Westchester County Existing Conditions and Outlook Mass Transit - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Westchester County Existing Conditions and Outlook Mass Transit Task Force February 22, 2013 Westchester P L A N N I N G

Development patterns Population and housing Employment characteristics Commute patterns Land use trends Transit – now and future

Regional location

Topography

Historic development pattern 1920 1850 1950 1974

2010 Population density

The building blocks of Westchester

Westchester’s 54 downtowns

Major roads, JEFFERSON corridors and VALLEY PEEKSKILL Metro-North YORKTOWN HEIGHTS rail lines MT. KISCO OSSINING (VILLAGE) TARRYTOWN WHITE PLAINS RYE YONKERS BRONXVILLE MT. VERNON NEW ROCHELLE

Open space and low density development Open Space Waterbodies Low Density

High and urban center density Open Space Waterbodies Low Density Middle Density High Density Urban Center Density

Westchester’s population 1950-2010 1,000,000 900,000 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 YEAR: COUNTY POPULATION: 625,816 808,891 894,104 866,599 874,866 923,459 949,113 CHANGE FROM 9% 29% 11% -3% 1% 6% 3% PREVIOUS DECADE: Source: Decennial Census 1950-2010

Westchester projected population 2010-2040 1,150,000 1,100,000 1,050,000 1,000,000 950,000 900,000 850,000 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 YEAR: COUNTY POPULATION: 949,100 970,900 990,400 1,020,300 1,055,100 1,091,100 1,133,700 CHANGE FROM 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% PREVIOUS DECADE: Source: NYMTC, January 2013

Changes in Westchester age groups Change in 10-year age cohorts from 2000 to 2010 Increase 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 -10,000 -20,000 -30,000 -40,000 0 to 9 10 to 19 20 to 29 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 59 60 to 69 70+ Decrease  After a boom in the child population in the 1990s, there’s been a decrease in children under 10 years in the past decade.  The “baby boomers” are now entering their 50s and 60s. The number of residents in their 30s has greatly decreased. Source: Decennial Census 2000-2010

Westchester continues to become more diverse 1970 2010 800,000 800,000 700,000 700,000 600,000 600,000 500,000 500,000 400,000 400,000 300,000 300,000 200,000 200,000 100,000 100,000 0 0 White Black Asian Hispanic White Black Asian Hispanic The non-Hispanic White population decreased by 30% between 1970 and 2010, while the Black, Asian and Hispanic populations all increased significantly. 23,359 county residents identified as Hispanic or Latino in the 1970 Census. By 2010, this number grew to 207,032. Source: Decennial Census 1970-2010

Westchester’s housing units 1950-2010 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 YEAR: HOUSING UNITS: 187,257 254,766 291,550 316,658 336,727 349,445 370,821 CHANGE FROM 16% 36% 14% 9% 6% 4% 6% PREVIOUS DECADE: Source: Decennial Census 1950-2010

Housing tenure in Westchester Owner-Occupied Housing Units Total housing units increased by 64,603 220,000 (22%) between 1970 and 2010 200,000 180,000 Owner-occupied units increased by 68, 007 160,000 (47%) while renter-occupied units 140,000 decreased by 3,404 (2%) 120,000 100,000 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Renter-Occupied Housing Units 150,000 Many older rental units were converted to co-op and condo 140,000 ownership in the 1980s. 130,000 120,000 110,000 100,000 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Source: Decennial Census 1970-2010

Westchester’s payroll employment 1975-2010 450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 YEAR: EMPLOYED 261,064 344,430 384,763 398,573 370,953 405,439 410,833 398,919 PERSONS: 32% 12% 4% -7% 9% 1% -3% CHANGE: N/A Source: NYS Department of Labor

Change in number of jobs by industry 2000 to 2010 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 -2,000 -4,000 -6,000 -8,000 -10,000 Accommodation & Health care and Educational Professional, Wholesale trade Manufacturing Construction food services social assistance services scientific & technical services +12% +7% +20% +13% -31% -34% -19% Westchester, like much of the country, has seen a decline in traditional industries such as manufacturing, but growth in service jobs, healthcare, education and the tech industry . Source: Census County Business Patterns, 2000 and 2010

Westchester projected payroll employment 2010-2040 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 YEAR: EMPLOYED 414,500 440,200 462,600 489,700 511,800 533,600 560,200 PERSONS: 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 5% CHANGE: N/A Source: NYMTC, January 2013

