The Next Industrial Revolution: Manufacturing and the Industrial Internet Joseph J. Salvo, Ph.D. Founder and Director of the Industrial Internet Consortium
The Physical World is Evolving at the Speed of Software "If you went to bed last night as an industrial company, you're going to wake up today as a software and analytics company," Jeff Immelt, Chairman and CEO of General Electric
Global environment Materials … unpredictable costs & supply constraints Production … overcapacity in most industries Labor … increasing costs in the developing world + Product development … shorter cycle times, more price points Must Innovate Differently
Next 5 years: Rethinking Industrial R&D New Old Design dictates materials and Manufacturing and materials manufacturing selection differentiate product design Manufacturing Manufacturing Design Materials & supply chain innovation selection planning Design Materials • Mostly sequential process • Non-sequential process • Few interactions • Creates interactions • Limits design options • New degrees of freedom Need More Integration and Speed
Digital Manufacturing and Design Innovation Institute White House Announcement 2/25/2014 GE and partners to form a Digital Innovations Network for $320 Million
Change the Design to Manufacture Paradigm Current State Future State - Isolated Expertise - Integrated Knowledge - Separate Tool & Data Repositories - Unified & Searchable - Manual Workflow - Automated Workflow & Data Movement & Data Movement - Task Centric - Project/Process Centric integrate Design Control Knowledge, Point Simulation and Know-How Enable Rapid Multi-Disciplinary Optimization and Risk Assessment
GE Forge Delivers the Digital Marketplace Networks • Data • Models • Expertise • Simulation • Equipment Collaboration at Global Scale
Cloud Innovation Platform: Democratization of key tools and services at scale Finding and Exchanging Data and Models Single Source of the Model Data & Services • Transparent Exposed Automated Tool • Auditable to Authorized Users • Automated Expose Tools in a Searchable Automation Platform
Seamless Integration of Materials Knowledge and 3D Printing Material knowledge integration Transformational improvement in design and prototyping
Let’s get serious – Production. GE Aviation . Fuel control nozzles for the next-generation LEAP aircraft engine, will be manufactured on 3D printers. • 19 nozzles per engine The laser heats the alloy, to more Leap • 1,700 engines per year, than 2,250 degrees Fahrenheit . 1A Backlog: 5,200 LEAPs ($68 billion) GE plans to produce 100,000 3-D printed components for the LEAP as well as the GE9X engine Simplification with Enhanced Performance
Next 10 years: How do we Dream it up? 3D Printing, Crowdsourcing, Terabit/sec Optical fabric A physical world evolving at the speed of software!
Jet Engine Bracket Design Quest Crowdsourcing Mandli Peter is based in Hungary GE chooses ten finalists from nearly 700 global design entries representing 56 countries to move onto the final phase of its Quest. Mark Little, Senior Vice President and Chief Technology Officer, GE Global Research Center “We have entered into a new era of manufacturing that is leveraging the proven power of open innovation. Additive manufacturing is allowing GE, together with the Maker community, to push the boundaries of traditional engineering. These finalists have demonstrated what can be achieved by embracing this more open, collaborative model.” Winning design removed 85% of the mass! The jet engine bracket designs were additively manufactured and subjected to load testing by GE.
GE Brilliant Manufacturing Creating the “digital thread” Supply Chain Network • Design • Simulation • Prototyping • Manufacturing 10,000’s of sensors Virtual Product Design • Data is ubiquitous • Knowledge is Virtual distributed Manufacturing • Decisions are Service/Repair Shop near real time Brilliant Minds, Machines and Factories Seamlessly Connected
What constraints are there today on the Internet? • Much of the Data on todays internet is transferred in packets on a best effort basis • No guarantee for authentication, timing or bandwidth availability. Can we rely on this type of network to interrogate and control mission critical equipment in our factories? We need an “Industrial Internet”
Next 15 years: Let’s build an Industrial Internet Rapid product Design principles: development Modularity and flexibility Layering End-to-End argument Reliability, Guaranteed Timing, Predictability Bandwidth and Identity and Security GE is committed to the Industrial Internet
The Industrial Internet connecting them all…. Wind farms Locomotives Aircraft engines
The Industrial Internet Data creation will accelerate with the proliferation of Intelligent Machine Networks The Next 20 years-Infinite Data •As intelligent machines begin to converse directly with each other the traditional methods of data storage and management will be overwhelmed. •Near real time decisions will be made at the edge and machine consciousness will be used to help decide what should be remembered and what is best to forget. •The low cost and volume of data outstrips the value of transporting, sorting and storing it. Time-to-value-capture is the new data metric It’s all going to be about energy per decision
The Cognitive Chip Right on Schedule… techradar August 7th The TrueNorth chip by IBM. Widely regarded as a “synaptic supercomputer” One million neurons, 256 million synapses and 4,096 parallel cores in a self-contained chip. TrueNorth or another architecture may lead to computers that are almost as powerful as the human brain The “Companions” are coming.
Better to forget than remember • The commoditization of most physical asset classes characterized the late 20 th century. The explosion of digital content in the 21 st century will likewise • change the perceived value of pure data in all its discrete forms. • Due to speed and cost considerations, fuzzy memories will evolve and prove to be more valuable than exhaustive searches through mountains of details for perfect recall. • A Consciousness that blends today's experiences with memories in “ brain-space ” will be recruited to due likewise “ in silico ” . Evolution doesn’t select for memory but survival of the fittest. In an unpredictable networked world conscious decisioning will shine.
Next up: Machine to machine networks will become collaborative Big Dog Boston Dynamics Distributed intelligence needs a secure network
The Industrial Internet Consortium . Created March 27 th 2014. Why? A New Innovation Engine
An Open Membership Consortium, 100+ current members! IIC Founder Companies As of October 2014
Technology Development & Deployment Priorities • Open industrial stack based on a reference architecture • Secure, high-confidence systems and data-centric security • Portability, interoperability, and performance of systems, including detection, characterization, and management of emergent behaviors in large, loosely coupled systems • Robust and resilient wireless platforms • Multi-scale data fusion and management Metcalfe’s law of network value will drive a new exponential $200MM 3 year program
An Industrial Internet System Commodities: Data, Information, Low level Knowledge “The Information Age is Over” Welcome to the Systems Age Connecting Billions of People and Trillions of Objects
Do you suppose there ’ ll be a third Industrial Revolution? …A third one what would it be like? I don ’ t know exactly. The first and second ones must have been sort of inconceivable at one time…. I guess the third one ’ s been going on for some time, if you mean thinking machines… First the muscle work, then the routine work and then, maybe, the real brainwork. Player Piano, Kurt Vonnegut 1952 Welcome to the Industrial Internet
At every level: Perceived future Industrial Internet value will attract talent, capital Consortium and risk takers. Please Join us and create the Next “Industrial Revolution” Salvo@ge.com Dedicated to Joseph Schumpeter Author of “Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy An early champion of Innovation and “Creative Destruction” 1883-1950
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