TIER 1 STUDY/SUBAREA PLAN I-70 REAP Meeting March 12, 2020
Tier 1
Comprehensive Plan Strategy • Strategy GM 1.2(b) - Prepare Subarea Plans Edit Master text styles Within the Urban Area, the County will determine areas Second level that may need detailed land use planning and prepare Third level Fourth level Sub-area Plans when necessary. Such Subarea Plans will Fifth level be adopted as elements of the Comprehensive Plan. Subareas of potential priority include: o South Parker Road Corridor o Centennial Airport Employment Center o Federal Boulevard Corridor o Platte Canyon Road Corridor o Tier 1 / Urban Reserve o Regional Waste Disposal Site Environs
Purpose of the Plan • The 2018 Comprehensive Plan identifies “Urban Reserve” as a subarea of Tier 1 along the I-70 Corridor. Other than reserving Edit Master text styles the area for future urban development, little guidance is given Second level in identifying desired future land uses, the character of future development, needed transportation network improvements, Third level and other infrastructure needs. Fourth level Fifth level • The remainder of Tier 1 is zoned A-1. Much of this area is already developed with large lot residential development, but large parcels remain which are currently agricultural or vacant. • The purpose of the Subarea Plan is to develop a vision for future development throughout Tier 1 and provide additional guidance for future land uses, transportation network improvements, and other infrastructure needs.
Changing Conditions – Land Use • Denver’s aerotropolis and the Colorado Air and Space Port, Edit Master text styles as significant regional land uses, will impact future Second level development in the corridor. The Air and Space Port Third level received a site operator license from the FAA in October Fourth level 2018, seven months after the 2018 Arapahoe County Fifth level Comprehensive Plan was adopted. • Tier 1 was included in the City of Aurora’s East Area Annexation Study. A portion of Tier 1 was included in Aurora’s recently adopted Comprehensive Plan. The Plan was effective in October 2018, seven months after the 2018 Arapahoe County Comprehensive Plan was adopted.
Roadway Improvement Studies • Arapahoe County studying the I-70 / Watkins interchange to identify interim and ultimate improvements. • The County and the Town of Bennett collaborating on a project to improve the I-70/Converse Road (County Road 133) interchange. • CDOT conducting system level study of I-70 along the entire north boundary of Tier 1 to assess improvements needed to accommodate anticipated growth, including roadway improvements, interchange improvements and new interchanges. • County Transportation Plan Update underway. ➔ Future land use is a key determinant of future travel demand and roadway system needs. A Subarea Plan would include recommended land uses.
Changing Conditions - Population • Fewer Households are • Population Increased 27% Moving Compared to 2 Years in 7 Years; 4% per Year Ago Population Increase Lived in Same House 1 Year +27% 95.0% 3,330 Ago 3,500 2,941 90.2% 90.1% 3,000 2,600 89.1% 90.0% 87.8% 2,500 87.6% 87.2% 86.7% 86.3% 2,000 84.8% 85.0% 1,500 82.7% 1,000 80.0% 500 0 75.0% Tier 1 Population Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 3e Eastern 2010 2012 2017 2015 2017 Plains
Changing Conditions - Population • Married Couple Households • Population is Younger than Increased; Single Parent 4 Years Ago Households Decreased Household Composition Population by Age 9% 65 and over 12% 80% 72% 63% 39% 60% 45-64 35% 40% 22% 24-44 20% 24% 14% 20% 12% 11% 4% 3% 7% 18-24 0% 3% Married Single Single Other 23% <18 Couple Householder Parent 26% Household 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 2013 2017 2013 2017
Changing Conditions - Population • Owner Occupancy Increased • Household Income 7% in 2 Years; 19% Higher Increased; Exceeds Countywide Median than Countywide Rate Median Household Income Owner Occupied Housing $100,000 100% $82,949 $77,227 82% $76,065 $80,000 75% $71,719 $70,200 80% 63% $60,400 62% $60,000 60% $40,000 40% $20,000 20% $- 0% Tier 1 Eastern Countywide County Tier 1 Countywide 2013 2017 2015 2017
Forecast Population Forecast Edit Master text styles 80,000 Second level 71,600 70,000 Third level 60,000 Fourth level Fifth level 50,000 40,000 35,200 29,000 30,000 20,000 7,400 6,879 10,000 2,924 2,588 1,367 0 Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Eastern Plains 2010 2015 2020 2025 2035 2040
Development Activity 2010-2019 • Over 80% of New Units Have • Tier 1 New Units Lag Behind Been Built in the Last 5 Years Other Areas of the County Annual New Unit Permits 2010-2019 New Units Added 2010-2019 Year Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 2010 0 4 7 10000 2,366 2011 3 1 2 2012 1 3 4 1000 2013 1 12 4 78 2014 2 12 3 59 100 41 37 25 2015 3 24 6 2016 9 27 5 10 2017 9 17 19 2018 4 16 14 1 2019 5 9 14 Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 2 Tier 2 Tier 3 West Byers Strasburg Total 37 125 78
Tier 1 Parcels with Residential Units • Study Area 44 Square Miles • Bennett Approximately 2 Square Miles • North Kiowa Creek Open Space Approximately .5 Square Mile • Approximately 16 Square Miles of Existing Residential Development • Few Parcels or Lots Available for Additional Residential Development • Most of Tier 1 is Zoned A-1 (19-acre Minimum Lot Size)
Proposed Development - Transport Colorado
Available Land
Scope of Work Highlights • Advisory Committee – At least 5 meetings Edit Master text styles • Citizen Involvement Program to include: Second level • Project website Third level • Social media presence (TBD) Fourth level • Citizen Survey Fifth level • Presence at county and community events (e.g., County Fair) • 3 Public Open Houses • 4 Planning Commission Study Sessions • Plan Preparation: • Alternative Development Scenarios • Draft Subarea Plan • Final Draft Subarea Plan • Adoption of Subarea Plan as part of Comprehensive Plan
Project Timeline Tier 1 Project Tentative Timeline DEC. JAN. FEB. MAR. APR. MAY JUNE JULY AUG. SEPT. OCT. NOV. DEC. JAN. FEB. MAR. APR MAY Data Report; Begin Citizen Alternative Development Involvement Program Prepare Draft Prepare Final Plan Scenarios Subarea Plan P and Maps Public Review I Final Printing and Distribution v w II III We Are Here Public Review 2020 2021 Amend Comprehensive Plan Project Phases P. Preparatory Phase II. Subarea Plan Preparation I. Project Initiation, Inventory and Analysis III. Final Plan Preparation and Approval Public Open House Planning Commission Study Session Planning Commission Public Hearing
Questions? Edit Master text styles Second level Third level Fourth level Fifth level
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