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Northampton Tenant Panel Housing Options Appraisal Appendix 2 Results and Analysis of the Tenant Panels Options Scoring Exercise + Issues for the Tenant Panels Report Steve Sharples Christine Bailey PS Consultants (ITA) October 1 st and 2 nd


  1. Northampton Tenant Panel Housing Options Appraisal Appendix 2 Results and Analysis of the Tenant Panel’s Options Scoring Exercise + Issues for the Tenant Panel’s Report Steve Sharples Christine Bailey PS Consultants (ITA) October 1 st and 2 nd 2013

  2. Tenant Panel Ranking of Options Rank Score 1. Option 2 (Retention ‐ ALMO) 13159 ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 2. Option 4 (Transfer – Mutual) 12779 3. Option 3 (Transfer – Stand ‐ Alone) 12491 4. Option 5 (Transfer – Group Structure) 11173 5. Option 1 (Retention – Service Review) 10294

  3. Numbers Ranking Each Option as First Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Option 5 0 20 0 11 0

  4. Employee Ranking of Options Rank Score 1. Option 2 ( Retention ‐ ALMO) 3518 ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 2. Option 4 (Transfer – Mutual) 3324 3. Option 3 (Transfer – Stand ‐ Alone) 3234 4. Option 5 ( Transfer – Group Structure) 2865 5. Option 1 ( Retention – Service Review) 2769

  5. Comparison of Scores Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Option 5 Tenants 10294 13159 12491 12779 11173 Employees 2769 3518 3234 3324 2865 Total Score 13063 16677 15725 16103 14038 5 1 3 2 4

  6. 1. Accountability,Participation,and Power Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Option 5 Retention & Retention – Transfer ‐ Transfer – Transfer ‐ Review ALMO stand alone Mutual Group Structure 1312 3118 3936 4224 3486

  7. • The three Transfer options score the strongest here • Option 1 scores very poorly • The Mutual Model is particularly strong – scores highly on all 12 criteria • ALMO (Option 2) does much better than Option 1 mainly because it permits tenants, employees and independents to sit on the Board

  8. 2. Tenant Rights and Involvement Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Option 5 Retention & Retention – Transfer ‐ Transfer – Transfer ‐ Review ALMO stand alone Mutual Group Structure 1536 1744 1812 1822 1584

  9. • The two most highest scoring transfer options (Options 3 + 4) do best here – and beat the ALMO mainly on tenant rights in relation to changes in the tenancy agreement • Option 2 (ALMO) is not far behind Options 3 + 4 • Option 5 scores lower than the ALMO mainly on tenant involvement in rent and service charge setting • Option 1 scores reasonably well on this criteria group but loses out on tenant involvement in rent and service charge setting

  10. 3. Employee Issues Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Option 5 Retention & Retention – Transfer ‐ Transfer – Transfer ‐ Review ALMO stand alone Mutual Group Structure 644 1256 1208 1208 960

  11. • Option 1 scores poorly here mainly because it doesn’t permit employee issues to be decided by the organisation’s Board, nor permit employees to be on that Board • Option 5 is weak here because of the powers of the parent body • ALMO wins over Mutual and Stand Alone mainly because it permits employees to be on the Board

  12. 4. Financial Implications – including rent Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Option 5 Retention & Retention – Transfer ‐ Transfer – Transfer ‐ Review ALMO stand alone Mutual Group Structure 3230 3221 2759 2759 2559

  13. • The two retention options (Options 1 &2) score highest here – with Option 1 rated marginally stronger • The factor which most puts them above the transfer options is that they are not subject to the Government’s debt write ‐ off • Option 5 scores lower than the other two because there is less certainty with this option that surpluses would be used for local or housing purposes.

