Age nda Ite m E .3.b Supple me ntal Public Pr e se ntation 2 (Ple sc hne r - Ste e le ) Apr il 2019 SARDI NE S I N CAL I F ORNI A NOT ‘ SOUT HE RN’ ST OCK !
6,000 to ns pure sa rdine ~ 4/ 1/ 19 Ob se rve d in 60 ft. wa te r ne a r Se a l Be a c h – 61 de g re e wa te r
64 to n Po int Se t ~ 4/ 1/ 19 “T re me ndo us a mo unt o f fish – to o ma ny sc ho o ls to c o unt” ~ Co rb in Ha nso n
30-60 g ra m Sa rdine s ° Ca pture d 3/ 26/ 19 a s pa rt o f 30-to n po int se t ne a r Ga vio ta , a b o ve Sa nta Ba rb a ra ~ Ma ny la rg e sa rdine sc ho o ls ° E vide nc e o f re c ruitme nt
L ive Ba it Ha ul 3/ 17/ 19 Outside Ma rina De l Re y Ha rb o r ~ ple ntiful 5-inc h sa rdine s in 40 ft. wa te r
4,000 to ns o f e stima te d 13,000+ to ns o b se rve d ne a r Big Sur ~ Oc t. 2018 47% o f e stima te d c o a st-wide b io ma ss o f 27,547 mt
Ma ny Ma ny Mo re Ob se rva tio ns T ho usa nds o f to ns o b se rve d o n b a c kside o f Ca ta lina Co untle ss sc ho o ls o f sa rdine o b se rve d ne a r Pt. F e rmin, o utside Sa n Pe dro Ha rb o r ~ F e b . 13 2019 F ishe rme n ha ve re po rte d re c ruitme nt a nd ple ntiful sa rdine s in CA sinc e 2015 (e vide nc e in live b a it ta nks) Ob se rva tio ns o f YOY sa rdine a nd a dults we re a lso do c ume nte d in 20218 Juve nile Ro c kfish Surve y RE CRUIT ME NT HAS HAPPE NE D, SARDINE S ARE HE RE !
So c io -E c o no mic I mpa c ts Ag e nda I te m G.1.c , Supple me nta l CDF G Re po rt, No ve mb e r 2007 ~ Sa rdine la nding s in o the r CPS fishe rie s (2001-2006) I f sa rdine s a re de c la re d o ve rfishe d (misna me d!), CPS F MP re q uire s re duc tio n o f inc ide nta l c a tc h ra te to 20% a s pa rt o f re b uilding pla n
So c io -E c o no mic I mpa c ts Ag e nda I te m G.1.b Supp. CPSMT Re po rt ~ April 2015
T a ke Ho me Me ssa g e 2006 ~ I nc ide nta l sa rdine mo st pre va le nt in a nc ho vy (49%),Pa c ific ma c ke re l (32%) a nd sq uid (13%) fishe rie s 2015 ~ 20% sa rdine inc ide nta l c a tc h limit impa c ts: 48% Pa c ific ma c ke re l la nding s 40-45% Anc ho vy la nding s, a c c o rding to fishe rme n >20% o f Sq uid la nding s At 20% r ate , F ISHE RME N WIL L BE F ORCE D T O F ORE GO F ISHING ON MIXE D F ISH SCHOOL S T O AVOID SARDINE
T a ke Ho me Me ssa g e ~ 2 Pro c e sso rs (a s we ll a s fishe rme n) a re a lre a dy hurting : @ 50% re duc tio n in pro c e ssing c re ws sinc e sa rdine fishe ry c lo sure in 2015 Be fo re 2015, CA’ s sa rdine fishe ry pro duc e d ave r age a nnua l sa le s impa c t > $16 million T ha t va lue plumme te d to $61,453 (1% ) in 2017 S.CA. CPS pro c e sso rs re ly o n ma c ke re l a nd sq uid to ke e p the fle e t fishing a nd do o rs o pe n Mo nte re y pro c e sso rs re ly o n a nc ho vy @ 6 mo nths a ye a r to fill in a fte r sq uid se a so n E NSO outlook r e mains at AL E RT – 70% c hanc e of de ve loping CA’S WE T F ISH INDUST R Y CANNOT AF F ORD MORE CUT S
I mpo rta nc e o f CA We tfish I ndustry to CA Until re c e nt ye a rs, CA’ s c o mple x o f o f CPS fishe rie s pro duc e d 80+% of volume , 37% doc kside value o f to ta l sta te wide c o mme rc ia l fishe ry ha rve st I mpo rta nt to ma ny ha rb o r c o mmunitie s Vo lume is e sse ntia l to ma inta in infra struc ture , jo b s Port We tfish % of T ota l We tfish % of T ota l Port L a nding s Port XV Va lue 97.5% 76.3% Monte re y Ha rbor Moss L a nding 96.2% 66.3% Ve ntura 98.7% 82% (sq uid) Port Hue ne me 99.9% 99.9% 99.6% 93.4% Sa n Pe dro T e rmina l Isla nd 97.7% 81.4% Contribution to Sta te wide 82% 37% L a nding s
De mo g ra phic s o f the I ndustry F e de ra l CPS L imite d E ntry F le e t = 55 ve sse ls Appro x. 300 fishe rme n ( 5-6 c re w pe r ve sse l ) Ca te g o ry 4 pro c e sso rs in S.CA. = 7 to 9 ma jo r (in 2004) In 2004 : 1,400 - 1,500 wo rke rs, inc lud ing se a so na l e mplo ye e s, a nd the ma ximum pa c king c a pa c ity wa s e stima te d b e twe e n 1,900 a nd 2,000 to ns pe r 24 ho ur d a y. 2017-18 CPS Ha rve st, a ll spe c ie s = 61,086 mt * Ca te g o ry 4 pro c e sso rs in Mo nte re y = 3 ma jo r In 2011: 764 wo rke rs, ma x. pa c king c a pa c ity in 24 hr d a y e st. 1,400 to ns 2017-18 CPS Ha rve st – a ll spe c ie s = 31,617 mt * No w : e mplo yme nt re duc e d up to 50% due to lo ss o f fishing o ppo rtunity * So urc e : 2018 CAL I F ORNI A COAST AL PE L AGI C SPE CI E S F I SHE RY, CDF W
