NY/NJ Coastal Restudy Meeting Community Meeting #2 Photo credit NOAA/NASA
Tod oday’s G s Goa oals 1 2 3 Coastal Restudy Latest Coastal Restudy Opportunities for Overview Milestones Collaboration 2
Int ntrod oducti tions ons – FE FEMA MA and nd State Age genc ncies Title Tit Employee Em Pho hone N Number Michael P. Foley (212) 680-3634 RII Risk Analysis – Acting Branch Chief michael.foley3@fema.dhs.gov Robert Schaefer (212) 680-8808 RII Risk Analysis – Project Monitor (NJ, NYC) Robert.Schaefer@fema.dhs.gov FEMA Alan Springett (212) 680-8557 RII Risk Analysis – Project Monitor (Westchester) Alan.Springett@fema.dhs.gov Shudipto Rahman (202) 702-4273 RII Risk Analysis – Civil Engineer Shudipto.Rahman@fema.dhs.gov Thomas Song, CFM (917) 374-5475 RII Mitigation Division – Resiliency Specialist Thomas.Song@fema.dhs.gov NYSDEC Kelli Higgins-Roche NYSDEC / (518) 402-8280 NY State NFIP Coordinator’s Office kelli.higgins-roche@dec.ny.gov NJDEP NJDEP Joe Ruggieri (609) 292-2296 NJ State NFIP Coordinator’s Office Joseph.Ruggieri@dep.nj.gov 3
Int ntrod oducti tions ons – Proj oject S Sup uppor ort Tit Title Employee Em Pho hone N Number Floodplain Analysis and Mapping – Compass Jeff Smith, P.E., PMP, CFM Management (Coastal Update, Storm Surge, and NJ and NYC (215) 789-2166 jeff.r.smith@aecom.com Project Overland) Mike Salisbury, P.E. Floodplain Analysis and Mapping – STARR II (321) 775-6650 michael.salisbury@atkinsglobal.com (Westchester Overland) Support Center Rosemary Bolich, AICP, CFM Planner – STARR II (646) 490-3848 Regional Rosemary.Bolich@Stantec.com Trevor Cone Water Resources Engineer – STARR II (212) 330-6157 Trevor.Cone@Stantec.com Amber Greene (646) 522-9271 Outreach amber.greene@ogilvy.com Community Engagement and Risk Communication – Resilience Action Partners Melissa Herlitz, AICP (646) 682-5558 melissa.herlitz@mbakerintl.com 4
FEMA FE MA Mi Mitiga gation Di on Divi visi sion on Ri Risk MA MAP - Mapping As Assessm sment and d Plan annin ing: : Provide updated flood hazard data to 100% of populated U.S. coasts to create stronger and safer communities • Intuitive flood maps Support that allows • Tools to understand how • Credible data--reliable, communities to identify flood risk has changed risks and promote: accurate, watershed- • Continuous engagement • Community resiliency based with communities • Illustrations of flood • Sustainability • Enable communities to depths • Reduced need for communicate flood risk • Valuable flood risk federal disaster to constituents assistance assessments Sa Save Mo Money! 5
Flood Fl ood Ma Maps A s Affect I Imp mpor ortant nt De Decisions ons To I Ident ntify To E Establi blish To I Inf nform To I Inf nform To Eq To Equip Hazar ards ds Rate Ra tes for for Local al Land nd Engine neers rs Emergenc ncy and d As Asse sess ss Flood Use and d Managers Flood R Risk sk Insu suran ance ce Plan annin ing Deve velopers 6
Nationa onal Fl Flood ood Insu nsuranc nce P Progra ogram m (NFI FIP) • Voluntary program based on a mutual agreement between the Federal government and the local community. • In exchange for adopting and enforcing a Floodplain Management ordinance, Federally-backed flood insurance is made available. Federal State Local Identify and Map Risk Establish Building Codes Adopt and Enforce • • • Development and Building Set Building and Set Enhanced Building and • • Standards Development Standards Development Standards Issue Permits and • Provide Flood Insurance Provide Technical • • Maintain Records Assistance 7
Coastal Restudy Background
Coas astal al Study An y Analy alysis is: 2 : 2009 009 - 2015 Adv dvis isory B Bas ase Flood Coastal Elevatio ion n Stor orm S Study Appeal P Period iod Maps Started d Ma March 2 h 2015 – Januar anuary 2 2013 June 2 une 2015 Fall 2009 ll 2009 Hur urrican icane e Hur urrican icane e Pre relimi minar ary F Flood NYC A Appe ppeal Ir Irene ne San andy dy Insurance Ins ce R Rat ate Maps ( (FIRMs) August st 2 2011 Oct ctober 20 2012 12 Decembe ber 2 2013 – Januar anuary 2 2015 9
