PAKISTAN PV MARKET OUTLOOK BY SOLAR QUALITY FOUNDATION
SOLAR POWER THE GREEN BRIDGE BETWEEN PAKISTAN, GERMANY & AFGHANISTAN
SOLAR QUALITY FOUNDATION PAKISTAN More than 200 Members Only Voice of Pakistan Solar Energy Industry Focused on protecting, promoting use of Solar Energy, Energy Efficiency and working on standardization for Manufacturing & Import of Solar System Components. Active Role in smoothening Tax Matters on Solar Products Covering all Major Solar Companies under One Roof Seeking and Providing International Cooperation with Similar Formation Organizing Training Session, Dialogues, Publications, meetings, Seminars and Conferences to create awareness amongst masses for use of Renewable Energies.
SIGNING MOU BSW & SQF
Pakistan Installed Generation Capacity Sr. # Description Installed Capacity (MW) Percentage (%) 48 1 IPPs Thermal 13,595 24 2 WAPDA Hydro 6,902 17 3 GENCOs Thermal 4,837 4.7 4 Nuclear 1,345 3 5 Wind 787 1 6 Solar 400 1.3 7 IPPs Hydro 345 1 8 Bagasse 272 Total 28,483 100% 7
16,000 60 13,595 Engery production In Pakistan, 2017 14,000 50 12,000 40 10,000 8,000 30 6,902 6,000 4,837 20 4,000 10 1,345 2,000 787 400 345 272 0 0 IPPs Thermal WAPDA Hydro GENCOs Thermal Nuclear Wind Solar IPPs Hydro Bagasse Installed Capacity (MW) Percentage (%)
SUPPLY DEMND JUNE 17 Peak Demand (PMS) - NTDC 24,138 Peak Generation - NPCC 19,016 Plants on scheduled Peak Shortfall -5,122 outage Expected Total Demand (Received from 22,944 GENCO Plants DISCOs) - NPCC 131 Available Generation IPP Plants 158 Wapda Hydel 5,073 IPP Small Units GENCOs 3,720 Total Scheduled Outage 289 IPPs 9,610 New Generation Total Firm Generation 18,403 Sahiwal 600 Unforeseen Outage (IPPs 6% & GENCOs 949 C-4 105 10%) Total 705 Net available firm generation 17,454 Shortfall/surplus -5,490 High loss areas load management 1,400 Shortfall to be managed through scheduled load shedding -4,090
OPPORTUNITIES IN PAKISTAN Pakistan is located in Some of the World’s Highest Solar Irradiation Areas. Pakistan has 1700 to 2200 Hours of Sunshine Per Year Irradiation in Pakistan up to 2000 kWh/m2/Yr Days of Sunshine / Year = 320+ Region wise Irradiation Level in Pakistan
PV DISTRIBUTED GENERATION • SMALL & MEDIUM SCALE INSTALLATION • EASILY EXPANDABLE • LOW & SECURE INVESTMENT • LITTLE OR NO MAINTENACE • LONG LIFE EQUIPMENT • HIGHLY PROFITABLE • REDUCE UTILITY LINE LOSSES • REDUCES MAINTENANCE AND AUGUMENTATION COST OF UTILITY SYSTEM • PUBLIC INVESTMENT RATHER UTILITY FINANCE
SOLAR MARKET SEGMENTATION IN PAKISTAN Domestic Roof Top Installation – Net Metering Triggered Small Solar Home Systems for Off-Grid Rural Communities Commercial (Hospitals, Super Markets, Gas Stations, Universities and Schools and Other Commercial Entities) Banks – More Than 12000 Branches - Conversion on Grid Tied and Hybrid Solar Systems, ATMs Industrial Grid Tied Installations Agricultural Tube Wells – More than 1.2 Million existing tube wells (approx 1 Milion on Diesel, approx 0.2 Million on Grid Electricity) Solar LED Street Lights and Traffic Signals Telecom BTS Sites Solar PV IPPs
PAY BACK PERIOD FOR SOLAR POWER PLANTS PAY BACK PERIOD FOR SOLAR POWER PLANT IN PAKISTAN IS LESS THAN FIVE YEARS
TEXTILE SECTOR 50% VALUE ADDITION IS COST OF CEMENT SECTOR 50% VALUE ADDITION IS COST OF ELECTRICTY ELECTRICTY PAPER INDUSTRY 50% VALUE ADDITION IS COST OF FOOD INDUSTRY 50% VALUE ADDITION IS COST OF ELECTRICTY ELECTRICTY
POLICY FOR SOLAR POWER TARIFF The Authority hereby approves and directs the relevant agencies to carry out competitive bidding for award of tariff to new solar PV power projects in the country under the NEPRA's Competitive Bidding (Approval & Procedure) Regulations 2014.
