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Referential scales and differential case marking: A study using hierarchical models in Bayesian phylogenetics Gerhard Jger Tbingen University 13th Conference of the Association for Linguistic Typology Pavia, September 4, 2019 Case


  1. Referential scales and differential case marking: A study using hierarchical models in Bayesian phylogenetics Gerhard Jäger Tübingen University 13th Conference of the Association for Linguistic Typology Pavia, September 4, 2019

  2. Case alignment systems 1 / 31

  3. Universal syntactic-semantic primitives • three universal core roles S: intransitive subject A: transitive subject O: transitive object 2 / 31

  4. Alignment systems Accusative Latin system Puer puellam vidit. S boy.NOM girl.ACC saw 'The boy saw the girl.' A Puer venit. O boy.NOM came 'The boy came.' accusative nominative 3 / 31

  5. Alignment systems Ergative Dyirbal system ŋ uma yabu- ŋ gu bura-n. S father mother.ERG see-NONFUT 'The mother saw the father.' O A ŋ uma banaga-nu. boy.NOM came 'The boy came.' nominative (absolutive) ergative 4 / 31

  6. Alignment systems Neutral Mandarin system rén lái le. S person come CRS 'The person has come.' O A zh ā ngs ā n mà l ĭ sì le ma. Zhangsan scold Lisi CRS Q 'Did Zhangsan scold Lisi?' nominative 5 / 31

  7. Differential case marking • many languages have mixed systems • e.g., some NPs have accusative and some have neutral paradigm, such as Hebrew (1) Ha-seret her?a ?et-ha-milxama the-movie showed acc-the-war ‘The movie showed the war.’ (2) Ha-seret her?a (*?et-)milxama the-movie showed (*acc-)war ‘The movie showed a war’ (from Aissen, 2003) 6 / 31

  8. Differential case marking 7 / 31

  9. Functional explanation? probability P(syntactic role | prominence of NP) 8 / 31

  10. A note on terminology A is prominent A is non-prominent O is prominent O is non-prominent e(rgative) e(rgative) a(ccusative) a(ccusative) e e a z(ero) e e z a e e z z e z a a · · · · · · · · · · · · z e z z z z a a z z a z z z z a z z z z 9 / 31

  11. A note on terminology actually attested: 1 zzzz : no case marking 2 zzaa : non-differential object marking 3 zzaz : harmonic differential object marking 4 ezzz : non-differential subject marking 5 zeaz : split ergative 6 eeaz : non-differential subject marking plus differential object marking 7 ezzz : dis-harmonic differential subject marking 8 zezz : harmonic differential subject marking 9 zeaa : harmonic differential subject marking plus non-differential object marking 10 zzza : dis-harmonic differential object marking 10 / 31

  12. Differential case marking and referential scales • received wisdom (Silverstein, 1976; Comrie, 1981; Aissen, 2003, , inter alia ): • if object-marking is differential, upper segments of a referential hierarchy receive accusative marking • if object-marking is differential, lower segments of a referential hierarchy receive accusative marking • Bickel et al. (2015): • large differences between macro-areas • no universal effects of referential scales on differential case marking 11 / 31

  13. Empirical distribution 12 / 31

  14. Bickel et al.’s (2015) sample • genetically diverse sample of 460 case marking systems • used here: 368 systems • one system per language • only languages with ISO code • only languages present in ASJP • 2 out of 333 systems (99 . 4 % ) are obey the Silverstein hierarchy (not counting inconsistent states) 13 / 31

  15. • differential object marking concentrated in Eurasia • diffential subject marking concentrated in Sahul • only cases of anti-DOM and anti-DSM (one instance of each) in North America 14 / 31

  16. Phylogenetic non-independence • languages are phylogenetically structured • if two closely related languages display the same pattern, these are not two independent data points ⇒ we need to control for phylogenetic dependencies 15 / 31

  17. Phylogenetic non-independence 16 / 31

  18. Phylogenetic non-independence Maslova (2000): “If the A-distribution for a given typology cannot be as- sumed to be stationary, a distributional universal cannot be discovered on the basis of purely synchronic statistical data.” “In this case, the only way to discover a distributional universal is to estimate transition probabilities and as it were to ‘predict’ the stationary distribution on the basis of the equations in (1).” 17 / 31

