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NYSE : NOW OUR TEAM Carol Fuss Matthew Yardley OUTLINE ServiceNow Overview Enterprise Cloud Computing Strengths and Strategy Growth Opportunities Risk Analysis Financial Analysis Valuation Our Recommendation


  1. NYSE : NOW

  2. OUR TEAM Carol Fuss Matthew Yardley

  3. OUTLINE • ServiceNow Overview • Enterprise Cloud Computing • Strengths and Strategy • Growth Opportunities • Risk Analysis • Financial Analysis • Valuation • Our Recommendation

  4. PRICE HISTORY Ticker: NOW $100.00 $90.00 $80.00 $70.00 $60.00 $50.00 $40.00 $30.00 $20.00 $10.00 $0.00 06/29/12 12/29/12 06/29/13 12/29/13 06/29/14 12/29/14 06/29/15 12/29/15 06/29/16 12/29/16

  5. SERVICENOW PLATFORM

  6. ENTERPRISE SOFTWARE INDUSTRY

  7. MARKET CAPITALIZATION

  8. TOPLINE GROWTH

  9. STRENGTHS & OPPORTUNITIES • SaaS Business Model • First Movers and Industry Pioneers • Dedicated Business Units • Ready Made Platform

  10. GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES • Forbes Global 2,000 (G2K) • Upsells • Renewal Rates • Emerging Product Mix • Multi-Product Customer • Research & Development

  11. G2K PENETRATION 735 704 680 654 633 604 574 556 533 Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 13% 37% 58% 44% G2K Penetration North America EMEA APAC & Other

  12. UPSELLS 400 14% 13% Contracts > $1M Q/Q Growth 350 11% 11% 12% 11% 11% 300 10% 7% 9% 250 8% 8% 200 341 6% 302 150 272 244 227 4% 204 100 188 169 157 2% 50 0 0% Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16

  13. RENEWAL RATE 99% 99% 100% 97% 97% 97% 90% 80% 70% Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16

  14. PRODUCT MIX Service Management ITOM Other 17 17 25 27 29 12 16 13 12 21 71 67 60 59 54 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16

  15. MULTI PRODUCT CUSTOMERS Mult-Product Customers Single-Product Customers 72% 69% 67% 65% 62% 59% 56% 53% 49% Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16

  16. RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT

  17. KEY RISKS • Cyber Security • Convertible Debt • Management Turnover • Operational History of New Products • Patents • Exchange Rates

  18. CYBER SECURITY BrightPoint Security

  19. MANAGEMENT TURNOVER Frank Slootman CEO John Donahoe Designated CEO

  20. CONVERTIBLE DEBT • Expires November 2018 • Cash, Stock, Combination • Selective Scenarios for Pre Conversion

  21. DEBT SCENARIOS

  22. VALUATION • Financial Analysis • DCF • Comparables • Multiples

  23. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

  24. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

  25. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

  26. DCF • WACC 15.36% • Terminal Growth Rate 13.5% • Tax Rate 40% • Terminal Value $14.8B

  27. DCF WITH CONVERTIBLE DEBT

  28. DCF SENSITIVITIES

  29. MULTIPLES

  30. TARGET PRICE

  31. WHY IS SERVICENOW A HOLD? • International Expansion G2K • R&D • Strategic Partnerships • Cyber Security • Patents • Management

  32. APPENDIX: MAIN SLIDES FINANCIALS • • PRICE HISTORY IS MANAGEMENT • • PLATFORM BS MANAGEMENT • • INDUSTRY MRKT CAP CF MANAGEMENT • • TOPLINE GROWTH WACC • • STENGTHS DCF MANAGEMENT • • GROWTH OPPS DCF BASE CASE • • G2K DCF DOWNSIDE • • UPSELLS SENSITIVITIES MANAGEMENT • • RENEWALS SENSITIVITIES BASE CASE • • PRODUCT MIX SENSITIVITIES DOWNSIDE • • MULTI-PROD CUST. DEBT SCENARIOS • R&D COMPARABLE COMPANIES • KEY RISKS • CA, INC. • CYBER SECURITY • WORKDAY, INC. • MANAGEMENT • SALESFORCE.COM, INC. • CONVERTIBLE DEBT OTHER • FINANCIAL ANALYSIS • KEY ASSUMPTIONS • DCF • INSTITUTIONAL HOLDERS • SENSITIVITIES • MULTIPLES • TARGET PRICE • WHY HOLD?

  33. INCOME STATEMENT

  34. BALANCE SHEET

  35. STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW

  36. WACC

  37. DCF MANAGEMENT

  38. DCF BASE CASE

  39. DCF DOWNSIDE

  40. SENSITIVITIES: MANAGEMENT

  41. SENSITIVITIES BASE CASE

  42. SENSITIVITIES DOWNSIDE

  43. DEBT SCENARIOS

  44. CA, INC.

  45. WORKDAY, INC.

  46. SALSEFORCE.COM, INC.

  47. TOP 5 INSTITUTIONAL HOLDERS

  48. KEY ASSUMPTIONS

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