LIST OF LETTER OF INTENT HOLDERS FOR SOLAR POWER PLANTS Company Name Capacity, MW Area , Location 1 M/s Access Solar Pvt. Ltd. 11.52 Pind Dadan Khan, Punjab 2 M/s Bukhsh Solar (Pvt.) Ltd. 10 Dharanwala, District Bahawalnager, Punjab 3 M/s Integrated Power Solution 50 Nooriabad, Sindh 4 M/s Jafri & Associates 50 Nooriabad, Sindh 5 M/s Solar Blue Pvt. Ltd. 50 Nooriabad, Sindh 6 M/s Safe Solar Power Pvt. Ltd 10 Bahawalnager, Punjab 7 M/s Access Electric Pvt. Ltd. 10 Pind Dadan Khan, Punjab 8 M/s R.E. Solar I Pvt. Ltd. 20 Dadu, Sindh 9 M/s R.E. Solar II Pvt. Ltd. 20 Dadu, Sindh 10 M/s Jan Solar (Pvt.) Ltd. 10 Sultanabad, District Rahim Yar Khan, Punjab
LIST OF LETTER OF INTENT HOLDERS FOR SOLAR POWER PLANTS (MW) (CONTINUED) Company Name Capacity, MW Area , Location 12 M/s Blue Star Hydel Pvt. Ltd. 1 Pind Dadan Khan, District Jehlum, Punjab 13 M/s Blue Star Electric Pvt. Ltd. 1 Pind Dadan Khan, District Jehlum, Punjab 14 M/s Siddiqsons Energy Karachi 50 Chakwal, Punjab 15 M/s Harappa Solar (Pvt.) Ltd. 18 Harappa, District Sahiwal, Punjab 16 M/s AJ Power (Pvt.) Ltd. 12 Adhi Kot, District Khushab, Punjab 17 M/s ET Solar (Pvt.) Ltd. 50 Fateh Jhang Road, District Attock, Punjab 18 M/s ET Solar (Pvt.) Ltd. 25 Gharo, Thatta, Sindh 19 M/s Act Solar (Pvt.) Ltd. 50 Sindh Province 20 M/s Asia Petroleum Ltd. 30 Punjab Province 21 M/s First Solar (Pvt.) Ltd. 2 Makhayal, Kalarkahar, District Chakwal, Punjab
SOLAR ENERGY MIX – WAY FORWARD The Proportion of renewable s can be addressed as follow: Installed capacity 5 years as per Planned Generation for Pakistan as per NTDC is nearly = 51000 MW Planned Renewables are nearly = 5867 MW = 11.5% of the installed The Conclusion in the Draft Final Report gives clearance to 9282 MW until year 2022 which is about 18.2% of the planned installed capacity
PLAN FOR EVACUATION OF POWER 2016 – 17 • 2692 MW out of Desired 4067 MW • Reason: Transmission system inadequacy to fulfill N – 1 Criteria • Cost of Energy not saved in 16 – 17 = 153 MUSD 2019 – 20 • Additional 5200 MW can be penetrated with significant reinforcement in Transmission System mainly Around mid country solar power cluster around Lal Sohanra Around big wind clusters of Jhimpir and Gharo in South 2020 – 22 Total of 9282 MW can be absorbed
STATUS OF RENEWABLES: PROPOSED SOLAR POWER PROJECTS IN SINDH Valid LOIs Cap, mw Location 1 M/s Integrated Power Solu 50 Nooriabad Sindh 2 M/s Jafri & Associates 50 Nooriabad Sindh 3 M/s Solar Blue Pvt. Ltd. 50 Nooriabad Sindh 4 M/s Dawood Group Ltd. 10 Gharo Thatta 5 Fauji Foundation 10 Gharo Thatta Total 170 New Projects / Proposal Cap, mw Location 1 Burj Capital 25 Jhimpir, Sindh 2 Burj Capital 25 Jhimpir, Sindh 3 ET Solar Energy Ltd. (3) 25 Jhimpir, Sindh 4 Foreshine Ltd. 50 Gharo, Sindh 5 Jhimpir Solar Park (1) 50 Jhimpir, Sindh 6 Jhimpir Solar Park (2) 50 Jhimpir, Sindh 7 Jhimpir Solar Park (3) 50 Jhimpir, Sindh 8 Larkana Solar Park (1) 25 Larkana, Sindh 9 Larkana Solar Park (2) 25 Larkana, Sindh 10 Sakhar Solar Park (1) 25 Sakhar, Sindh 11 Sakhar Solar Park (2) 25 Sakhar, Sindh 12 Dadu Solar Park (1) 20 Dadu, Sindh 13 Nawab Shah Solar Park (1 20 Nawab Shah, Sin Total 415
Areas of Cooperation • Sola Mapping • E ngineering, planning and construction • T raining • C apacity Building and certifications • F inancing
Thank You !
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