Coa oast stal A Appeal O Out utcom ome •New York City challenged two aspects of FEMA’s storm surge analysis: 1) Extra-tropical storm validation NYC Appeal 2) Representation of tidal effects •A third-party Independent Review Board (IRB) acknowledged NYC’s findings and outlined next steps •FEMA initiated a series of analyses and “sensitivity tests” to determine next steps •Sensitivity analyses conducted based on recommendations from the FEMA Response IRB and were finalized in Summer 2017. Results are informing restudy •Region II storm surge, started late 2017, and restudy data will include storms occurring post-2009 – Irene, Sandy, 2016 Nor'easter, etc. 11
Post ost-Appeal Commu ommuni nity E Enga ngage geme ment Octobe ber r 2016 • Met with City of New York to begin appeal resolution discussions • Briefed New Jersey and New York State government and congressional delegation November r 2016 – Ma March 2 h 2017 • New Jersey briefings in coastal communities 12
Ef Effect ctiv ive Vs e Vs. . Pr Prelim limin inar ary F y FIR IRMs Ef Effecti tive FIRMs FIRMs • Flood insurance through the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) will continue to be based on current effective FIRMs Pre reli liminary FIRMs • Some communities refer to the PFIRMs for best available data for development purposes • Federal Sandy recovery projects were informed by PFIRMs in New York City, Rockland, and Westchester Counties (NY) and coastal New Jersey counties 13
Pre relimi mina nary Ma Map Adop opti tion on Several communities opted to adopt the 2015 Preliminary coastal maps Effecti Ef tive County Comm mmunit ities LFD D Dat Date Date Absecon, Brigantine, Egg Harbor Township, Atlantic 2/28/2018 8/28/2018 Hamilton, Linwood, Longport, Margate City, Mullica, Weymouth Cape May 4/5/2017 10/5/2017 Every community except Lower Township Monmouth 12/20/2017 6/20/2018 Highlands, Little Silver, Matawan, Monmouth Beach Ocean 12/20/2017 6/20/2018 Jackson, Point Pleasant Beach 14
Coastal Restudy Overview
Coa oast stal Rest stud udy E Enha nhanc ncement nts Issue 1: Extrat atropic pical al Issue 2: Rep epresen sentat atio ion Storm m Validat idatio ion of of Ti Tidal Ef Effects Issue 3: 3: Incl clusio ion o of A Addi dditio ional al Storm Event St nts 16
Ov Overvie view w of f Restudy Ar y Area a – Surge ge S Study • Tidal Hudson River • Western Long Island Sound • New York & Raritan Bay • Atlantic Ocean • Does not include Delaware Bay 17
Ov Overvie view w of f Restudy Ar y Area a – Overl rland nd A Ana nalyse ses a and nd Ma Mapping ng • NY: New York City boroughs and Westchester County • NJ: Atlantic, Essex, Hudson, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean, and Union Counties 18
Qua uality A Assur ssuranc nce • Coast stal Steering Comm mmit ittee e (CSC CSC) • Internal group of experts in storm surge modeling and FEMA coastal study process • Independent from study production • Co Coas astal al Adviso isory Pane anel (CA CAP) • State of New Jersey, State of New York, Port Authority of NY and NJ, NYC, FEMA, and CSC 19
Key M y Mile ilestones es Summer 2017- 2018- 2022 2023 2024 2017 2021 2022 Appeal Period Preliminary Storm Surge Wave Hazard Draft Work Followed by Maps – CCO Sensitivity and Wave Analyses and Maps - Flood Letter of Final and Open Analysis Conditions Floodplain Risk Review Determination House Reanalysis Mapping Meeting and Effective Meetings Maps 20
Coastal Restudy Phase 1
Coastal Study Phase 1: Coa oast stal R Rest stud udy Pha hase se 1: S Storm S orm Sur urge ge Stud udy Storm Surge Study TIDE 22
Wha What t is s an I n Int ntermediate Da Data Sub ubmi mitta tal? Intermediate data submittals are reports that document milestones for a coastal study’s proposed technical approach and processes, including details about the storm surge study and modeling that will inform the wave analyses. The reports provide detailed data that can later be used to reconstruct or support the study results. 23
Int ntermediate Da Data Sub ubmi mittals IDS IDS # #2 IDS # IDS #3 IDS IDS # #1 Offshore Water Offshore Water IDS IDS # #4 IDS #5 S #5 Data Acquisition Levels and Waves: Levels and Waves: Nearshore Flood Hazard and Technical Storm Selection Production Runs Hydraulics Mapping Approach and Numerical and Statistical Model Validation Analyses 24
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