For additional information contact: Grant Davey Thankyou Panda Hill Niobium Cradle Definitive Feasibility Study – Panda Hill Managing Director E: admin@cradleresources.com.au Investor Update April 2016 T +61 8 9389 2000 Project
Panda Hill Overview Panda Hill Project Panda Hill Overview Cradle owns 50% of the Panda Hill Project Panda Hill Niobium Deposit Single Open Pit Operation Mining 72Mt at 0.54% Nb over 30 years Producing 1.3Mtpa ramping up to 2.6Mtpa after 4 th year of production Mining Licence and Environmental Licences are in place Panda Hill is located in Mbeya region in South Western Tanzania • 680km west of capital Dar es Salaam • Tanzania has a well-established mining industry and culture Panda Hill Proximity to Infrastructure • Panda Hill deposit is covered by three Mining Licenses • Title of these licenses extended to 16 Nov 2026 Excellent local infrastructure • TAZARA Rail line (2km away) • Dar es Salaam – Tunduma Highway (5km away) • Songwe Airport (8km away) • Major power infrastructure in Mbeya (26km away) • 26km from industrial city Mbeya 2
Panda Hill Overview Panda Hill Project DFS Results Panda Hill will be the worlds next Niobium mine due to robust economics DFS Overview Panda Hill Operations • NPV 8 US$542M (post tax) • LOM average EBITDA of US$112Mpa • 4.75 year pay back • Initial capital expenditure of US$196M (expansion US$93m in year 4 to increase capacity from 1.3Mtpa to 2.6Mtpa) • LOM of 30+ years • LOM Average Niobium price of US$41.89/kg DFS results demonstrated • NPV 8 US$542M (post tax) • NPV 10 US$404M (post tax) • IRR 27% (post tax) • LOM C1 US$18.30/kg • LOM Total Opex US$21.34/kg Panda Hill Resource Panda Hill 2015 Resource Reported Above a 0.3% Nb 2 O 5 Lower Cut-off Combined Carbonatite Classification Million Tonnes Nb 2 O 5 % Nb 2 O 5 Content (KT) Measured 16 0.63 9 Indicated 53 0.50 263 Inferred 109 0.48 528 Total 178 0.50 891 3
Panda Hill Overview Compelling Economics Low Capex, strong margin & long life generates compelling economics and returns with significant leverage to positive niobium outlook Project Free Cashflow Running NPV 10 (100% basis ungeared) Peak NPV10 1000 150 3,000 ~US$898m 900 Cumulativer Cashflow (US$M) 100 2,000 800 Cashflow (US$M) 700 50 1,000 600 US$M - - 500 400 (50) (1,000) 300 Cashflow Cumulative Cashflow 200 (100) (2,000) 100 (150) (3,000) 0 FY2016 FY2018 FY2020 FY2022 FY2024 FY2026 FY2028 FY2030 FY2032 FY2034 FY2036 FY2038 FY2040 FY2042 FY2044 FY2046 FY2048 FY2016 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025 FY2026 FY2028 FY2029 FY2030 FY2031 FY2033 FY2034 FY2035 FY2036 FY2038 FY2039 FY2040 FY2041 FY2043 FY2044 FY2045 FY2046 FY2048 Assumed Case NPV & IRR Sensitivity to LT Niobium Price (Management Case) Niobium Price (US/kg Nb) 38 40 42 44 46 Ungeared NPV 10 (post-tax) 282 343 404 465 526 Project IRR (post-tax) 23% 25% 27% 30% 32% 4
Panda Hill Overview Panda Hill Project Capital Cost Low capital costs due to favourable metallurgy & existing infrastructure, making Panda Hill extremely capital efficient vs. other undeveloped niobium deposits Capital Costs Summary Capital Intensity vs. Other Undeveloped Deposits (US$/t annual Nb Production) Item US$m % Summary Project Capital Costs 165.2 84% Pre Production 30.5 16% $122,533 Total 195.6 100% Project Capital Costs Mining 3.1 2% Plant 75.4 46% Infrastructure 7.8 5% $96,667 TSF & Water 42.5 26% In-directs 4.2 3% Management Costs 14.3 9% Subtotal 147.3 90% Project Contingency 17.8 10% Project Escalation 0.0 0% Total 165.2 100% Pre-Production First Fills 2.7 9% Spares 1.9 6% $37,615 Owners 4.7 15% Pre Production 15.0 50% Prison Relocation 6.2 20% Total 30.5 100% 1. Figures have been rounded 2. Peak Working Capital is estimated at US$8.7M 1 Elk Creep (NioCorp) Aley (Taseko) Panda Hill (Cradle) 5 1. Production based on average LOM
