Practical planning for Fall re-opening This Document is current only as of June 25, 2020 This Document is Solely Intended to Provide Insights and Best Practices for the Client – This Document does not Constitute Client Advice
Agenda Topic and description Time Introduction and overview of the 3 webinars 5 mins 1 Lessons learned from international school re-openings 20 mins 2 Takeaways on health and safety protocol, resurgence, and case studies on Israel and Denmark Solving capacity constraints and building a schedule for the “new normal” 35 mins 3 Revisiting CFC’s 100 day workplan Reviewing constraints to in-person learning, with options to expand physical capacity, teaching and scheduling 2
Today’s presenters Julia Rafal-Baer Pete Gorman Jimmy Sarakatsannis Chief Operating Officer, Chief in Residence, Partner, Chiefs for Change Chiefs for Change McKinsey & Company Leah Pollack Samvitha Ram Partner, Engagement Manger, McKinsey & Company McKinsey & Company 3
Today is the first in a series of webinars on Fall re-opening Today’s webinar Thursday, July 9 Thursday, July 23 4.30 – 5.30p ET 4.30 – 5.30p ET Practical planning for Fall re- Testing your re-opening How to monitor and evaluate opening preparedness Discussion of operational planning for Guidance on critical academic and Overview of organizational structures a successful fall re-opening, with a operational questions to solve for and operating processes needed to focus on: successful fall re-opening, including respond nimbly to changing Lessons learned from the first few how to stress-test your own planning conditions and the needs of students, to identify key potential constraints or teachers and broader system over months of reopening in the next 6 – 18 months failure points international school systems “How to reopen” – physical capacity constraints and scheduling practicalities for the Fall 4
Lessons learned from international school re-openings Contents Solving capacity constraints and building a schedule for the “new normal” 5
Overview: lessons learned from international school re-openings 1 2 3 Many countries are now starting In all re-opening cases, schools have Most countries are maintaining to re-open their schools, in had to adjust to new norms and their previous case-count addition to other social venues settings trends, even after school re- opening 4 5 Broad stakeholder engagement Identifying and planning for future and on-going early scenarios (e.g., localized outbreak) communications on guidelines also form an essential part of re-open are critical for successful reopen planning 6
Current as of June 17 th 1: Many countries are beginning to reopen K-12 schools Many countries are using a staged approach to reopening schools, and providing specific health guidelines NON-EXHAUSTIVE LIST OF EXAMPLES (Re)-Open National closure Localized closure/reopen Schools that stayed open Belarus Nicaragua Sweden 2 Burundi Taiwan 1 Cabo Verde Kiribati Tajikistan Nauru Turkmenistan Schools 3 that recently reopened (fully or partially) Vietnam 8 (April 20) Japan (Localized from 1 st Australia (May 11) wk of April) Madagascar (April 22) France (May 11) China 4 – (April 27) Cook Islands (April 2) Iceland (May 11) Marshall Islands (Apr 6) Svalbard (April 27) Netherlands (May 11) Greenland (April 14) Germany Seychelles (May 11) Tonga (April 14) (Last wk. of April) Switzerland (May 11) Vanuatu (April 14-20) New-Zealand (Apr end) South Korea (May 20) Israel 5 (1 st week of May) Denmark Cyprus (May 21) Country-wide school closures 1.2bn 144 (Primary from Apr 15) Austria 6 (May 4) United Kingdom (June 1) Faroe Island (April 20) Papua New Guinea (May 5) Children affected Norway (Primary Apr 20) 1. Holidays extended by a few weeks but no formal closure 2. Primary/ secondary schools opened as of April 16; yet, closed for students >16y, 3. At least one level at the national scale 4. Although very few schools in selected regions opened March end 5. Special education schools reopened on April 21 6. For graduating classes only, all compulsory classes May 18th Source: UNESCO; UNICEF; press search 7
