Nordea Kredit Investor Presentation – 2008 Q4 Published April 2009
The Investor Presentation has been compiled by Nordea Kredit for information purposes only, and offers facts and figures on Nordea Kredit, and the mortgage collateral supporting outstanding mortgage bonds and covered mortgage bonds. If you have any questions, feel free to contact us: Finn Nicolaisen, Nordea Group Treasury, Head of Group Funding Copenhagen, phone +45 3333 1625 Kamilla H. Skytte, Nordea Group Treasury, Chief Dealer, Group Funding Copenhagen, phone +45 3333 1626 Contents: Nordea Kredit – in brief • Asset quality, losses and arrears • Loan ‐ to ‐ value (For detailed information on LTV please refer to “LTV Report 2008 Q4”) • Legislation • Macro economic factors • 2
Nordea Kredit – in brief I (Data as by the end of 2008 Q4) Founded in 1993, number of employees 130 • All bonds issued by Nordea Kredit are rated AAA (S&P) and Aaa (Moody’s) • Profit before tax 2008: 1.2 bn DKK, RoE 9.3%, Cost/Income ratio 15.2% • Outstanding bond volume 274.5 bn DKK • Market share: • All segments: 12.6% (2007: 12.4%) Residential properties and holiday homes: 15.7% (2007: 15.5%) Agriculture: 14.2% (2007: 13.4%) Commercial properties: 9.9% (2007: 9.3%) (Market share ‐ percentage of total amount of bonds issued by Danish MCIs) 3
Nordea Kredit – in brief II (Data as by the end of 2008 Q4) Late payments by borrowers 0.22% (3½ month after due date) • Losses and provisions: 0.007% of outstanding loans • Average LTV: 60% • Completely match funded “Pass Through” setup ‐ strict ALM (Asset Liability • Management) Danish MCI’s are highly regulated and closely supervised by Finanstilsynet • (The Danish FSA) Total capital ratio 9.7% and Tier 1 capital ratio 10.0% • (including profit for the year 2008) 4
Nordea Kredit – in brief << Increase in net lending DKK bn 35 1400 Profit before tax DKK m (rhs) >> Number of employees (rhs) >> << Market share (per cent of total amount of bonds issued by Danish MCIs) 30 1200 25 1000 20 800 15 600 10 400 5 200 0 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 5
Nordea Kredit – Capital Centre 1 and 2 (CC I and II) Nordea Kredit has two capital centres: • – Mortgage Bonds (Realkreditobligationer, “RO”) are issued out of CC I (1993 ‐ ), however only 1 ISIN is active. More than 97% of the bonds in CC I are covered bond grandfathered CC II, – Covered Mortgage Bonds (“Særligt Dækkede SDRO Realkreditobligationer”, SDRO) are issued out of 96.9 CC II (2007 ‐ ). All bonds in CC II are covered bonds bn DKK At the end of 2008, SDRO bonds (CC II) 35.3% • CC I, represent more than 35% of all outstanding RO Nordea Kredit bonds. 177.5 bn DKK The volume in CC II is mainly due to the • 64.7% refinancing in December 2007 and 2008, where ARMs (“rentetilpasningslån”) were refinanced with SDROs. At this moment virtually all new bonds issued • are SDROs. 6
Match funded setup due to the strict Balance Principle Interest Interest payment payment Borrower Investor Principal Principal payment payment Contribu ‐ tion fees Nordea Kredit complies with the strict Balance Principle, and has a completely match funded “Pass Through” setup. Nordea Kredit has no prepayment risk, and only negligible interest Nordea rate risk or foreign exchange risk Kredit 7
Nordea Kredit – distribution of loans by type Loans to all segments Loans to residential properties and CC I and II, end of year 2008: holiday homes 274.5 bn DKK CC I and II, end of year 2008: 199.6 bn DKK 1.9 bn DKK 2.9 bn DKK 1.7 bn DKK 2.7 bn DKK 0.7% 23.5 bn DKK 1.0% 0.8% 52.4 bn DKK 91.2 bn DKK 1.4% 12 bn DKK 76 bn DKK 11.8% 19.1% 33.2% 6.0% 38.1% 35 bn DKK 12.8% 83.7 bn DKK 91.1 bn DKK 41.9% 33.2% Fixed rate Fixed rate IO ARM Fixed rate Fixed rate IO ARM ARM IO Capped Capped IO ARM IO Capped Capped IO The loan portfolio is characterized by fixed rate loans which account for 66%. For loans to residential properties and holiday homes alone fixed rate loans account for 80%. 8
Nordea Kredit – geographically distribution of loans CC I and CC II end of year 2008. All segments: 274.5 bn DKK. Residential properties, farmhouses, building plot and holiday homes: 212.9 bn DKK. 11.8 bn DKK 4.3%* 8.3 bn DKK 3.9%** North Denmark (0.58 m citizens – 10.5%) Region 99.2 bn DKK 36.1%* 88.2 bn DKK 41.4%** 68.1 bn DKK 24.8%* (1.66 m citizens – 30.2%) 47.9 bn DKK 22.5%** Central Capital Denmark (1.25 m citizens – 22.6%) Region of Region Denmark 40.1 bn DKK 14.6%* 24.1 bn DKK 11.3%** 55.3 bn DKK 20.2%* Region South (1.20 m citizens – 21.8%) Zealand Denmark 44.4 bn DKK 20.8%** Region (0.82 m citizens – 14.9%) * All segments ** Residential properties, farmhouses, building plots and holiday homes Total number of citizens 5.51 m end of 2008 9
