostic 9 Thoracic Surgery 7 Radiation Oncology 6 Transitional Year 5 Vascular Surgery 5 Other 3 Child Neurology 1 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  18. Preferences of All Unmatched Applicants and Available SOAP Positions Internal Medicine 2,551 Family Medicine 1,377 Psychiatry 659 Pediatrics 536 General Surgery 480 Obstetrics-Gynecology 322 Emergency Medicine 253 Orthopaedic Surgery 250 Anesthesiology 201 Pathology 194 Preferred Specialty Neurology 191 Available Positions Surgery-Preliminary (PGY-1 Only) 128 Physical Medicine & Rehab 119 Neurological Surgery 107 Dermatology 106 Internal Medicine (PGY-1 Only) 92 Radiology-Diagnostic 92 Otolaryngology 76 Transitional Year 63 Internal Medicine-Pediatrics 53 Other 39 Plastic Surgery 35 Vascular Surgery 29 Radiation Oncology 24 Thoracic Surgery 23 Child Neurology 23 0 1000 2000 3000 Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  19. SOAP Offers 2012 - 2015 2,500 2,000 1,132 Positions 939 Positions 1,075 Positions 1,193 Positions 92 56 1,500 63 481 613 50 470 388 1,000 1,129 500 1,033 998 878 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 Accepted Rejected Expired Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  20. SOAP Positions Offered & Accepted by Round 1,200 1,112 37 1,306 Unfilled Positions 1,193 Positions in Soap 1,000 366 800 End of Day 1: End of SOAP: 185 positions 64 positions remained remained 600 409 400 15 709 95 110 200 299 4 30 5 16 90 4 26 0 1 2 3 4 5 SOAP Round Accepted Rejected Expired Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  21. SOAP Positions Accepted by Applicant & Position Type 700 2,142 54 600 1,060 applicants accepted 1,129 positions 161 500 400 300 343 1,058 3,773 815 5,838 200 6 4 4 73 1 100 44 35 22 60 53 57 46 21 7 6 3 5 0 US Seniors US Grads USIMGs DOs IMGs None Accepted PGY-1 Only PGY-2 Only Categorical PGY-1 & PGY-2 Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  22. Seniors in SOAP 2012 - 2015 2,500 2,142 2,000 2,076 2,050 1,816 1,500 1,000 653 645 500 623 605 602 606 595 600 609 591 506 337 0 SOAP Eligible Offers Accepted Unique Applicants With No Position Post-SOAP* Offers SOAP 2012 SOAP 2013 SOAP 2014 SOAP 2015 * Previous presentations included only seniors with a certified ROL who did not have any position at the conclusion of SOAP, regardless of whether they participated in SOAP. This presentation includes all SOAP-participating seniors who did not have any position at the conclusion of SOAP. Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  23. Today’s Topics  Main Residency Match Trends  Is the Match Becoming More Competitive?  Changes to Match Week 2016  NRMP National Conference Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

  24. PGY-1 Match Rates by Applicant Type Overall 2015 Match Rate: 75% All In Policy 100% US Seniors 90% 80% Osteopathic Physicians 70% 60% US IMGs 50% IMGs Prior US Grads 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Reproduction prohibited without the written permission of the NRMP.

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