Tools Tirusew Asefa, Ph.D., P.E. June 24, 2013 Orlando, FL OROP: - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Use of Climate Information in Tampa Bay Water Decision Support Tools Tirusew Asefa, Ph.D., P.E. June 24, 2013 Orlando, FL

OROP: Optimized Regional Operational Plan (weekly scale, four weeks outlook) Supply Models (Ensemble ANN ) Demand Models (ARX) Operating priorities & constraints

Tampa Bay Water Models: Seasonal Outlook Contingency Table 2000 5/95 25/75 Morris Bridge (mgd) 1500 50 Climate Outlook 1000 500 & 0 06/13 07/13 08/13 09/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 01/14 02/14 03/14 04/14 05/14 Hidden Markov Observation 2500 Rainfall Model 5/95 2000 25/75 50 Alafia (mgd) 1500 1000 500 0 06/13 07/13 08/13 09/13 10/13 11/13 12/13 01/14 02/14 03/14 04/14 05/14 Rainfall/Runoff Model

Case Study