Asset quality ‐ loss guarantee by Nordea Bank Danmark Nordea Bank Danmark takes “first losses” on Nordea Kredit loans according to the table below: Property type Guarantee period * Guarantee level ** Owner occupied housing 5 years 25 per cent Holiday homes 5 years 25 per cent Subsidized property 10 years 10 per cent Housing for youth/elderly 10 years 10 per cent Agricultural property 10 years 25 per cent Commercial property 10 years 25 per cent *) Guarantee period starts when a loan is issued or remortgaged **) As a percentage of the original principal – disregarding all amortisation The guarantee amount is not reduced during the guarantee period, but cannot exceed the debt outstanding. A new guarantee period starts when the loan is changed e.g. due to remortgage. 10
Asset quality ‐ late payments by borrowers ‐ 3½ month after due date 0.60 Residential properties and holiday homes Arrears as a percentage of the total amount due 0.50 0.40 per cent 0.30 All Danish MCIs 0.27% Nordea Kredit 0.22% 0.20 0.10 0.00 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 11
Losses in per cent of outstanding bonds 300.000 0,0100% Outstanding bonds mDKK 250.000 Losses % of outstanding bonds Loss for the year in per cent of 0,0075% Outstanding bonds ‐ mDKK outstanding bonds (rhs) 200.000 150.000 0,0050% 100.000 0,0025% 50.000 0 0,0000% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Nordea Kredit did not experience any losses prior to 1997 – total accumulated losses 16.5 m DKK 12
Nordea Kredit – LTV, loan ‐ to ‐ value 13
Nordea Kredit – LTV, loan ‐ to ‐ value For detailed information on LTV – please refer to LTV Report 2008 Q4 14
Legislation Danish mortgage financing is highly regulated and closely supervised by the • Danish FSA (Finanstilsynet, DFSA) Some legislation can be found in English at the DFSA’s English website: • http://www.dfsa.dk/sw7804.asp All relevant legislation can be found in Danish at the DFSA’s Danish website: • http://www.finanstilsynet.dk/sw22517.asp 15
Macro economics ‐ house prices and foreclosures 25,000 For a number of years house prices increased 23,000 ‐ but by mid 2006 prices peaked. 21,000 DKK per sqm 19,000 Since January 1993 the number of foreclosures 17,000 15,000 has fallen from more than 1,400 to a low of only 13,000 72 in December 2006. 11,000 Detached houses Apartments 9,000 Since December 2006 the number of foreclosures 7,000 2003 Q1 2004 Q1 2005 Q1 2006 Q1 2007 Q1 2008 Q1 has risen to 334 as of February 2009 ‐ still a low number of foreclosures. For more information on macro economics please Foreclosures, seasonally adj. ‐ all 1,500 refer to current issue of “ Economic Outlook ” 1,250 made by Nordea Markets, Economic Research. segments 1,000 750 500 250 0 1993 jan 1994 jan 1995 jan 1996 jan 1997 jan 1998 jan 1999 jan 2000 jan 2001 jan 2002 jan 2003 jan 2004 jan 2005 jan 2006 jan 2007 jan 2008 jan 2009 jan 16
Disclaimer: The information provided herein is intended for background information only and for the sole use of the intended recipient. The information provided herein is not intended to constitute and does not constitute investment advice nor is the information intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The information contained herein has no regard to the specific investment objectives, the financial situation or particular needs of any particular investor. Relevant and specific professional advice should always be obtained before making any investment or credit decision. Whilst reasonable care has been taken to ensure that its contents are not untrue or misleading, no representation is made as to its accuracy or completeness and no liability is accepted for any loss arising from reliance on it. Nordea Kredit does not accept any liability for any loss, howsoever arising, directly or indirectly from the issue of the Information or its contents including transactions made based on information therein. The Information should not be construed as either projections or predictions or as legal, tax, financial or accounting advice. This document may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose without the prior written consent from Nordea Kredit. 17
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