2 degree Asia: our common future AIM Contribution to Paris Jiang - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2 degree Asia: our common future AIM Contribution to Paris Jiang Kejun Energy Research Institute 20 th AIM International Workshop Jan. 23-26, 2015 Tsukuba

Emission allowances in 2030 (change from 2010) 5.6, ASIA 10.7, 19.9, MAF 3.0, 6.2, LAM 3.3, 3.8 . and sectors) in GtCO 2 e in 1990 and 2010 were OECD90 13.4, 14.2, EIT 8.4, percentile, max). Number of studies in brackets. GHG emissions (all gases ppmCO2e, in 2030 relative to 2010 emissions (min, 20th percentile, 80th Figure 2. Emission allowances by allocation category for Cat 1, i.e. 425-475 排放分担， 2030 和 2010 年相比，十个地区 -100% 100% -80% -60% -40% -20% 20% 40% 60% 80% 0% Capability (13) Equality (17) Res cap need (4) NAM Equal cumulative per cap (4) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (13) Equality (17) Res cap need (4) WEU Equal cumulative per cap (4) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (13) Equality (17) Res cap need (4) EIT Equal cumulative per cap (3) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (13) Equality (17) JPAUNZ Res cap need (4) Equal cumulative per cap (3) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (13) Equality (16) Res cap need (4) LAM Equal cumulative per cap (3) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (12) Equality (15) Res cap need (4) SSA Equal cumulative per cap (2) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (13) Equality (15) Res cap need (4) MNA Equal cumulative per cap (0) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (13) Equality (16) Res cap need (4) SAS Equal cumulative per cap (4) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (13) Equality (16) Res cap need (4) EAS Equal cumulative per cap (4) Staged (10) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (22) Capability (11) Equality (14) PAS Res cap need (4) Equal cumulative per cap (3) Staged (8) Cost effectiveness (13) Baseline (16)

Emission allowances in 2050 (change from 2010) LAM 3.3, 3.8 and 2010 were OECD90 13.4, 14.2, EIT 8.4, 5.6, ASIA 10.7, 19.9, MAF 3.0, 6.2, studies in brackets. GHG emissions (all gases and sectors) in GtCO 2 e in 1990 to 2010 emissions (min, 20th percentile, 80th percentile, max). Number of Figure 3. Emission allowances for various concentration levels in 2050 relative 排放分担， 2050 和 2010 年相比，十个地区 -100% 100% -80% -60% -40% -20% 20% 40% 60% 80% 0% Cat 0 (400ppm) (10) Cat 1 (450ppm) (43) NAM Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) Cat 3 (550ppm) (42) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (10) Cat 1 (450ppm) (43) WEU Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) Cat 3 (550ppm) (42) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (10) Cat 1 (450ppm) (42) Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) EIT Cat 3 (550ppm) (42) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (10) JPAUNZ Cat 1 (450ppm) (42) Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) Cat 3 (550ppm) (42) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (8) Cat 1 (450ppm) (41) Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) LAM Cat 3 (550ppm) (40) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (7) Cat 1 (450ppm) (38) Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) SSA Cat 3 (550ppm) (39) Cat 4 (650ppm) (27) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (7) Cat 1 (450ppm) (37) MNA Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) Cat 3 (550ppm) (40) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (10) Cat 1 (450ppm) (42) SAS Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) Cat 3 (550ppm) (42) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (10) Cat 1 (450ppm) (42) EAS Cat 2 (500ppm) (6) Cat 3 (550ppm) (42) Cat 4 (650ppm) (28) Baseline (22) Cat 0 (400ppm) (6) Cat 1 (450ppm) (37) PAS Cat 2 (500ppm) (4) Cat 3 (550ppm) (17) Cat 4 (650ppm) (13) Baseline (17)

LIMIT Project finding 4

2 Degree Asia  Emission pathway consistent with global 2 degree target scenarios by countries  Country specified roadmap for commitment  Financial needs

CO2 Emission 14 12 10 BAU Billion tCO2 8 LC ELC 6 2 度 1 4 2 度 2 2 0 2000 2005 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050