Outlook for 2020: Predictions In an Uncertain Time Mark Yeager Redwood Logistics 1.15.2020
Next Generation Freight Management 57% 32% 11% !
Redwood: The Journey to Next Generation Freight Management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
Key Freight Indicators Most Recent YOY Most Recent Data Page Indicator Prior Year Reading Five-year Average Trend Month Reading Change Available IIEN^ IF_NR II T/T)/0+=K)/(,,-<%)W,&%O II"NE [!NI\ ](G%9L%0 J%.2)M(-.2)M(,2-3,%0)`(5+9%. ^S!PRSI aa_PFF^ S W91(02. a"RP^RE [IIN!\ ](G%9L%0 S!^P!R" S"FPF^_ S XO1(02. SI_PRI^ [!N_\ ](G%9L%0 IP"_IP^FS IP"I_PIFR /(2-5)J%.2)M(-.2)`(5+9%. IP!ESPEa" [aNR\ ](G%9L%0 IPF^IPFEF IPFRSP^"I /(2-5)X-.2)M(-.2)`(5+9%. IPII!PR^I !NF\ ](G%9L%0 D!PF^I DIPE"_ E M(,2-3,%0)$-2%.)> C(,<)b(,<)2();NTN DIPSSR ["FNa\ H%=%9L%0 IN"R IN"a R /(2-5)c+.3,%..)W,G%,2(0A)V)4-5%. INSF "N!\ Z=2(L%0 IP!F! IPI^^ _ ]%')C(+.3,<)42-02. IP"RE I"NR\ ](G%9L%0 "!NF !ENS ^ W,2%0,%2)/0+=K.2(1)BHW ""Na EN_\ H%=%9L%0 INIR! INI"^ IF M-..)*0%3<?2)4?319%,2)W,&%O IPI!S ["N"\ ](G%9L%0 DINaaI DIN_"_ I! M(,20-=2+-5)/0+=K5(-&)$-2%.)7H0A)`-,)Z,5A8 DIPaIR ["NE\ ](G%9L%0 !"PI^! I^P^^E I" dN4N)M5-..)a)`%?3=5%)@0(&+=23(, IaP^SF [IaN"\ ](G%9L%0 DS^PF__ DSRP!_" IS dN4N)M5-..)a)c5%,&%&)d.%&)`%?3=5%)@03=3,< DS"P_IE [IFN^\ ](G%9L%0 EIS EFa IE 6%,%0-5)*0%3<?2P);(,<[H3.2-,=%)X915(A9%,2 EI_ FNR\ Z=2(L%0 IPF_FPF!" IPF"SPEFE IR W,2%09(&-5);(-&3,<. ^R^PFSE [^NS\ Z=2(L%0 D"NI! D!N_a Ia H3%.%5)*+%5)71%0)<-55(,8 D"NFR [!N!\ H%=%9L%0 INSE INSR R $%2-35)W,G%,2(0A)V)4-5%. INSE FNI\ Z=2(L%0 ESN! ESNI a W4B)@+0=?-.3,<)B-,-<%0.)W,&%O)7@BW8 S_N! [I"NI\ H%=%9L%0 "NI\ "N"\ I_ \)M?<N)W,2%0,-23(,-5)T30:0%3<?2)`(5+9%. ["NE\ ["NE\ Z=2(L%0 S
2020 is a Year of Uncertainty 65(L-5)X=(,(9A) /0-&% 4+.2-3,-L3532A)(:)dN4N)$%=(G%0A *0%3<?2)X=(,(9A)H%2-=?%&):0(9)ZG%0-55)X=(,(9A c-,K0+12=3%. $%<+5-2(0A)M?-,<%.) X5%=23(,)e%-0) E
Is 2020 Like 2018 or 2019? R
2018 Tender Rejections Spot v. Contract 2018 & 2019 _
2018 or 2019 ! $(L+.2)G(5+9%.) ! T)&3.0+12%&):0%3<?2),%2'(0K ! /3<?2)=-1-=32A ‘18 ! 4KA0(=K%23,<).1(2)=(.2. ! 43<,3:3=-,2)=(,20-=2)103=%)3,=0%-.%. ! 43<,3:3=-,2)M-1)XO)3,=0%-.%.) ! d,10%=%&%,2%&)3,G%.29%,2)-=23G32A ,-.//'0'12342/ '+#(### &%#$ &##$ '%#(### ZG%0.+115A ! "%#$ '*#(### 4(:2)G(5+9%) ! "##$ !"!#$#%&'()* M(55-1.3,<).1(2)9-0K%2 ! ‘19 +(,-. ')#(### M(,20-=2+-5)103=3,<)&%=53,%. ! %#$ H%=0%-.%&)20+=K)(0&%0.)) ! '&#(### #$ W,=0%-.%&)L-,K0+12=3%.) ! '"#(### !%#$ '! !"##$ 515',6.784 9:7;6-<'12342/ a
10 Predictions for 2020 ^
10 Predictions for 2020 1 @?-.%)W)M?3,-)&%-5)L+2),()@?-.%)WW 2 d4BMT)0-23:3%&)L+2)3,:0-.20+=2+0% :+,&3,<)<(%. ,('?%0% 3 BYT)-=23G32A)=(,23,+%.)&%.132%)%=(,(93=)+,=%02-3,2A 4 WB;)G(5+9%)=?-55%,<%.)=(,23,+% 5 /%=?)9-K%.)-).15-.?)L+2)32f.),(2)-55)<((& IF
10 Predictions for 2020 contd. 6 ]().3<,3:3=-,2)+123=K)3,)20+=K5(-&)&%9-,&)+,235).%=(,&)?-5:)(:)!F!F 7 M5-..)a)&%=0%-.%)=(00%5-2%.)2().+115A)23<?2%,3,< 8 /0+=K3,<)L-,K0+12=3%.).+0<%)-.)=(.2.)3,=0%-.% 9 TcE)&3.0+12.)M-53:(0,3-)20+=K)9-0K%2 10 41(2)0%=(G%0.)-,&)=(,20-=2)2+0,.)9(&%.25A)1(.323G%)3,).%=(,&)?-5: II
Shipper Response 1 T&g+.2)10(=+0%9%,2).20-2%<A 2 J(0K)(,)3,%::3=3%,=3%.) 3 T,23=31-2%):0%3<?2)0%=%..3(,)'355)%,&) 4 ;(=K)&(',)103=3,<):(0).%0G3=%).%,.323G% :0%3<?2 :0%3<?2 5 B3,&)03.K ! MAL%0).%=+032A) ! c-,K0+12=3%.) I! I!
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