Presentation to Clare Public Participation Network (PPN) Key Social, Demographic and Economic Trends In County Clare Presentation Oct 2 nd. 2017 Michael Neylon
County Clare Long-term Population Dynamics 1981 – 2016
Share of County Population 2016 Population Change 1981 - 2016 70% 64% 60% 50% 40% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -19% -18% Urban Growth Rural Growth Urban Decline Rural Decline
% Population <20 yrs % Population 60+ yrs 35% 31% 29% 30% 27% 25% 24% 23% 25% 18% 20% 16% 15% 10% 5% 0% Urban Growth Rural Growth Urban Decline Rural Decline
% Jobs in Agric/Forestry/Fishing Jobs % Jobs in Manufacturing % Jobs in Private Prof. Services (ICT/Finance/Eng/Arch) 50% 43% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 22% 21% 20% 15% 14% 14% 15% 10% 10% 7% 6% 6% 4% 4% 5% 0% Urban Growth Rural Growth Urban Decline Rural Decline
Concentration of Agricultural Jobs per ED
Clare Concentration of Woodland and Forestry
Clare SPAs, SACs and Scenic Routes
% Households post-1981 % Households one-person 70% 62% 58% 60% 50% 40% 38% 40% 35% 28% 30% 24% 22% 20% 10% 0% Urban Growth Rural Growth Urban Decline Rural Decline
% in Managerial/Technical Class % in Semi-Skilled/Unskilled Class % in Others/Unknown Class 39% 40% 34% 31% 30% 28% 25% 23% 20% 18% 18% 17% 16% 14% 14% 10% 0% Urban Growth Rural Growth Urban Decline Rural Decline
% of Males in Labourforce % of Females in Labourforce 80% 70% 68% 68% 70% 65% 57% 60% 53% 49% 47% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Urban Growth Rural Growth Urban Decline Rural Decline
Clare % Households per ED With Internet Connection 2011
Male Unemployment Female Unemployment Lone parents 35% 30% 30% 26% 25% 23% 21% 20% 20% 20% 18% 16% 15% 13% 12% 12% 11% 10% 5% 0% Urban Growth Rural Growth Urban Decline Rural Decline
National Growth in Earnings 1990- 2014 % Change in Annual Earnings (Current Prices) on 1990 Base Year 250% Manual Const 200% Skilled 150% Constr 100% CPI (Base 1990) 50% Agriculture 0% -50% 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
National Sectoral Earnings 2014 € 55K € 32K € 26K € 17K
‘Rural - Type’ Deprivation Scores 2002 30 Year Population Change 1981-2002
Clare PPN Presentation - Summary • Rural Population Decline has different dynamics to Urban Population Decline – Rural Dependency on Agriculture/Marine-use – Concentration of isolated One-person Households – Environmental custodial responsibilities – Lower incomes (Agriculture, Hospitality, Retailing, Care) – Different potential for growth – Rural Deprivation is good predictor of Rural population decline
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