  14. 5. Quality of Homes Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Option 5 Retention & Retention – Transfer ‐ Transfer – Transfer ‐ Review ALMO stand alone Mutual Group Structure 384 384 384 384 384

  15. All options score equally here – because all will permit the funding, delivery, and maintenance of the Decent Homes Standard over 30 years Remember that; • The Council is already spending more than the DHS • The DHS is lower than the (draft) Northampton Standard – and is only the statutory minimum standard

  16. 6. Impact on Local Community and Economy Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Option 5 Retention & Retention – Transfer ‐ Transfer – Transfer ‐ Review ALMO stand alone Mutual Group Structure 500 500 404 404 404

  17. • The two retention options jointly come out top here ‐ with just under 20% more points than the transfer options • The transfer options suffer more from being subject to debt write ‐ off than the retention options do from being subject to the Government’s debt cap

  18. 7. Legal Framework and Equality Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Option 5 Retention & Retention – Transfer ‐ Transfer – Transfer ‐ Review ALMO stand alone Mutual Group Structure 1152 1536 984 984 808

  19. • The ALMO (Option 2) comes out a clear top here • Option 1 beats all three transfer options • ALMO beats Option 1 mainly because it may draw up its own equality and diversity policy • Retention options beat transfer options mainly because Freedom of Information requirements apply directly to them

  20. 8. Implications for the Council Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Option 5 Retention & Retention – Transfer ‐ Transfer – Transfer ‐ Review ALMO stand alone Mutual Group Structure 1536 1400 1004 1004 988

  21. • Option 1 judged strongest here • ALMO (Option 2) comes a strong second • Option 1 beats ALMO mainly because the ALMO can only be implemented with Government approval • Retention beats all transfer options because Council representation is not guaranteed in the long term on transfer organisation Boards and uncertainty about Council being able to hold the transfer organisation fully to account

  22. Analysis of Overall Scores ‐ Tenant Panel • ALMO wins mainly because it scores strongly on each of the 8 criteria groups and most especially on : tenant rights : employee rights : financial implications : legal framework ; and implications for the Council • Mutual also does well across the Board – but particularly because it scores very highly on accountability, participation and power , and tenant rights, and highly on financial implications and employee rights • Option3 (stand alone association) scores lower than the Mutual because of its scores on accountability, partic ‐ ipation and power

  23. • Option 5 ( transfer as a subsidiary) comes fourth because it scores lower on accountability, participation, and power than the other transfer options and scores lower than the ALMO on all other criteria (bar one where it scores equally) • Option 1 actually scores highest or joint highest on 4 criteria ‐ (see next slide) But scores lowest overall because of very low scores on accountability, participation and power, and employee rights, and the lowest score on tenant rights

  24. Options ranking highest for each topic area Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Option 5 Retention & Retention – Transfer ‐ Transfer – Transfer ‐ Review ALMO stand alone Mutual Group Structure 4 2 3 1 4 2 as highest & 2 2 as highest & 2 1 as highest and 2 1 as highest and 1 1 as equal highest as equal highest as equal highest as equal highest as equal highest

  25. The Options Appraisal Method Was it even handed?

  26. Three Key Issues in the Process • The Importance of the Financial Criteria • The Criteria Scoring System • The Weighting System

  27. 1. The Importance of the Financial Criteria A frequent criticism of Council Options Appraisals is that they are biased in favour of stock transfer solutions Critics often argue that this is because they put a huge emphasis on financial (especially investment ) criteria Because Housing Associations can borrow privately and Council’s cannot the analysis frequently suggests that transfer is the best, or only viable, option Was that the case here?

  28. No ‐ it was not : Financial criteria make only up 12 of the 46 criteria • (26%) Retention options scored highest on this by • some distance – Option 1 scored 3230 and Options 2 scored 3221 + the average for the 3 transfer options was 2759

  29. 2. The Criteria Scoring System • Criteria scoring and weighting system arrived at after over 30 hours of discussion between the Tenant Panel, the Employee Focus Group, the Council, and the ITA • The 46 criteria finally used were whittled down from around 80 potential criteria • The criteria that had to be scored 0 or 3 were those that were matters of fact – not judgement or opinion So was the system of awarding a mark of 3 skewed to produce a particular answer ?

  30. Criteria on which options had to score 3 Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Option 5 Retention & Retention – Transfer ‐ Transfer – Transfer ‐ Review ALMO stand alone Mutual Group Structure 18 20 28 24 25

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