Welcome to IIASA Nebojsa Nakicenovic Deputy Director General and Deputy CEO International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Professor Emeritus of Energy Economics Vienna University of Technology iTEM, Fourth International Transport Energy Modeling Workshop, IIASA – 30 October 2018
A GLOBAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE Established as a scientific bridge between East and West After Cold War ended focused on multiple dimensions of global change Now embarked on the new research strategy for the next decade Nakicenovic 2018 #2
Glassboro Summit and Signing of IIASA Charter in Royal Society Howard Raiffa YSSP Talk in 1992 The IIASA charter was signed in London in October 1972, but the history goes back six years earlier. In 1966 American president Lyndon Johnson gave a rather remarkable speech — in the middle of the Cold War — in which he said it was time that the scientists of the United States and the Soviet Union worked together on problems other than military and space matters, on problems that plague all advanced societies, like energy, our oceans, the environment, health. And he called for a liaison between the scientists of East and West. Nakicenovic 2018 #3
IIASA PROGRAMS Nakicenovic 2018 #4
YOUNG SCIENTISTS SUMMER PROGRAM Nakicenovic 2018 #5
Stockton – Darlington Steam Railway Nakicenovic 2018 #6
Built 1845 for the Royal Family
Incremental & Disruptive Technologies transformational We seek technologies Steam-powered that lead to Cugnot (1769) fundamentally new learning curves cost Benz Motorwagen (1885) performance existing technology Ford Model T disruptive (1914) time Nakicenovic 2018 #8 Source: Steve Chu, 2013
Transformational Change 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Nakicenovic 2018 #9 Source: After Granger Morgan, 2013
Progress Eagle Nakicenovic 2018 #10
Six Major Transformations (TWI2050.org) Human capacity Digital & demography revolution Education, health, ageing, Artificial intelligence, labor markets, gender, big data, biotech, inequalities nanotech, autonomous systems SDGs: Prosperity Consumption Smart cities Social Inclusion & production Decent housing, Sustainability mobility, Resource use, sustainable circular economy, infrastructure, sufficiency, pollution pollution Food, biosphere Decarbonization & water & energy Sustainable intensification, Energy access, biodiversity, forests, efficiency, oceans, healthy diets, electrification, nutrients decent services Nakicenovic 2018 #11
Technology Diffusion Compared digital revolution Source: Nokia Bell Labs, 2017
THANK YOU naki@iiasa.ac.at
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