  19. The phylogenetic comparative method 18 / 31

  20. Modeling language change Markov process 19 / 31

  21. Modeling language change Markov process Phylogeny 19 / 31

  22. Modeling language change Markov process Phylogeny Branching process 19 / 31

  23. Estimating rates of change • if phylogeny and states of extant languages are known... 20 / 31

  24. Estimating rates of change • if phylogeny and states of extant languages are known... • ... transition rates and ancestral states can be estimated based on Markov model 20 / 31

  25. Cases in equilibrium 21 / 31

  26. Phylogenetic trees for the case data • 39 families and 63 isolates in the intersection of the Autotyp data and ASJP (Wichmann et al., 2018) • for each of these families, I inferred a posterior distribution of 1,000 trees (using lexical data from ASJP) to reflect uncertainty in tree structure and branch length • Glottolog tree was used as constraint tree 22 / 31

  27. Phylogenetic trees for the case data 23 / 31

  28. Hierarchical Bayesian models CTMC 1 CTMC 2 CTMC 3 CTMC 4 CTMC data 1 data 2 data 3 data 4 data 1 data 2 data 3 data 4 trees 1 trees 2 trees 3 trees 4 trees 1 trees 2 trees 3 trees 4 area-speci fi c universal 24 / 31

  29. Hierarchical Bayesian models hyper-parameter CTMC 1 CTMC 2 CTMC 3 CTMC 4 CTMC CTMC 1 CTMC 2 CTMC 3 CTMC 4 data 1 data 2 data 3 data 4 data 1 data 2 data 3 data 4 data 1 data 2 data 3 data 4 trees 1 trees 2 trees 3 trees 4 trees 1 trees 2 trees 3 trees 4 trees 1 trees 2 trees 3 trees 4 area-speci fi c universal hierarchical 24 / 31

  30. Hierarchical Models to capture areal effects hyper-parameter • each macro-area has its own parameters • parameters are all drawn from the same CTMC 1 CTMC 2 CTMC 3 CTMC 4 distribution f • shape of f is learned from the data • prior assumption that there is little data 1 data 2 data 3 data 4 cross-area variation → can be overwritten by the data trees 1 trees 2 trees 3 trees 4 25 / 31

  31. Hierarchical Models to capture areal effects hyper-parameter • each macro-area has its own parameters • parameters are all drawn from the same CTMC 1 CTMC 2 CTMC 3 CTMC 4 distribution f • shape of f is learned from the data • prior assumption that there is little data 1 data 2 data 3 data 4 cross-area variation → can be overwritten by the data trees 1 trees 2 trees 3 trees 4 • enables information flow across areas 25 / 31

  32. What about isolates? • Continuous Time Markov Chain defines a unique equilibrium distribution • hierarchical model assumes a different CTMC, and thus a different equilibrium distribution for each lineage • by modeling assumption, root state of a lineage is drawn from this distribution (Uniformity Principle) • isolates are treated as families of size 1, i.e., they are drawn from their equilibrium distribution 26 / 31

  33. Results 27 / 31

  34. Estimated transitions 28 / 31

  35. Estimated equilibrium distributions zzzz zzaz eezz zzaa Africa zeaz eeaz ezzz zezz zeaa zzza posterior prediction 0.2 0.4 0.6 zzzz zzaz eezz zzzz zzaa Americas zeaz zzaz eeaz ezzz eezz zezz zeaa zzaa zzza 0.2 0.4 0.6 zeaz eeaz zzzz ezzz zzaz eezz zezz zzaa Eurasia zeaz zeaa eeaz ezzz zzza zezz zeaa 0.2 0.4 0.6 zzza 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 zzzz zzaz eezz zzaa Sahul zeaz eeaz ezzz zezz zeaa zzza 0.2 0.4 0.6 29 / 31

  36. Preference for scale-respecting differential case marking di ff erential object marking di ff erential subject marking • strength of preference of DOM over anti-DOM: log P ( .. az ) P ( .. za ) • DSM over anti-DSM: log P ( ze .. ) P ( ez .. ) strength of preference 30 / 31

  37. Conclusion • considerable variation between macroareas concerning the dynamic process governing the diachrony of alignment systems, and the resulting long-term averages • still, consistent preference for DOM/DSM over anti-DOM/DSM 31 / 31

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