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Standard Life 2006 Preliminary Results 22 March 2007 Disclaimer - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Standard Life 2006 Preliminary Results 22 March 2007 Disclaimer This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements with respect to certain of Standard Life's plans and its current goals and expectations relating to its


  1. Standard Life 2006 Preliminary Results 22 March 2007

  2. Disclaimer This presentation may contain certain “forward-looking statements” with respect to certain of Standard Life's plans and its current goals and expectations relating to its future financial condition, performance, results, strategy and objectives. Statements containing the words “believes”, “intends”, “expects”, “plans”, “seeks” and “anticipates”, and words of similar meaning, are forward-looking. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances which are beyond Standard Life's control including among other things, UK domestic and global economic and business conditions, market related risks such as fluctuations in interest rates and exchange rates, and the performance of financial markets generally; the policies and actions of regulatory authorities, the impact of competition, inflation, and deflation; experience in particular with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal rates; the timing, impact and other uncertainties of future acquisitions or combinations within relevant industries; and the impact of changes in capital, solvency or accounting standards, and tax and other legislation and regulations in the jurisdictions in which Standard Life and its affiliates operate. This may for example result in changes to assumptions used for determining results of operations or re-estimations of reserves for future policy benefits. As a result, Standard Life’s actual future financial condition, performance and results may differ materially from the plans, goals, and expectations set forth in Standard Life's forward-looking statements. Standard Life undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation or any other forward-looking statements it may make. These EEV and IFRS results have been calculated for the year ended 31 December 2006 using assumptions to show the results which would have been attributable to shareholders had the company been owned by shareholders under the terms of the Scheme of demutualisation (the Scheme) throughout the year. The Scheme did not take effect until 10 July 2006. For further information please refer to basis of preparation sections 1.4.1 and 1.5.3.4 within the Standard Life plc Preliminary Results 2006 for EEV and IFRS respectively. No account has been taken of any prospective tax changes announced by the Chancellor of the Exchequer on 21 March 2007. 2

  3. Agenda Agenda Sandy Crombie Improving financial performance David Nish Growing the UK L&P business Trevor Matthews Investments performing Keith Skeoch Driving value Sandy Crombie Questions and answers Team 3

  4. Improving financial performance David Nish Group Finance Director

  5. 2006 Financial highlights � EEV operating profit before tax up 55% to £614m (2005: £395m). � New business contribution before tax up 521% to £205m (2005: £33m). � IFRS operating profit before tax up 272% to £540m (2005: £145m). � EEV up 11% to £5,608m (2005: £5,048m) (1) , equivalent to 258p per share. � Positive cashflow increased to £262m (2005: £17m outflow). � Dividend of 5.4p in respect of period since IPO. � With-Profits Fund Residual Estate increased to £1.3bn (2005: £0.5bn). Strong improvement in our financial performance 5 (1) Reflects 2005 closing Embedded value of £3,744m plus £1,304m of net IPO proceeds

  6. Focus on improving RoEV 7.4% 2005 R oEV N ew Business Contribution 2.3% Expected return (0.5% ) In-force m ovem ents (0.8% ) N on Life Business U nits 0.7% (0.2% ) Corporate costs 8.9% 2006 R oEV 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 1.5% point increase in return on embedded value 6 Return on embedded value in 2005 and 2006 has been calculated assuming that the proceeds from the IPO were received at the beginning of the period

  7. Focus on increasing embedded value 3,744 1,304 2006 O pening EEV plus IPO proceeds 5,048 New Business 205 392 Expected return Inforce M ovem ents 64 45 Developm ent costs & other 87 Non life operating units 89 Corporate costs 54 Taxation and non operating item s 5,608 2006 Closing EEV £3,000m £3,500m £4,000m £4,500m £5,000m £5,500m £6,000m Embedded value has increased 11% 7

  8. EEV operating profit 2006 2005 UK Europe Canada Asia- HWPF Total Total Pacific TVOG £m £m £m £m £m £m £m New business 167 10 28 - - 205 33 In-force Expected return 268 31 93 - - 392 328 Experience variances 90 7 (16) - 41 122 60 Assumption changes (128) 6 61 - 3 (58) 37 Other covered (25) (9) (3) (8) - (45) (4) Total covered business 372 45 163 (8) 44 616 454 Investment management 38 24 Banking 38 15 Healthcare and general insurance 16 7 Other non-covered (23) (47) Total excluding Corporate costs and investment income 685 453 Corporate costs (89) (58) Investment income in corporate centre 18 - Total before tax 614 395 55% increase in EEV operating profit 8 Covered business represents lines of business which Standard Life has accounted for under EEV principles

