NEXT STEPS: Increase the advertising budget. Develop a communications plan to more effectively promote the district. Identify the reasons students do not attend and address those concerns strategically. Work with City officials to improve the image of the District. Work with City officials to increase the school-aged population.
TASKS 1. Facilitator lists and leads a dialogue identifying S.W.O.T. using the poster. 2.Identify one S , one W , one O , and one T and analyze it using the Force Field analytical tool. 3. Share out.
MOVE BACK TO YOUR COLOR TABLE GROUPS
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE PLAN (C.A.P.) Strategic Planning Meeting February 27, 2016 9:00 – 9:30 Intro/C.A.P. Process Update 9:30 – 11:45 S.W.O.T. Analysis & Share Session 11:45 – 12:00 BREAK 12:00 – 12:45 Explore Demographic Study Results 12:45 – 1:30 Analyze Technology Study Results 1:30 – 2:00 Wrap Up/Next Steps
Davis Demographic Study Highlights
Methodology and Deliverables • Collect data relevant to districts current and future student population – Students data, area birth data, etc. • Create short to mid-term student population forecast – District wide, attendance areas and study area • Analyze and report on findings – Detailed report of methodology and findings • Student transfer analysis – Where students reside vs. where they attend school • Student Capture Rate Analysis – Percentage of school age population attending a D.U.S.D. school • Data available for queries from district staff – Create requested reports and analysis
Geographical Information System (GIS) DATA
Forecast Factors – Correlation Between Births and Kindergarten Class Size
Forecast Factors - Mobility Measures the migration of students in and out of the district. Including move-ins, move-outs, new students from infill housing, drop outs, private school movement, etc… Areas with a mobility above 1.000 are experiencing a positive migration pattern
Forecast Factors - Mobility Based upon actual student residence rather than current school of enrollment.
Projection Calculations • Calculated for each of the district’s Study Areas – Ability to plan at a neighborhood level • Based upon student data October 2015/16 and historical student data from 2012/13 – 2014/15 • Based upon actual student residence rather than current school of enrollment. • Graduate 12th grade; Move up other grades • Based upon two (2) factors that affect student population – Incoming kindergarten class (partially determined from recent birth data by zip code) – Mobility - Measures the migration of students in and out of the district. Including move ins, move outs, new students from infill housing, drop outs, private school movement, etc
Projection Calculations
Student Accounting Resident based Projections: • Only grade K-12 students living within the D.U.S.D. boundaries • Excludes special education students requiring a specific facility • Excludes students residing outside of the D.U.S.D. boundaries • Excludes TK and students unable to be geocoded District Summary: • Grade TK-12 resident students • Special education students added in proportion of resident growth • Out of district students added in proportion of resident growth Attendance and Study Area Summaries: • Only grade TK-12 students living within the D.U.S.D. boundaries
District-wide Projection Chart
Duarte USD Student Transfer Study Students attending ADES Students residing in ADES Students attending and reside in ADES
Student Capture Rate Analysis Comparing Estimated City School Age Population to Resident D.U.S.D. Students Attendance Area Age 5-17 Currently % of Potential Enrolled Population Students Andres Duarte 984 777 79% 207 Beardslee 656 580 85% 76 Maxwell 878 735 84% 143 Royal Oaks 1,119 571 51% 548 Valley View 938 574 61% 364 DUSD 4,575 3,237 71% 1,338 1- Estimated school age population is from ESRI Business Analyst Online The estimated school age population is based on residence regardless of where they attend school 2 – Enrolled in D.U.S.D. excludes students residing outside of the district boundaries Only the portion of South Monrovia Island within the D.U.S.D. boundaries is included in the study
Reviewing Student Capture Rate Data Census Block Groups and Attendance Areas
Reviewing Student Capture Rate Data Census Block Groups and Attendance Areas
Reviewing Student Capture Rate Data Census Block Groups and Cities
Reviewing Student Capture Rate Data Census Block Groups and District
Reviewing Student Capture Rate Data Census Block Groups and District
Student Capture Rate Analysis Comparing Estimated City School Age Population to Resident D.U.S.D. Students 1- Estimated school age population is from ESRI Business Analyst Online The estimated school age population is based on residence regardless of where they attend school 2 – Enrolled in D.U.S.D. excludes students residing outside of the district boundaries Only the portion of South Monrovia Island within the D.U.S.D. boundaries is included in the study
