Value in uncertain times Dr. Markus Coenen, Leiter Konzern Finanzen Jens-Philipp Briemle, Manager Investor Relations (as of November 2013) RWE non-deal roadshow - Düsseldorf, 15.11.2013
Forward Looking Statement This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the US federal securities laws. Especially all of the following statements: > Projections of revenues, income, earnings per share, capital expenditures, dividends, capital structure or other financial items; > Statements of plans or objectives for future operations or of future competitive position; > Expectations of future economic performance; and > Statements of assumptions underlying several of the foregoing types of statements are forward- looking statements. Also words such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “estimate”, “intend”, “may”, “will”, “expect”, “plan”, “project” “should” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward -looking statements. The forward-looking statements reflect the judgement of RWE‟s management based on factors currently known to it. No assurances can be given that these forward -looking statements will prove accurate and correct, or that anticipated, projected future results will be achieved. All forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, changes in general economic and social environment, business, political and legal conditions, fluctuating currency exchange rates and interest rates, price and sales risks associated with a market environment in the throes of deregulation and subject to intense competition, changes in the price and availability of raw materials, risks associated with energy trading (e.g. risks of loss in the case of unexpected, extreme market price fluctuations and credit risks resulting in the event that trading partners do not meet their contractual obligations), actions by competitors, application of new or changed accounting standards or other government agency regulations, changes in, or the failure to comply with, laws or regulations, particularly those affecting the environment and water quality (e.g. introduction of a price regulation system for the use of power grid, creating a regulation agency for electricity and gas or introduction of trading in greenhouse gas emissions), changing governmental policies and regulatory actions with respect to the acquisition, disposal, depreciation and amortisation of assets and facilities, operation and construction of plant facilities, production disruption or interruption due to accidents or other unforeseen events, delays in the construction of facilities, the inability to obtain or to obtain on acceptable terms necessary regulatory approvals regarding future transactions, the inability to integrate successfully new companies within the RWE Group to realise synergies from such integration and finally potential liability for remedial actions under existing or future environmental regulations and potential liability resulting from pending or future litigation. Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which it is made. RWE neither intends to nor assumes any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. For additional information regarding risks, investors are referred to RWE‟s latest annual report and to other most recent reports filed with Frankfurt Stock Exchange and to all additional information published on RWE's Internet Web site. RWE non-deal roadshow - Düsseldorf, 15.11.2013 1
RWE – an attractive value proposition Stable financials Attractive portfolio > Leading market position and > Progress in strengthening balance regionally focused strategy sheet > Pure utility play – exit of upstream > Streamlined and disciplined activities investment approach > Balanced asset portfolio > Cash flows from operating activities to cover investments and dividends > Highly cost-efficient and modernised by 2015 power plant portfolio by 2013/14 > Further efficiency enhancements > CO 2 neutral position and operational excellence > Successful structural changes to all long-term gas supply contracts Earnings outlook for 2013 confirmed: EBITDA c. € 9 bn; operating result c. € 5.9 bn; recurrent net income c. € 2.4 bn RWE non-deal roadshow - Düsseldorf, 15.11.2013 2
Milestones of 2013 Financial performance in the first month in line with expectations (vs. 9m 2012): EBITDA -0.1%, operating result +0.4%, recurrent net income +1.2% Strategic decision to evaluate potential exit options for our Upstream Gas & Oil activities. Sales process on track Disposal of assets with a total value of € 0.5 bn and divestment of NET4GAS with a total value of € 1.6 bn closed on 2 August Successful conclusion of gas price arbitration with Gazprom; award as expected; impact on operating result approx. € 1 billion Rating downgrade by Moody‟s from A3/negative outlook to Baa1 with stable outlook; S&P‟s confirmed BBB+/stable outlook Earnings outlook for 2013 confirmed; proposal for 2013 dividend: € 1/share 1 1 Executive and Supervisory Boards intend to propose to the AGM on 16 April 2014 a dividend of € 1 per common and preference share RWE non-deal roadshow - Düsseldorf, 15.11.2013 3
Earnings in conventional power generation are coming under severe pressure Operating result in € bn 6.4 Conventional generation 3.3 > Lower outright power prices > Full auctioning of CO 2 certificates > Pressure on spreads and load factors Other businesses > Expanding renewables > Growing upstream business 3.1 > Stable to slightly growing distribution & retail earnings > Normalisation of earnings profile for Trading/Gas Midstream division … 2012 RWE non-deal roadshow - Düsseldorf, 15.11.2013 4
RWE Generation assets under review Profitability of RWE’s conven- First responses tional generation portfolio 1 > Capacity measures OR 2 > > decommissioning c. > 50% – 60% WACC > long-term or summer mothballing > termination of contracted hard coal units > in total: 4,265 MW > Capacity under intense review c. > 60% – 70% OR > 0 > Westfalen C (hard coal, 255 MW) > Frimmersdorf P&Q (lignite, 287 MW/285 MW) > Goldenbergwerk J (lignite, 70 MW) > Reviewing another 1,450 MW of contracted hard coal plants c. > 70% – 80% FCF 2 > 0 > Continuing operation with regular review dates 1 Rough profitability analysis for 2013 to 2015 in % of installed capacity of RWE‟s conventional generation portfolio (economic stake) in Germany, UK and NL (average c. 44 GW) based on market parameters as of January 2013 2 OR = operating result; WACC = weighted average cost of capital pre tax; FCF = free cash flow = revenue – cash costs RWE non-deal roadshow - Düsseldorf, 15.11.2013 5
Decision on capacity measures Measure Plant MW 1 Fuel Location Date Q1-2016 Decom- Amer 8 610 Hard coal NL missioning Long-term Moerdijk 2 430 Gas NL Q4-2013 mothballing Gas – steam turbine Q3-2013 Gersteinwerk F 355 DE Gas – steam turbine Gersteinwerk G 355 DE Q2-2014 Topping gas turbine 2 Q3-2013 Weisweiler H 270 DE Topping gas turbine 2 Q3-2013 Weisweiler G 270 DE 2 mid-size units 85 Gas NL Q1-2013 Gas – steam turbine Summer Emsland B 360 DE Q2-2014 mothballing Gas – steam turbine Emsland C 360 DE Q2-2014 Q4-2013 – Termination Confidential 1,170 Hard coal DE of 3 contracts Q4-2014 Total 4,265 MW 1 Net nominal capacity | 2 At a lignite plant RWE non-deal roadshow - Düsseldorf, 15.11.2013 6
Pressure on leverage ratios but financial markets currently allow for higher gearing > Leverage ratio 2014: declining earnings trend overlays efforts to reduce debt > Continued pressure on earnings and cash flows induced from falling commodity prices 3.5 > Prime objective is to maintain excellent access to capital markets > Aspiration to bring leverage 3.0 factor in line with 3.0x target remains > Leverage starting to ease from 2.5 2015 onwards due to positive cash balance 2.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 *no positive effects from disposals assumed RWE non-deal roadshow - Düsseldorf, 15.11.2013 7
Short-term focus remains on positive cash balance Cash flows from operating activities to cover investments and dividends by 2015 € bn 9.3 8.8 7.1 5.5 5.5 4.4 ≤ 2010 2011 2012 2013e 2014e 2015e Capex in property, plant & equipment and financial assets (according to cash flow statement) Dividends (incl. minority payments; year of payment) Cash flows from operating activities RWE non-deal roadshow - Düsseldorf, 15.11.2013 8
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