REGIONAL WATER PLANNING GROUP MEETING November 20, 2019 1 Item 9 - PDF document

REGIONAL WATER PLANNING GROUP MEETING November 20, 2019 1 Item 9 Consultant Team Report November 20, 2019 2 1

Consultant Team Report Agenda  Planning Schedule • Where are we today? Where are we headed?  County Review • Angelina, Henderson, Nacogdoches, Orange, and Rusk Counties  Update on activities: • Definition of Significant Need • Review of Chapters 5A, 5B, and 5C • Fiscal Year 2020 • Website Discussion 3 3 Update on the 5 th Round Planning Cycle: Item 9a Project Schedule 4 4 2

TWDB Preliminary Working Schedule November 2019 5 5 2019-2020 Project Schedule APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR TWDB Socioeconomic Task 6 Impact Analysis Task 4B RWPG –Identify Potentially Feasible WMSs TWDB Review SOW for WMSs Task 5A RWPG IPP Due March 3, 2020 RWPG Final Plan Due October 14, 2020 6 6 3

2019-2020 RWPG Meeting Schedule Agenda Items Year Quarter Chapter County-Other RWPG Mtg. Date 1, 2 Q2 4 Counties April 17, 2019 (Needs must be finalized May 2020) Q3 6 Counties 6, 8 July 17, 2019 2019 Q4 a 3, 4, 10 5 Counties October 15, 2019 Q4 b 5A, 5B, 5C 5 Counties November 20, 2019 Q1 a ES, 7, 9, 11 January 15, 2020 Initially Prepared Plan Approval Q1 b February 19, 2020 (IPP due 03/03/20) 2020 Review Public Comments, Q3 a Prioritization July 15, 2020 Final Plan Approval Q3 b September 16, 2020 (Final Plan due 10/14/20) ES - Executive Summary 7 7 Item 9b County Review 8 8 4

County Projections Review Angelina County  Steady population growth  Primary water use is municipal  Total developed supply greater than total demand  No municipal WUGs with identified needs  Manufacturing and mining with identified needs  Strategies include purchasing additional supply from Lufkin and ANRA 9 9 PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK 10 10 5

ANGELINA COUNTY YOUR WATER DEPENDENT ECONOMY: YOUR WATER SOURCE(S): Agriculture Groundwater Wells Yegua-Jackson Aquifer Industry Lake Kurth Carrizo-Wilcox Aquifer Recreation Local Supplies Queen City Aquifer Timber Neches River Sparta Aquifer YOUR COUNTY POPULATION PROJECTIONS 150,000 TWDB Population Projections 100,000 50,000 0 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 YOUR COUNTY WATER USE (ACRE-FEET) 1028486 1028180 Municipal 3520 3520 Manufacturing Irrigation 779 779 Steam Electric Power 11682 13923 Livestock 3878 3658 Mining 2070 2020 YOUR AVAILABLE WATER SUPPLY 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 TOTAL DEVELOPED SUPPLY TOTAL UNDEVELOPED SUPPLY TOTAL DEMAND YOUR WATER USER GROUPS WITH IDENTIFIED NEEDS Municipal No Water Shortage Identified Manufacturing Water Shortage Identified, WMS - Purchase Additional Supply from Lufkin / New Wells Irrigation No Water Shortage Identified (Yegua Jackson) Steam Electric Power No Water Shortage Identified Livestock No Water Shortage Identified Mining Water Shortage Identified, WMS - Purchase Additional Supply from ANRA EAST TEXAS REGIONAL WATER PLANNING AREA LAST UPDATED: 11/06/2019 DRAFT 2021 COUNTY SUMMARY SHEET

County Projections Review Henderson County  Steady population growth  Primary water use is municipal  Total developed supply greater than total demand  WUGs identified with needs: Chandler, Moore Station WSC, mining  Municipal conservation, purchase water from Tyler for Chandler  Strategies to develop groundwater supplies in Carrizo-Wilcox for Moore Station WSC and mining 11 11 PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK 12 12 6