Student Capture Rate Analysis Comparing Estimated City School Age Population to Resident D.U.S.D. Students Only the portion of South Monrovia Island within the D.U.S.D. boundaries is included in the study
Student Capture Rate Analysis Comparing Total D.U.S.D. Enrollment and 71% Capture Rate to Area Districts 1 - Estimated school age population is from ESRI Business Analyst Online The estimated school age population is based on residence regardless of where they attend school 2 - The estimated enrollment is based on enrolled students regardless of where they reside
Student Capture Rate Analysis Comparing Total D.U.S.D. Enrollment and Capture Rate to Area Districts The estimated enrollment is based on enrolled students regardless of where they reside
Changing D.U.S.D. Demographics Based on the total population residing within the D.U.S.D. boundaries All demographic data was collected from ESRI’s Business Analyst Online
OurrCommunity Why Now? Race & Ethnicity Boundary DUSD White Alone 55.1% 8.7% Black Alone 12.2% 5.2% Asian Alone 13.5% 3.2% Some other race Alone 13.1% 4.9% Two or More Races 5.4% 1.9% Hispanic Origins (all races) 32.4% 76%
Elementary Student Capture Rate by Elementary Attendance Area Attendance K-6 Age Students Percentage of Area Attending DUSD Enrollment A.D. 396 57% Beardslee 286 79% Maxwell 382 75% Royal Oaks 295 87% Valley View 317 70%
Student Capture Rate by Geographic Area Geographic Area Age 5-17 Currently % of Potential Enrolled Population Students City of Duarte 3,334 2,390 71.7% 944 City of Bradbury 117 22 18.8% 95 South Monrovia 877 790 90.1% 87 Island Area Totals 4,328 3,202 73.9% 1,126
Student Achievement & Student Capture Rate by Geographic Area SMARTER BALANCE ASSESSMENT CONSORTIUM RESULTS 2014-15 MATH SBAC ENGLISH SBAC DISTRICT CAPTURE HIGH SCHOOL RATE # Tested % > # Tested % > Proficient Proficient Arcadia 109% Arcadia H.S. 799 72 793 80 Azusa 71.8% Azusa H.S. 295 20 295 46 Azusa 71.8% Gladstone H.S. 259 13 260 46 Duarte 73.9% Duarte H.S. 211 16 211 52 Glendora 123.5% Glendora H.S. 525 52 524 80 Monrovia 82.4% Monrovia H.S. 348 37 353 71
Graduation/A-G & Student Capture Rate GRADUATION RATE A – G REQUIREMENTS PERCENTAGE MET PERCENTAGE DISTRICT CAPTURE HIGH RATE SCHOOL GIRLS % BOYS % GIRLS % BOYS % Arcadia 109% Arcadia 99.4 99.0 74.2 62.5 Azusa 71.8% Azusa 96.2 88.2 24.8 19.5 Azusa 71.8% Gladstone 94.6 91.3 49.0 31.1 Duarte 73.9% Duarte 97.2 93.6 51.5 27.6 Glendora 123.5% Glendora 99.3 99.3 60.6 42.7 Monrovia 82.4% Monrovia 96.3 93.2 40.6 38.8
Observations • All factors point to continued declining resident student population – ~ 150 TK-12 student decline in 7 years • Between 2010 and 2014 area births have fluctuated – Compared to 2010 subsequent births have been -14% to +6% • Mobility is mixed throughout the district 6 th and 7 th grades show decline in 4 of the 5 attendance areas – D.U.S.D. is experiencing out migration of students between 9 th and 12 th grades – • Families are taking advantage of the D.U.S.D. open enrollment policies – Only 57% of students residing in AD attend AD – 45% of student enrolled in Royal Oaks ES reside in a different attendance area • D.U.S.D. is capturing 74% of the school age population residing in the D.U.S.D. boundaries and 71% percent of the school age population in the City of Duarte – D.U.S.D. has one of the lowest capture rate captured compared to other area districts • Area demographics are changing – The overall population within the D.U.S.D. area is aging – Asian population is increasing
• In many ways DUSD is a model urban district (i.e. Graduation rate, School Awards, Grant Awards, College admissions, etc ….) • Numerous California Distinguished School awards. • DHS was Newsweek Top Public High School as recently as 2006-7. • Between 2007-2015 students have been admitted to many top level universities, including top CA universities such as USC, UC Berkeley, UCLA, and Stanford.
• Graduation rate of 97.4% • Above L.A. County (78%) average and Orange County (88%) average. • Students can earn 30 credits in the Early College Program w/Citrus College.
• National Health Initiative Grant • A Science Education Partnership Grant (SEPA) with City of Hope - students grades’ K -12 work alongside world-class scientists in the City of Hope’s Community Teaching Laboratory. • T.E.A.C.H. Project (Train, Educate, and Accelerate Careers in Healthcare) with City of Hope - earn an Associate in Information in Technology degree.
• Measure E (2010) allowing us to build 21st century learning environments. • Maxwell Elementary School is one of two K- 6 International Baccalaureate programs. • Music Matter initiative has put instruments in the hands of half of our elementary-age students thanks to the generosity of the Duarte Education Foundation and other foundations such as Mr. Holland’s Opus Foundation and VH1.
