REBEKAH FINE AND CORINNE PARENTI DECEMBER 2018 STATISTICAL ANALYSIS - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

REBEKAH FINE AND CORINNE PARENTI DECEMBER 2018 STATISTICAL ANALYSIS - POLICE DATA 2007-2017

2 RESEARCH QUESTIONS: ‣ Did the number of arrests for Israelis from Ethiopian origin change during the years 2007 - 2017? ‣ Does the data reveal a possible “discrimination” by the police against Israelis from Ethiopian origin?

3 TOUGHER POLICE OR SIGN OF DISCRIMINATION Number of cases opened on Individuals from Ethiopian Origin for Attacks on Police (by year) 700 608 600 593 575 544 531 499 489 450 419 419 383 352 325 200 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

4 ANALYSIS BY CITIES - ATTACKS ON POLICE Rate of change between 2007-2015 and 2015-2017 average yearly number of cases for Ethiopians and all Jews 1.4 Ethiopians All Jews 1.05 0.7 0.35 0 -0.35 Israel Beit Shemesh Ashdod Bat Yam Jerusalem Petach Tikva Lod Beer Sheva Kiriat Melachim Kiriat Gad Haifa Rishon Ramle Tel Avi Ashkelon Rechovot Hadera Netanya

5 ACTUAL AND EXPECTED NUMBER OF CASES AGAINST ETHIOPIAN ATTACKS ON POLICE

6 ANALYSIS BY CITIES - ALL CRIMES Rate of change between 2007-2015 and 2015-2017 average yearly number of cases for Ethiopians and all Jews 0.7 Ethiopians All Jews 0.525 0.35 0.175 0 -0.175 -0.35 All Tel Aviv Rishon Netanya Rechovot Holon Petach Tikva Ashdod Haifa Jerusalem Beer Sheva Ashkelon Hadera Beit Shemesh Ramle Bat Yam Kiriat Melachim Lod Kiriat Gad

7 PRELIMINARY FINDINGS ‣ After 2014, the number of cases opened against Ethiopians increased by more than 25% for “Attack on Police” and by 20% for all crimes ‣ The increase in the number of cases filed after 2015, cannot be fully explained by a change in demographics among the Ethiopian population ‣ The increase in the number of cases filed after 2015, cannot also be explained by a change in police “productivity” that would have had similar e ff ects on the Ethiopians and Non- Ethiopians ‣ Some cities seem to have more discriminatory policies against Ethiopians than other. The worst are Beit Shemesh, Bat Yam, Lod, Ashdod, and Haifa. The best are Ashkelon and Netanya

8 FURTHER RESEARCH ▸ Analysis of all types of crime ▸ Correcting for possible bias: age, gender, education, income across the Israeli-Ethiopians and other Jews at the national and city level to make results statistically stronger