Panda Hill Overview Panda Hill Project DFS Parameters DFS Demonstrates a Highly Economic Project Initial 10 years mining predominantly in the higher grade Angel Panda Hill Ore Body Zone of exclusively Measured and Indicated Resources Key production figures for first 10 years: • Average grade: 0.68% Nb 2 O 5 • Average recovery: 61% • Strip ratio: 2.5 to 1 Key production figures for Life Of Mine: • Average grade: 0.54% Nb 2 O 5 • Average recovery: 61% • Strip ratio: 1.5 to 1 Mining Study: • SRK performed the pit optimisation using Whittle based on the following parameters • LOM Average Niobium price of US$44/kg • Processing cost US$22.5 to US$23.3/tonne (depending on material type) • Processing recoveries of 55% to 68% (depending on material type) • Average LOM mining cost • $11.35/t ore ($4.42/t TMM) • Pit wall angles of bench-stack pit slope angles of 46° and 49° for weathered domains and 55° for fresh material domains • 30 year mine life 6
Panda Hill Overview Robust Operating Costs Operating costs are predominately mining & processing and provide a robust margin relative to long term niobium price LOM Production Cost Breakdown Mine Site Cash Costs US$/kg Nb US$/kg Nb 50 25.00 Assumed Long term Niobium Price 45 US$42/kg Nb 40 20.00 $3.03/kg Average Niobium Price over Last 5 Years US$41/kg Nb 35 $1.67/kg It is widely accepted in the industry that CBMM 30 is the lowest cost producer given its enhanced 15.00 scale & grade, although does not publicly release any financial information 25 $11.62/kg $21.34/kg 20 10.00 $18.30/kg 15 $22.00/kg $21.96/kg 10 5.00 $18.30/kg $15.00/kg 5 $5.01/kg 0 0.00 Mining Processing General & Mine Site Transport, Total Cash Niobec Catalão Panda Hill LOM Panda Hill Yrs 1-4 Admin Cash Cost Marketing & Cost (Magris) (AngloAmerican) (Cradle) (1.3Mtpa) Royalties (Cradle) 7
Panda Hill Overview Processing Development Design based on successful existing operational Niobium processing Process Plant Design and Flowsheet facilities • Based on extensive testwork undertaken at SGS Canada, including 3 • The flotation process is similar to Niobec piloting campaigns • • The concentrate leach is similar to Catalao Expandable plant designed ramping up from 1.3Mtpa to 2.6Mtpa after 4 th year of production • Final step in the conversion process is similar to CBMM Panda Hill Flow Sheet 8
Panda Hill Overview Geology Significant Resource Upside Carbonatite Boundary • Total Carbonatite Mineral Resource of 178Mt at 0.50% Niobium • Only ~40% of the area of the carbonatite has been properly drill-tested • Mineralisation open in all directions • Exploration upside potential for remaining untested 60% of carbonatite contained with 22.1km 2 of mining licenses • Represents long asset life in a growing market positioning Panda Hill to become a long term producer of Niobium Carbonatite Boundary 9
Niobium Overview Stable Pricing Niobium has a history of stable prices given increasing underlying demand and supply responsibility Niobium Price History (Average annual value of ferroniobium imports, US$/kg) Between 2006 and 2008 there was a significant increase in prices, instigated by CBMM to address the structural under-valuing of ferroniobium. The market accepted the increase and stability has been retained at the higher level. 42.9 42.8 41.1 41.1 40.8 37.2 37 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 10
Niobium Overview Global Demand for Niobium Demand has steadily increased since 2000 and is forecast to grow at ~3.0% p.a. Global Ferroniobium Demand Forecast (kt FeNb) 160.0 The amount of Nb used per tonne of steel (Niobium Intensity) has been steadily CAGR 140.0 4.1% increasing as Nb steel represents the high quality, new-age end of the steel market. 120.0 3.0% 100.0 1.5% 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Base Demand Demand Growth (Expected Steel Growth) Demand Growth (Normal Nb Intensity increase) Demand Growth (Increased China Nb Intensity to 60g/t) 11
Project Development Where to from here? Next Steps Finalise offtake agreements Secure debt financing Value engineering to look at cost reduction opportunities Front end engineering and design on critical items to reduce the construction period Construction permitting processes Procurement of some long lead items Early site establishment from the main site based contractor Formal decision to Mine Q4 CY2016 12
Recommend
More recommend