  9. New business 47% increase in PVNBP (1) Margin improvement across the Group (2) 2006 2005 11,400 12,000 UK 1.5% 0.4% 11,000 10,000 Canada 1.6% (0.1%) 9,000 Europe 1.2% 0.9% 8,000 6,763 7,000 Group 1.4% 0.4% £'m 6,000 5,000 NBC increasing six fold to £205m (2) 4,000 2006 2005 3,000 £m £m 1,882 1,791 2,000 920 866 UK 167 27 1,000 Canada 28 (2) 0 UK Canada Europe Europe 10 8 Total 205 33 2005 2006 New Business volume and margin driving NBC improvement (1) 2006 vs. 2005 includes FX movements 9 (2) 2005 NBC and exclude margins non-insured SIPP

  10. EEV experiences variances & operating assumption changes 2006 UK Europe Canada TVOG Total £m £m £m £m £m Experience variances Lapses (4) (2) - - (6) Maintenance expenses 2 2 3 - 7 Mortality and morbidity 27 - - - 27 Tax & Other 65 7 (19) 41 94 90 7 (16) 41 122 Operating assumption changes Lapses (207) (4) (49) - (260) Maintenance expenses 26 12 50 - 88 Mortality and morbidity 26 2 37 - 65 Other 27 (4) 23 3 49 (128) 6 61 3 (58) Total Experience variances & Operating assumption (38) 13 45 44 64 changes £64m positive contribution, after lapse assumption changes 10

  11. Lapses Further Provisions at Remaining strengthening at Year end end of H1 Experience in H2 Provision year-end Provisions £m £m £m £m £m Life 27 (34) (7) 48 41 Pensions 96 (36) 60 59 119 Total 123 (70) 53 107 160 � Full review of assumptions undertaken � Carefully monitoring experience and selected initiatives to boost retention � Based on current trends provisions are appropriate and adequate 11

  12. IFRS pro forma underlying profits 2006 2005 £m £m Life and Pensions UK 230 16 Canada 168 86 Europe 108 73 Other Life (9) - Total Life and Pensions 497 175 Investment Management 66 44 Banking 38 24 Healthcare and general insurance 16 7 Total Non life excluding corporate costs and other 120 75 Corporate costs (89) (58) Other 12 (47) Total underlying profit before tax 540 145 Improving IFRS profitability across the Group 12

  13. Group EEV cash generation Group PVNBP and New Business Strain 2006 2005 £m £m £bn New business strain (303) (306) 16 5.0% 14 Cash generation from existing business 436 351 4.0% 12 Life and Pensions cash generation from 133 45 new business and expected return 10 3.0% Cash generation from variances, 111 (23) 8 development costs and assumption changes 2.0% 6 Life and Pensions total cash generation 244 22 4 1.0% Investments, Bank and Healthcare 77 35 2 Corporate costs (62) (41) 0 0.0% Investment income 13 - 2004 pro rata 2005 2006 UK Canada Other non life entities (10) (33) Europe NBS as % of PVNBP Total cash generation 262 (17) Significant cash generation improvement Movements are based on shareholders net worth adjusted for changes in required capital. 13 Cash flows are net of tax and exclude net (expense)/income directly recognised in the EEV balance sheet including exchange differences and capital movements

  14. Group funds flow � Dividends from business units � Standard Life Assurance Limited £ 60m (1) � Standard Life Canada £ 55m � Standard Life Investments £ 50m � Standard Life Bank £ 40m £205m � Other plc funds flow � SL plc dividend £114m (1) � Corporate centre costs £ 62m (£89m pre-tax) � Investment income of £ 13m (1) (£18m pre-tax) � Dividend of 5.4p (1) per share – progressive dividend policy (1) Based on trading 10 July 2006 to 31 December 2006 14

  15. 2006 Financial summary PVNBP Sales 47% to £14.3bn PVNBP Margin 1.0% pts to 1.4% EEV operating profit 55% to £614m IFRS profit 272% to £540m EEV cash generation £279m to £262m Strong improvement in our financial performance 15

  16. Growing the UK L&P business Trevor Matthews Chief Executive Standard Life Assurance Limited

  17. UK L&P Market � A-day � Customer consolidation of funds � Wider access to SIPP � Increase in contribution limits � Shift from with-profits continuing � Market conditions favourable to Bonds and Mutual Funds � Distribution � Platforms Our strategy has enabled us to capitalise on these trends 17

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