• A 1:1 HP Notebook initiative. Students keep them until graduation to be used both at school and home. • All laptops come with Windows 7, Office 13, Microsoft OneDrive storage, HP Classroom Manager, and Absolute Computrace for data and device security.
Yet, despite our success, as recently as 11 years ago, 4,692 students attended Duarte schools (compared with 3,476 today).
Duarte High’s enrollment has declined from 1,245 (2007-8 - when last accredited) to 930.
Northview Intermediate School’s enrollment has declined from 685 (during that same period) to 520.
Between 2007-2014, the % of DHS students meeting college admission requirements dropped from 43.4% to 39.4%, well below current County (47.5%) and State (46.9%) averages
• While 51.5% of female graduates met college entrance requirements and exceeded County (47.5%) and State (46.9%) averages, only 27.6% of boys met those same requirements.
• During that same period Monrovia HS increased their % of graduates meeting college admission requirement by 23%. • During that same period Glendora HS increased their % of graduates meeting college admission requirement by 19%.
Approximately 1/3 of the District’s revenue (12 million) has been lost due to declining enrollment, although the new LCFF has provided additional funding for educational programs.
COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE PLAN (C.A.P.) Strategic Planning Meeting February 27, 2016 9:00 – 9:30 Intro/C.A.P. Process Update 9:30 – 11:45 S.W.O.T. Analysis & Share Session 11:45 – 12:00 BREAK 12:00 – 12:45 Explore Demographic Study Results 12:45 – 1:30 Analyze Technology Study Results 1:30 – 2:00 Wrap Up/Next Steps
Making DUSD a Model High Technology District A Blueprint for Success Michael Morrison and Jon Corippo Computer-Using Educators Group (C.U.E.)
CUE is here to spark the fire within DUSD
“Duarte is poised and situated to become a leader in educational technology. CUE is proud to be a partner in the planning process.” Jon Corippo
Strengths Every Weakness is an Opportunities Opportunity Weaknesses to Propel for Success &Threats Success
Strengths 1:1 has enabled all staff to participate in this project. Teachers are open to utilize the technology more effectively in their classroom. Weaknesses Opportunity Quick 1. Not enough 1. Purchase some extra Wins computers in classes machines for situation when things go when students machines wrong. are unavailable so 2. Teachers can’t install instruction can continue. applications. 2. Allow teachers to install 3. 1:1 Deployment in applications know that if lower grades is not a virus attacks their complete machine will be wiped. 4. Filter is seen as 3. Finalize lower grade 1:1 restrictive deployment 4. Consider options for opening up the filter
Strengths 1:1 has enabled all staff to participate in this project. Teachers are open to utilize the technology more effectively in their classroom. Standardize Weakness Opportunity No consistency developed Standardize on Google Apps core for what software tools will For Education, create a list of applications be used to accomplish the standard software and a that support state standards of skills continuum that mixes instruction. collaboration, well with grade level and presentations and subject areas. Create a research. Office 365 was standard portal that gives tried without tremendous single sign on to all the apps results. in the district. An effective training plan should be developed that will propel teachers to use these applications.
Tech Support
Strengths Overall tech support is solid and the network is stable. Weaknesses Opportunity Tech 4 Schools reported Create established hours Support speed issues at sites. Check in with IT staff involved in sites monthly to see if receiving support speed has improved. If speed issues continue consider hiring more tech support staff. Consider adding additional staffing for receiving
Strengths IT and Instruction are already working together and meeting weekly to collaborate. Weaknesses Opportunity Educational technology Create a CTO position with leadership is lacking at someone that has a Technology the highest levels. There background in educational Leadership is also a need for more technology that can oversee cohesive leadership and plan the larger initiatives. teams at schools and the Create a pilot team at the district level. continuation school to test certain software/hardware. Create a dotted line from the “Lab Aides” to the technology department and develop that team. Develop the Coaches technology leadership skills as well as additional people that can assist with moving the district forward.
Strengths Current Wireless, Network and user device infrastructure is extremely strong. IT Department has done a great job making sure Duarte receives its full share of eRate Funds. Infrastructure Weaknesses Opportunity eRate Funds are projected to be Budget for future much lower for Duarte because they reductions in Federal have eliminated phones and the funds available for Duarte. Switches and eRate funding by Access points will need a regular schedule of replacement and increasing Technology upgrades. Tech department overall Budget for Infrastructure. budget has continued to be reduced. Some of the currently deployed Consider lower cost equipment will need to be replaced in the 2-3 years. Lack of proper budget computers for replace and planning in this area could lead to like chromebooks. a decline in the ability to maintain a 1:1 program. Student computers may have a 2-4 year life span and a replacement plan is not currently in place. Too many student machines are in the shop on a weekly basis.
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