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Optimizing Population Health through Risk-Stratification & Team-based Primary Care Clemens Hong MD, MPH Medical Director, Community Health Improvement Los Angeles County Department of Health Services Oregon Primary Care Association March


  1. Optimizing Population Health through Risk-Stratification & Team-based Primary Care Clemens Hong MD, MPH Medical Director, Community Health Improvement Los Angeles County Department of Health Services Oregon Primary Care Association March 7, 2016

  2. Outline • Overview of Population Health & Care Management in Primary Care • Using population risk-stratification to drive improved outcomes • Los Angeles County – Care Connections Programs – Upcoming Opportunities

  3. The Opportunity • Move from units of care to episodes, people, & populations • Focus on things shown to improve outcomes • Continuously Improve • Support Innovation – improve by leaps • Use team-based approaches • Engage the community High-Risk Patients • Rapidly share learning Rising-Risk Patients Population health management approaches are at the core of this Low-Risk Patients delivery transformation effort

  4. Conceptual Strategy for Population Health Management Traditional Outpatient Inpatient Spend (Acute, Rehab, SNF) Fee for Spend Service Population With Health Inpatient Enhanced Outpatient Spend Management Spend Coordination Spend

  5. Three Population Foci Low Touch/High Volume • “Surveillance” • Wellness & Health Coaching High-Risk • Tools – Patient Patients (5%) Portals/Virtual Visits, Social Media Rising-Risk Patients (15-35%) Low-Risk Patients (60-80%)

  6. Three Population Foci Med Touch/Med Volume • Face-to-Face engagement • Chronic disease & High-Risk Health Coaching Patients (5%) • Tools – Enhanced Primary Care Rising-Risk Patients (15-35%) Low-Risk Patients (60-80%)

  7. Three Population Foci High Touch/Low Volume • Frequent interaction • Chronic Disease/Intensive Care High-Risk Coordination • Tools – Complex Care Patients (5%) Management Teams Rising-Risk Patients (15-35%) Low-Risk Patients (60-80%)

  8. Challenges for Population Health & Care Management Interventions: Drops in Potential Potential opportunity Identification Engagement Finding opportunities for improvement Intervention Realized improvement Adapted from J Eisenberg JAMA. 2000

  9. Trusting relationship between a patient & a proactive care team the foundation to care management Family/Caregivers PCMH/CCM Team Patient CM

  10. Health Delivery System Social Acute & Service Post-acute Agencies Facilities Specialty Government Care Service Providers Agencies Family/Caregivers PCMH/CCM Team Patient CM Payers & Behavioral Purchasers Health Public Home Health Health & Agencies VNA

  11. PCMH Team CCM Team Patient- Centered CM PCP Medical Home A strong relationship between care management & primary care teams critical for care management

  12. As is a strong relationship between the care team & other health system and community partners PCMH Team CCM Team Patient- Centered CM PCP Medical Home

  13. Health Delivery System Social Acute & Service Post-acute Agencies Facilities Specialty Government Care Service Providers Agencies PCMH Team CCM Team Patient- Centered CM PCP Medical Home Payers & Behavioral Purchasers Health Public Home Health Health & Agencies VNA

  14. Care Management Structure PCMH Team CCM Team Patient- Centered CM PCP Medical Home

  15. Care Management Structure PCMH Team CCM Team Patient- CM Centered Hub CM PCP Medical Home

  16. Challenges for Population Health & Care Management Interventions: Drops in Potential Potential opportunity Identification Engagement Finding opportunities for improvement Intervention Realized improvement Adapted from J Eisenberg JAMA. 2000

  17. Challenges for Population Health & Care Management Interventions: Drops in Potential Potential opportunity Identification Engagement Finding opportunities for improvement Intervention Realized improvement Adapted from J Eisenberg JAMA. 2000

  18. Goals of Population Risk Stratification & Segmentation • To align population, intervention, & outcomes • Select a population at risk for future poor outcomes for which planned interventions can improve outcomes • Tools: Quantitative, Qualitative, Hybrid • Key Challenges – Dynamic nature of risk – Lack of full picture – Care sensitivity is patient & program dependent

  19. Effective Targeting of Care Management Population Volume  Healthy Area of Greatest Opportunity?  Chronic Illnesses Area of Greatest Opportunity?  Medically Complex/ High Utilizers Area of Greatest Opportunity?