Westchester projected total employment 2010-2040 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 YEAR: EMPLOYED PERSONS 555,699 594,642 628,795 664,362 693,429 721,566 754,562 CHANGE FROM 7% 6% 6% 4% 4% 5% N/A PREVIOUS DECADE: Source: NYMTC, January 2013

Westchester County out-commutation patterns 1990 2010 2010 data excludes self-employed workers and may reflect the downturn in the economy from 2007. Source: US Census Bureau 1990, LEHD On-the Map 2010

Westchester County in-commutation patterns 1990 2010 2010 data excludes self-employed workers and may reflect the downturn in the economy from 2007. Source: US Census Bureau 1990, LEHD On-the Map 2010

Linking land use and transportation Based on Westchester 2025 – Policies Patterns for Westchester: & to Guide County Planning The Land and the People Adopted by the Adopted by the Westchester County Planning Board Westchester County Planning Board May 6, 2008 December 1995 Amended January 5, 2010

The Regional Plan of 1932

The vision then

Built and not built Interstates Parkways Major road not built Rail Rail not built

Regional growth centers and corridors Map of I-287

I-287 Corridor in Westchester Crosses through 8 municipalities: Village of Tarrytown Town of Greenburgh Village of Elmsford City of White Plains Town/Village of Harrison Village of Rye Brook City of Rye Village of Port Chester

I-287 CORRIDOR: Transportation Overview

I-287 development nodes outside of downtowns Harrison Rye Brook Harrison Tarrytown Greenburgh White Plains Port Chester

The development of the Platinum Mile – 1960

The development of the Platinum Mile – 2004 1995

The development of the Platinum Mile – Traffic growth 115,776 100,570 86,300 48,790 1979 1989 2000 2010 Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) I-287 between I-684 and Hutchinson River Parkway

Adapting underutilized office parks  2008 study of underused office park land  Already zoned for high density development  Good existing infrastructure  Extensive parking areas that unused many hours per day

Work. Live. Play.

Key location will continue to be downtown White Plains

Downtown development can be seen in 500 ft. Westchester’s evolving skyline 400 ft. 300 ft. 200 ft. 100 ft. Playland Music Avalon Ridge Hill Village Kensico Dam Bank Street Commons County Courthouse Palisades Point Tower City of White Plains City of Yonkers Town of Mt. Pleasant City of White Plains City of White Plains City of Yonkers 165 feet 165 feet 168 feet 247 feet 265 feet 300 feet City of Rye Completed 2008 In Construction Completed 1917 Completed 2003 Completed 1973 Approved 110 feet Completed 1927 500 ft. 400 ft. 300 ft. 200 ft. 100 ft. City Center Trump Plaza Avalon II Renaissance Square Lecount Square River Park Center City of White Plains City of New Rochelle City of New Rochelle City of White Plains City of New Rochelle City of Yonkers 355 feet 390 feet 390 feet 457 feet 493 feet 542 feet Completed 2001 Completed 2006 Completed 2007 Completed 2007 Approved Approved

The Challenge – Connectivity

Westchester County’s Bee-Line Bus System  2 nd largest bus system in New York State, after MTA NYC Transit  329 buses – 30, 40 and 60 foot plus commuter coaches  60-plus bus routes – local and express, railroad feeders, shuttles to corporate parks, seasonal routes, commuter express to Manhattan  110,000 average weekday riders  31.5 million annual riders in 2011  32 million annual riders in 2012  3,000 bus stops

Westchester Bee-Line Bus routes run throughout the I-287 corridor

10 Express bus routes that use limited access highways today: 1X – Riverdale/Downtown Yonkers to Grasslands via Sprain 3 – Riverdale/Downtown Yonkers to White Plains/Platinum Mile via Sprain and 287 17 – Peekskill/Cortlandt to White Plains via 9A and 287 43 – Wakefield/Mount Vernon to Grasslands via Cross County and Sprain 62 – Fordham/Pelham Manor/New Rochelle to Platinum Mile/White Plains via 95 and 287 77 – Carmel/ Yorktown Heights to White Plains via Taconic, Sprain and 287 TZX – Rockland to Tarrytown and White Plains via 287 OWL – Orange/Rockland to Grasslands, White Plains and Platinum Mile via 287 Lepprechaun Connection – Western Dutchess County to White Plains/Platinum Mile via 9A and 287 I-Bus – Stamford to Platinum Mile/White Plains via 287