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International Review of Land Supply and Planning Systems Sarah Monk, Christine Whitehead, Connie Tang and Gemma Burgess IFHP 100 Centenary Conference Track 5: Housing and Social Justice UCL June 11 th 2013 Introduction The JRF Housing


  1. International Review of Land Supply and Planning Systems Sarah Monk, Christine Whitehead, Connie Tang and Gemma Burgess IFHP 100 Centenary Conference Track 5: Housing and Social Justice UCL June 11 th 2013

  2. Introduction • The JRF Housing Market Taskforce identified land supply as a key issue contributing to housing market volatility and housing affordability problems in England. • It therefore commissioned research to establish whether experiences in other countries could contribute to understanding of the constraints on land supply in England • The research explored whether mechanisms that work in other countries might be introduced to help unlock new housing supply here

  3. The research • Long list of 24 countries with data on population, households, population density, house prices, housing completions, completions per 1,000 population compared • Selected 11 countries for detailed analysis • Literature and data search and review • Advice and critiques from country experts • Round table of stakeholders to test how far the findings could be replicated in the English context • Case study countries:

  4. Why land supply is a vital issue • Record house price increases in early 2000s yet supply of new homes did not increase significantly • This contributed further to affordability problems • Global financial crisis and resultant recession only worsened the supply situation • A review of planning systems and land supply is therefore timely

  5. Current policy and practice The Coalition government has introduced policies to achieve sustainable growth and address housing supply • A strong presumption in favour of development • New Homes Bonus • Speedier planning system • Fast tracking of major infrastructure projects • Duty to co-operate • Neighbourhood planning • Land auctions and green belt swaps

  6. How much land do we need? • Green belt currently covers some 13% of the total land area of England • Urban land covers only around 10% • Planning Minister recently stated that increasing this to 12% would meet all identified future requirements • This could be done while preserving green belts

  7. The problem: perceived constraints on supply • Lack of incentives for local authorities to support new development • Nature of the housebuilding industry • Disincentives to make land available in light of potential future price increases • Mechanisms for funding and providing infrastructure • Availability and cost of finance for development • Risks associated with re-use of urban land • Market volatility and uncertainty

  8. Figure 1 New housing completions, England Completions 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 1992-93 1995-96 1998-99 2001-02 2004-05 2007-08 2010-11 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990

  9. Household numbers England 1951 – 2021 (projected)

  10. Approaches to land supply • Only England has purely planning permission background, although South Korea is moving that way • All the others used zoning with varying degrees of discretion/flexibility • Almost all countries face growth pressures in desirable areas • Most have constraints to curb urban sprawl and protect agricultural and other land • But most did not see planning as a constraint • Many have low responsiveness of supply to price increases • OECD data show that GB (not England) is very similar to France and Germany while higher than the Netherlands. • Several were more responsive – Australia, NZ, Ireland and Denmark

  11. Findings - governance • Most countries have three layers of governance for planning – national, regional and local • England outside London is alone in having no regional strategic layer • The number of local authorities varies enormously – in France there are 22 regions, 100 departments and 3,600 communes • England has no regional layer and 336 local planning authorities • Smaller local decision making areas are thought to help community involvement • Looking to particular instruments we identified five main themes

  12. Findings – Growth management • Growth management boundaries / urban growth limits are used by most countries to prevent urban sprawl • To ensure land and house price stability the limit is revisited regularly • However any limit will affect land prices both within and outside the boundary • There are some examples of successful urban containment and relative price stability over time – Portland, Oregon, at least until recently • Successful management requires planners to be pro-active, not reactive, in monitoring and adjusting land supply

  13. Findings – Land assembly • In many countries local authorities play an active role in land assembly, often using compulsory purchase powers • Germany – address fragmented land ownership by assembling the land so the increase in value following development is shared proportionately among the original owners after repaying the local authority for infrastructure provision • Netherlands – local authorities have traditionally purchased land at existing use value, provided infrastructure and services, and sold it to developers at a price that at least recovered costs

  14. Findings – Infrastructure provision • Several countries have mechanisms to ensure infrastructure is in place prior to planned development • France – tax on employment in larger towns and cities which is hypothecated to transport infrastructure • Netherlands – early provision through municipal land purchase and sale • Germany - land readjustment processes also provide for infrastructure

  15. Findings – Compensation and incentives • Most compensation and incentive mechanisms involve increased benefits to local authorities • Switzerland – cantons retain the tax revenues that accrue to new development – as this is their main source of revenue it acts as an incentive for further development • Tax Increment Financing – hypothecating future local tax revenues has been used extensively in the USA to incentivise inner city regeneration schemes • Density bonuses are used in a number of countries to compensate developers for potential loss of income from providing affordable housing on site. • In the Netherlands there is provision to compensate individuals, but it is not widely used

  16. Findings – Land value capture • Underpinning many of these mechanisms are forms of land value capture (in zoning systems) or planning gain (England) • These include infrastructure charges, inclusionary zoning to provide affordable housing, and land value taxation. • Infrastructure and services, including affordable housing, can often be funded from the increase in land values associated with development • But works best in periods of economic growth – becomes difficult when land values are falling

  17. Implications for England • Most of the mechanisms identified have their equivalent in England • Could they be used more widely or brought together more effectively and on a sufficient scale to ensure a larger and more regular flow of land to meet current and future housing needs? Three interlinked core issues: • How to provide sufficient incentives to bring land forward • How to enable growth without urban sprawl • How to provide infrastructure to support new housing development

  18. Incentives to bring land forward • Land assembly and land readjustment (including compulsory purchase) are powerful tools to enable development – and help stabilise expectations about future land prices • Incentives to enable development work best where the local authority retains local taxes which are spent on local services – and possibly where the authority is small enough for the community to appreciate the benefits of growth • In England neighbourhood planning with community buy-in plus the New Homes Bonus may help to incentivise development • So may the strategic use of public land

  19. Growth management • The green belt has been successful in preventing urban sprawl but at a price • Evidence from other countries suggests it should be operated more flexibly, with boundaries revisited regularly • Planners should monitor land supply and respond to price changes by adjusting potential supply

  20. Infrastructure provision • Provision in advance of, or alongside, development is essential • Funding can come from land value uplift, taxation (including additional tax revenues from new development) and debt finance paid for from a growing tax base • A rolling infrastructure fund has clear potential, provided an initial source is available and the returns are recycled for further infrastructure investment • It can also be used counter-cyclically, enabling development to go ahead during the downturn and be repaid in the upturn • Cambridge provides a case study of how to bring these different elements together pro-actively • Other areas may find it harder, but it is proof that attitudes and incentives can change

  21. Conclusions • There are examples of effective use of the range of instruments available – Cambridge; Milton Keynes • Some government initiatives are in line with international experience • But still need a pro-development cultural change based on a growth agenda • A more stable economy and a more proactive approach to land assembly

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