3 rd Asia Automobile Institute Summit 2-4 December 2014, Bangkok Will ASEAN NCAP become a “standard” to develop car in the region and HOW? KHAIRIL ANWAR Researcher Vehicle Safety & Biomechanics Malaysian Institute of Road Safety Research (MIROS)
NC A P W o rld M a p Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n 7 5 2 3 1 6 9 8 General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com 4 # Est. year Countries # Est. year Countries 1 1959 USA 6 1999 South Korea 2 1978 USA 7 2006 China South America 3 1991 Japan 8 2010 4 1992 Australia & New Zealand 9 2011 Southeast Asian countries 2 5 1997 FRA, GER, ITA, ESP, SWE, NED, UK (EU)
UN Decade of Action for Road Safety – May 11 2011 Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n The Decade was approved by the Moscow Ministerial in 2009 and UN General Assembly in 2010. It was launched by a global relay of events on 11 th May. A Plan for the Decade has been prepared based on five pillars: 1. Building Management Capacity 2. Encouraging Safer User Behaviour 3. Building Safer Roads 4. Building Safer Vehicles General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com 5. Improving Post Crash Care Each pillar includes indicative and interim targets to progress towards the Decade’s overall goal which is to ‘stabilize and then reduce the level of road fatalities’. This requires a 50% reduction in the forecast level of fatalities by 2020 which could avoid 5 million deaths, 50 million injuries and save $3 trillion in social costs.
Decade Plan - Influencing Vehicle Design Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n Activity 1 : Encourage Member States to apply and promulgate motor vehicle safety standards as developed by the UN’s World Forum for the Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations (WP 29). Activity 2 : Encourage implementation of new car assessment programs in all world regions to increase the availability of consumer information about the safety performance of motor vehicles. Activity 3 : Encourage agreement to ensure that all new motor vehicles are equipped with seat belts and anchorages that meet regulatory requirements and pass applicable crash test standards (as minimum safety features).. Activity 4 : Encourage global deployment of crash avoidance technologies with proven effectiveness such as Electronic Stability Control and Anti Lock Braking systems in motorcycles. General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com Activity 5 : Encourage use of fiscal and other incentives for motor vehicles that provide high levels of road user protection and discourage export of new and used cars that have reduced safety standards. Activity 6 : Sustain investment in research and development of safety technologies that will improve vehicle safety and reduce risks to vulnerable road users. Activity 7: Encourage managers of governments and private sector fleets to purchase and maintain vehicles that offer advanced safety technologies and high levels of occupant protection.
Sup p o rt fro m Re la te d Pa rtie s Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n Stake Holders Financial Support General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com Technical Support Program Advisory
Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n SOCIO ECONOMIC DISPARITY BETWEEN COUNTRIES SOUTHEAST ASIA – MOTORCYCLE DOMINANT REGION GROWING CARS POPULATION 2011 2.4 Mil. General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com 2018 4.7 Mil. Today: 6 TH BIGGEST 44 CARS per 1,000 GLOBAL MARKET POPULATION
A SEA N Challe allenge nges Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n VULNERABLE ROAD USERS (VRU’s) >> 90% Death in Middle Income Countries (MIC) & 60 % Death in Low Income Countries (LIC) (WHO, 2009) MORE CARS INTO THE SYSTEM General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com Crash Modal Change Compatibility Speed Increase in Road Sharing Conflict Exposure (VKT)
2 Forwards 5 Midfields 3 Defends
The Ro a d Tra ffic Injury Pro b le m Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n Country Index Singapore 5.1 Brunei 6.8 Philippines 9.1 Myanmar 15.0 Cambodia 17.2 Indonesia 17.7 Laos 20.4 General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com Vietnam 24.7 Malaysia 25.0 Thailand 38.1 WHO , Estimated road safety death rate 9 (per 100,000 population) 2010
The Ro a d Tra ffic Injury Pro b le m Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n In order to achieve desirable result in future, priority need to be given based on road user. Distribution of road safety deaths by road user type as follows (2010); Country 4 wheels 2/3 wheels Cyclist Pedestrian Others Indonesia 6.1 35.7 1.7 21.1 35.4 Laos 14.6 74.4 1.3 6.3 3.4 General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com Malaysia 26 58.7 2.8 9.1 3.4 Myanmar 26.2 22.9 8.6 26.5 15.9 Singapore 8.8 46.1 8.3 28.5 8.3 Thailand 13.3 73.5 3.0 7.8 2.5 Cambodia 11.8 66.6 4 12.0 5.7 10