  20. Complexity defined by Charlson & estimated Physician-defined Complexity (ePDC) Complex Complex Complex by by by Charlson ePDC Both 39% 24% 37% Total Complex = 27,531 (19.2%) Source: Hong CS JGIM 2015

  21. Primary Care Measures Colon Cancer Screening DM A1c>9 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Not complex Charlson Only PDC Only PDC_Charlson *All p-values <0.05 Source: Hong CS JGIM 2015

  22. Acute Care Utilization (per person year) Over 4 Years Admissions ED Visits 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 Not Complex Charlson Only PDC Only PDC_Charlson *All p-values <0.05 Source: Hong CS JGIM 2015

  23. Clinical Outcomes by No Show Propensity Group Source: Hwang AS JGIM 2015

  24. Acute Care Utilization by No Show Propensity Group Source: Hwang AS JGIM 2015

  25. Challenges for CCM Programs: Drops in Potential Potential opportunity Identification Engagement Finding opportunities for improvement Intervention Realized improvement Adapted from J Eisenberg JAMA. 2000

  26. Importance of Continuous Quality Improvement • Design + Implementation = Effectiveness • Track Quality Measures – Process & Outcome • Example – IT Enabled, Team-based Care – Embedded advanced analytics paired with role delineation – For program management & quality improvement

  27. • Rosters are all role-specific • Rosters are all actionable

  28. • A user can send a task to another user

  29. • A population-oriented care plan enables the user to see all that is happening with a patient • A care team can be set up to include members that are typically not part of a care team

  30. Important concepts for program planning • Build strong relationships • No perfect model – Start with the best approach for the context/population – Then use continuous quality improvement to improve • Keys to efficient population management – Work in multi-disciplinary teams – Complement existing services – Allocate resources to high-yield activities – Focus on mutable issues (know your system’s assets) – Use HIT infrastructure to enhance CM efficiency

  31. Los Angeles County Care Connections Program & Beyond Clemens Hong MD MPH GIH Annual Conference March 11, 2016

  32. Using complex care management teams to improve care & reduce costs One proposed solution to address healthcare cost problem Specially-trained, multi-disciplinary care teams

  33. Care Connections Program (CCP) Aims Admit/ $ ED CCP

  34. Serving ≈5% of LAC DHS’s Patients Panel within a Panel • Complex biopsychosocial needs • Hard to engage • High utilization of health care • High cost of care ≈20,000 out of 400,000 primary care patients

  35. Current Model Social Acute & Service Post-acute Agencies Facilities Specialty Government Care Service Providers Agencies PCMH Team CCM Team Patient- Centered CM PCP Medical Home Payers & Behavioral Purchasers Health Public Home Health Health & Agencies VNA

  36. CCP “Enhanced” Model Social Acute & Service Post-acute Agencies Facilities Specialty Government Care Service Providers Agencies PCMH Team CCM Team Patient- Central Centered CCM PCP Medical Hub Home PCP – CHW – RN Payers & Behavioral Purchasers Health Public Home Health Health & Agencies VNA

  37. Care Connections Team CHW PCMH Embedded

  38. CCP Program Overview Patient Comprehensive Care Plan Engagement Needs Survey Development Face-to-face: Hospital, Clinic Or home visit Accompaniment Revise Care /Routine FU Plan if needed visits Care Transition Work if needed Acute Event or Status Change Follow-up “Step Down” Assessment

  39. Patient Engagement Social Support Comprehensive Assessment & Care Planning CHW Role Health System Navigation Care Transition Support

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