Current as of June 17 th 2: Where schools are re-opening for in-person learning, the school setting has been modified for safety Denmark China Norway Taiwan South Africa Israel Headline Opened schools China has Opened April 27 Never fully closed, Reopening schools Phased reopening after April 15 for gradually for grades 1-4 with local and in June with phased a new wave of cases, children to age 12 reopened since temporary approach starting starting with grades 1-3 with 7 th and 12 th March closures as then 11 and 12. needed graders Health Temp checks Twice a day Temperature checks either at home or at entry procedures Staggered arrival Gloves provided to Handwashing students and teachers guidance Mask requirement Reduction in 50% 60% Maximum class Initially enforced limits on Capacity size 15 for Grades class sizes and Classroom size and 1-4, 20 for Grades staggering of classes. 5-7. Limitations were lifted on operational May 17, 100% return changes Physical dividers Not all schools Reduced school Increased cleaning of Increased cleaning of Increased cleaning of buses buses buses bus capacity 100% student return in phase 1 Note: summary is based on national guidelines; there may be school-to-school variation within a country Source: Learning Policy Institute; country government websites 8
Current as of June 17 th 3. Most countries are maintaining their previous case-count trends after school re-opening For many countries that have reopened schools, there has not been a significant resurgence in cases and trend pre- reopening has mirrored trend post- reopening. However, there have been a few notable exceptions such as Madagascar, South Korea, and Israel. It is difficult to isolate the effects of school reopening and there may be other confounding variables on a local level. Further, more time is needed to fully assess these effects given time and reporting lags in the data. Days since school reopened Note: Graph and data from CGD website Source: Center for Global Development, “Back to School: An Update on COVID Cases as Schools Reopen” 9
Current as of June 17 th 4: A case of two countries: Israel and Denmark ILLUSTRATIVE GRAPHS Schools partially open Schools open Schools closed Daily # of new cases Opening announced Number of daily new cases (per million of population; Number of daily new cases (per million of 7 day rolling average) and school status population; 7 day rolling average) and school status Israel Denmark New cases/million New cases/million 90 72 80 64 70 56 Closure of 100 60 48 schools and kindergartens after 50 40 confirming new cases 40 32 30 24 20 16 10 8 0 0 10 Feb 14 Feb 18 Feb 22 Feb 26 Feb 1 Mar 5 Mar 9 Mar 13 Mar 17 Mar 21 Mar 25 Mar 29 Mar 2 Apr 6 Apr 10 Apr 14 Apr 18 Apr 22 Apr 26 Apr 30 Apr 4 May 8 May 12 <ay 16 May 20 May 24 May 28 May 1 Jun 5 Jun 9 Jun 13 Jun 17 Jun 10 Feb 14 Feb 18 Feb 22 Feb 26 Feb 1 Mar 5 Mar 9 Mar 13 Mar 17 Mar 21 Mar 25 Mar 29 Mar 2 Apr 6 Apr 10 Apr 14 Apr 18 Apr 22 Apr 26 Apr 30 Apr 4 May 8 May 12 <ay 16 May 20 May 24 May 28 May 1 Jun 5 Jun 9 Jun 13 Jun 17 Jun Source: Insights for Education (education.org), June 17 2020 10
Current as of June 20 th 4: As Israel reopened schools, there were challenges with policy changes and limited comms Description of Israel’s reopening Dimension Guideline Education department released macro level guidance (mandatory masks, 15 students per class) strategy and Underlying it all is that timeline Re-opening was rushed (days notice), began with younger grades, but quickly expanded there was no policy – Guidelines were changed frequently, with no time to adjust or implement (e.g. masks the government wanted mandatory in class, masks only mandatory in hallway, masks not mandatory) the economy to go back No support or guidelines were given on how to adjust physical infrastructure or staffing needs. Capacity and to work so they just Schools were left to seek out extra classrooms or decide independently to shift to staggered resources opened schools at a school schedule to accommodate two-day notice and let Large schools found it harder to maintain majority of distancing guidelines us figure it out Responsibility Government guidelines felt difficult to enforce; each principal determined rules for their school and Principal of small size Students admitted to school with slip from parents confirming temperature, symptom, and enforcement exposure check completed at home, removing responsibility from schools secondary school Mandatory education law not enforced in scenario where parents chose not send children to school, and were not provided with alternative options Additional Extreme heat led to country-wide relaxation for limited period of mask requirement; schools then faced difficulty re-enforcing these policies factors Social guidelines contradicted school guidelines, e.g. public buses with 50 people, large social events allowed Source: Expert interviews, press search 11
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