The Ro a d Tra ffic Injury Pro b le m Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n The developing country will require a convenience mobility. Motorcycle will be efficient non safe mobility. Tata has introduced the “0 Star” Tata NANO in Myanmar. In Cambodia, dumping grounds for second hand car from developed countries?. ASEAN NCAP hopes that the imported second hand car will satisfy minimum safety level to reduce mishaps. It will be ASEAN NCAP responsibility to drive manufacturer to provide a safer car to be offered for the region. General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com Safet ety alone will never be adequate, safety ty must be affordable. Safet ety is not for elite people only, safety ty must be for all. 11
The Ro a d Tra ffic Injury Pro b le m Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n Who should we prioritize General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com 12
The Ro a d Tra ffic Injury Pro b le m Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n Our outcome will be most depending on how we control our focus group. There is a need to understand 15-29 years old group socio demographic in ASEAN for better implementation of strategy. General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com We have to minimize their exposure to non safe mobility by providing safe and affordable alternatives. 13
The Ro a d Tra ffic Injury Pro b le m Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n Producing safer and affordable vehicle now is the trends. ASEAN NCAP encourage and challenge manufacturer to produce safer and safer vehicle. Our projection as follows; Year Ye Minim nimum pric price f for 5 r 5-star car car Current < USD 19,000 2014 < USD 13,000 2015 < USD 11,000 2016 < USD 9,000 As a conclusion, producing safer mobility is not rhetoric. Understanding industry situation and consistently negotiate to General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com produce the utmost result is the best way to handle NCAP program in the region. Definitely, producing affordable safer vehicle will be one of the road safety solution, but not the total solution. There is millions o ns on n no non-safe fe vehicle running on ASEAN streets, its unfinished business of vehicle safety fighters. 14
The Ro a d Tra ffic Injury Pro b le m Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n Number of registered vehicle in 2010 Countr try Qu Quanti tity ty Indonesia 72,692,951 Vietnam 33,166,411 Thailand 28,484,829 Malaysia 20,188,565 Philippines 6,634,855 Myanmar 2,326,639 General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com Cambodia 1,652,534 Laos 1,008,788 Singapore 945,829 Brunei 349,279 TOTAL 167,450, 450,680 680 15
M o to rc y c le is im p o rta nt to us Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com
The Ro a d Tra ffic Injury Pro b le m Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n ASEAN Top 3 Vehicle Production Statistics 2013 Wo World Countr try Passen enger er Commer ercial Total To Perc rcentage Ran ankin ing 9 Thailand 1,122,780 1,409,797 2,379,806 2.73% 15 Indonesia 925,111 283,100 1,208,211 1.38% 22 Malaysia 540,200 55,970 596,170 0.68% General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com 17
The Ro a d Tra ffic Injury Pro b le m Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n As a conclusion, ASEAN NCAP has significantly change the vehicle production philosophy by ‘injecting’ safety as a requirement in producing or selling vehicle in this region. The next challenge will be promoting consumer to buy a safer car and creating ‘safer mobility environment’ by removi ving non safe car out of the system. General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com Safer cars will be the catalyst for safer mobility environment. 18
Stra te g ic A p p ro a c he s Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n For ASEAN NCAP to achieve its target, several strategic approaches has been addressed for an immediate execution; Reliable database of road fatalities and accidents (i.e. MIROS & TARC) Effective communications towards consumer and stakeholders. Proposing a new setup of Communications Committee as a effective platform to disseminate information to consumer (public). Encouragement of crash avoidance technology fitment especially related to motorcyclist. Supporting motorcyclist PPE and active safety devices i.e. ABS for Motorcycle. General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com Promoting safer cars. Removal of non safer cars from the system Highlights on the used car issue and after repair crashworthy and roadworthy. Improving safety beyond rating (Research Test i.e. braking and pedestrian). 19
Ra ting Pla te Safe r Car s fo r ASE AN Re gio n Phase 1 & 2 Phase 3 General inquiries: aseancap@gmail.com 20
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