HENDERSON COUNTY YOUR WATER DEPENDENT ECONOMY: YOUR WATER SOURCE(S): Livestock Groundwater Wells Carrizo-Wilcox Aquifer Oil & Gas Production Lake Athens Queen City Aquifer Recreation Local Supplies YOUR COUNTY POPULATION PROJECTIONS 40,000 TWDB Population 30,000 Projections 20,000 10,000 0 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 YOUR COUNTY WATER USE (ACRE-FEET) 77 28 Municipal 1006 1006 Manufacturing 0 Irrigation 303 0 0 Steam Electric Power 303 Livestock 0 2876 3953 Mining 2070 2020 YOUR AVAILABLE WATER SUPPLY 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 TOTAL DEVELOPED SUPPLY TOTAL UNDEVELOPED SUPPLY TOTAL DEMAND YOUR WATER USER GROUPS WITH IDENTIFIED NEEDS Chandler WMS - Municipal Conservation, Purchase Additional Supply from Tyler Moore Station WSC WMS - Municipal Conservation, Purchase Additional Supply from Tyler Manufacturing No Water Shortage Identified Irrigation No Water Shortage Identified Steam Electric Power No Demand Projected Livestock No Water Shortage Identified Mining No Demand Projected - Additional Wells in Carrizo-Wilcox Aquifer EAST TEXAS REGIONAL WATER PLANNING AREA LAST UPDATED: 11/06/2019 DRAFT 2021 COUNTY SUMMARY SHEET

County Projections Review Nacogdoches County  Steady population growth  Primary water uses are municipal and livestock  Projected demand approximately equal to developed supply  WUGs identified with needs: Cushing, D&M WSC, Livestock, and Mining  Strategies include municipal conservation, additional wells in Carrizo Aquifer, purchase additional water from ANRA 13 13 PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK 14 14 7

NACOGDOCHES COUNTY YOUR WATER DEPENDENT ECONOMY: YOUR WATER SOURCE(S): Agriculture Groundwater Wells Carrizo-Wilcox Aquifer Education Lake Nacogdoches Queen City Aquifer Livestock Local Supplies Sparta Aquifer Timber Neches River Yegua-Jackson Aquifer YOUR COUNTY POPULATION PROJECTIONS 150,000 TWDB Population Projections 100,000 50,000 0 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 YOUR COUNTY WATER USE (ACRE-FEET) 707 Municipal 7000 Manufacturing 11586 12836 Irrigation Steam Electric Power 18102 Livestock 0 Mining 9693 2508 266 2070 2020 266 0 2529 YOUR AVAILABLE WATER SUPPLY 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 TOTAL DEVELOPED SUPPLY TOTAL UNDEVELOPED SUPPLY TOTAL DEMAND YOUR WATER USER GROUPS WITH IDENTIFIED NEEDS Cushing No 2016 WMS Recommended Water Shortage Identified, WMS - Additional Wells in Carrizo Aquifer D&M WSC WMS - Additional Wells in Carrizo Aquifer Manufacturing No Water Shortage Identified Irrigation No Water Shortage Identified Steam Electric Power No Demand Projected Livestock Water Shortage Identified, WMS - Additional Wells in Carrizo Aquifer Mining Water Shortage Identified, WMS - Purchase Additional Supply from ANRA EAST TEXAS REGIONAL WATER PLANNING AREA LAST UPDATED: 11/06/2019 DRAFT 2021 COUNTY SUMMARY SHEET

County Projections Review Orange County  Steady population growth  Primary water uses are manufacturing and municipal  Almost all supply is developed  Total developed supply significantly exceeds demands  Irrigation users identified with needs, strategy to purchase supply from SRA 15 15 PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK 16 16 8

ORANGE COUNTY YOUR WATER DEPENDENT ECONOMY: YOUR WATER SOURCE(S): Industry Direct Reuse Neches River Recreation Groundwater Wells Sabine River Timber Local Supplies Gulf Coast Aquifer YOUR COUNTY POPULATION PROJECTIONS 100,000 TWDB Population 95,000 Projections 90,000 85,000 80,000 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 YOUR COUNTY WATER USE (ACRE-FEET) 4298255 4298255 309 9712 327 10186 Municipal 1824 1824 Manufacturing Irrigation Steam Electric Power Livestock Mining 2070 2020 44335 48193 YOUR AVAILABLE WATER SUPPLY 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 TOTAL DEVELOPED SUPPLY TOTAL UNDEVELOPED SUPPLY TOTAL DEMAND YOUR WATER USER GROUPS WITH IDENTIFIED NEEDS Manufacturing No Water Shortage Identified Irrigation Water Shortage Identified, WMS - Purchase Additional Supply from SRA Steam Electric Power No Water Shortage Identified Livestock No Water Shortage Identified Mining No Water Shortage Identified EAST TEXAS REGIONAL WATER PLANNING AREA LAST UPDATED: 11/06/2019 DRAFT 2021 COUNTY SUMMARY SHEET

County Projections Review Rusk County  Increasing population growth  Primary water uses are steam electric power and municipal  Total demand exceeds total supply  Multiple users identified with needs  Strategies to develop groundwater supplies in Carrizo-Wilcox for Jacobs WSC, Wright City WSC, and Livestock  Strategies to purchase from ANRA (mining) or SRA (SEP) 17 17 PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK 18 18 9