Pro b le m: No fle xib ility in po lic y in upda te a sse ssme nts Ma jo r issue s ide ntifie d in 2017 sa rdine ST AR pa ne l re vie w a nd 2018 AT M me tho ds re vie w ~ no t c o nside re d he re SSC CPS Sub c o mmitte e did a c kno wle dg e Ve ry hig h CV (73%) ~ fa r hig he r tha n de fa ult le ve l Mo de l AL T ~ Q is inc re a sing e ve ry ye a r ~ 1.1, 1.15, 1.17 (b ut CI E sc ie ntists c a lle d Q=1 “unre a listic ”) Upda te c o ntinue d a ssumptio n tha t se le c tivity is unifo rm, b ut aise d biomass signific antly ! assuming logistic se le c tion r L o g istic se le c tio n a lso implie s tha t so me a g e 1+ a nima ls a re n’ t a va ila b le to AT surve y But all sardine s are NOT surve ye d , inc luding uppe r wa te r c o lumn a nd ne a rsho re Q is not 1!
Mo re pro b le ms ( tip o f the ic e b e rg ) Curre nt a ssumptio n ~ no CPS b e lo w 70 me te rs de pth Bo th sa rdine a nd a nc ho vy g o de e p! BUT 2018 re do sc rub b e d de e p b a c ksc a tte r a nd re duc e d 2017 b io ma ss b e lo w MSST Upda te a lso misse d @13,000 mt NORT HE RN stoc k in Ce n. CA As we ll a s tho usa nds o f to ns o f sa rdine in ne a rsho re S.CA do c ume nte d in a e ria l surve ys a nd po int se ts this spring Upda te a ssume d 35,000 mt sa rdine o b se rve d o ffsho re in S.CA. b y AT surve y wa s ‘ so uthe rn’ sto c k a nd o mitte d it fro m a sse ssme nt Upda te a lso inc lude d a b no rma lly hig h c a tc h fro m E nse na da ~ b ut sig nific a nt c a tc h c a ug ht so uth o f E nse na da Se nsitivity r un to se t E nse nada c atc h to nor mal e xploitation RAISE D the asse ssme nt ABOVE 50,000 mt
I f b o a ts a re tie d to the do c k, pro c e sso rs’ do o rs c lo se d I f CA’ s we tfish industry is de c ima te d b e c a use o f furthe r se ve re (a nd unwa rra nte d) c uts in a n a lre a dy pre c a utio na ry ha rve st po lic y … T he n the Counc il has not take n into ac c ount the soc io- e c onomic ne e ds of fishing c ommunitie s… Ba la nc e is a ke y te ne t o f the Ma g nuso n Ac t Ple a se c o nside r the se issue s a nd unc e rta intie s ra ise d a nd “c ombine sc ie ntific unde r pinning with pr ac tic ality and c ommon se nse .” ishe rie s ) (Chris Olive r, Assista nt Ad ministra to r fo r F
So wha t no w? In re a lity, sa rdine s a re NOT OVE RF ISHE D a nd ove rfishing is NOT oc c urring ! Ple a se c onduc t a ne w ST AR pa ne l re vie w ASAP Use a ll a va ila b le a g e -le ng th c o mp. da ta inc luding live b a it fishe ry a nd inc ide nta l ta ke fro m CPS fishe rie s Re vie w b a sis fo r ha b ita t mo de l a nd “so uthe rn” sto c k a ssumptio ns Ac c ount for ne ar shor e biomass Inc lude CDF W ae rial surve y data I nc lude Juve nile Ro c kfish Surve y a nd e vide nc e o f sa rdine inc ide nta l to o the r no n CPS fishe rie s (i.e . whiting ) Co rre c t pro b le ms ide ntifie d with AT surve ys Assumptio ns a b o ut Q a nd 70-me te r de pth limit T a rg e t stre ng th
I n the me a ntime … Co mmo n se nse wo uld sug g e st suspe nding this fla we d a sse ssme nt until ST AR pa ne l re vie w Ple ase allow fishe r ie s to c ontinue with c ur r e nt har ve st spe c ific ations in the inte r im ”Ove rfishe d” re q uire me nt dro pping inc ide nta l ra te to 20% wo uld se rio usly limit fishing fo r o the r CPS Also wo uld punish live b a it sa rdine fishe ry (if it wa s c urta ile d) Diffe r e nc e be twe e n status quo 7,000 mt all use s and P* 0.4 T ie r 2 ABC of 4,514 mt = only 2,486 mt T he diffe re nc e is no t g o ing to ha rm e c o syste m func tio n Re building plan pr ovisions ar e not r e quir e d in 2019- 20 ~ Ple ase c orre c t asse ssme nt flaws in ST AR pane l be fore de c laring stoc k ‘ove rfishe d’. Ple ase do no fur the r har m to all our CPS fishe r ie s.
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